← Smart money
0xb1a2…57fe
SharpEdge
+4.2pp
ROI
+11%
Win rate
46% @ 42.0¢
Brier
0.184
Resolved
3193
Avg size
$26
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 46% (406/880) | +12% | 880 |
| Sports | 9% (1/11) | +6% | 11 |
| Politics | 17% (1/6) | -20% | 6 |
| Crypto | 50% (1/2) | +15% | 2 |
- Other880 bets
- Hit rate
- 46% (406/880)
- ROI
- +12%
- Sports11 bets
- Hit rate
- 9% (1/11)
- ROI
- +6%
- Politics6 bets
- Hit rate
- 17% (1/6)
- ROI
- -20%
- Crypto2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +15%
Track record
45% hit · 409/899- No$63 @ 25.0¢
- Yes$24 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$337 @ 63.5¢
- No$10 @ 8.9¢
- Yes$254 @ 49.5¢
- No$142 @ 67.4¢
- Yes$98 @ 51.7¢
- Yes$26 @ 74.0¢
- Yes$95 @ 34.0¢
- Yes$125 @ 35.4¢
- Yes$243 @ 75.9¢
- Yes$16 @ 8.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 18.0¢
- Will Trump say "Hell" 5 or more times during his Feb 20 Republican Governors Association appearance?LostNo$25 @ 66.4¢
- No$72 @ 60.0¢
- No$13 @ 36.0¢
- No$57 @ 8.4¢
- Yes$11 @ 56.0¢
- No$27 @ 66.0¢
- Yes$46 @ 29.0¢
- Yes$14 @ 18.0¢
- Yes$141 @ 35.2¢
- Yes$136 @ 59.4¢
- No$4 @ 4.3¢
- No$12 @ 69.0¢
- Yes$18 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$48 @ 48.0¢
- No$35 @ 44.0¢
- Will Trump say “Million / Billion / Trillion” 15+ times during his Iowa State Fairgrounds speech?WonNo$78 @ 39.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 13.0¢
- Yes$17 @ 11.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 25.0¢
- Yes$157 @ 37.9¢
- No$416 @ 32.0¢
- Yes$404 @ 69.7¢
- No$24 @ 26.0¢
- No$16 @ 57.0¢
- Yes$15 @ 25.0¢
- Yes$274 @ 60.8¢
- No$296 @ 54.9¢
- No$359 @ 59.8¢
- No$87 @ 62.4¢
- Yes$761 @ 67.2¢
- No$14 @ 17.0¢
- Yes$43 @ 24.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 48.0¢
- Yes$213 @ 27.6¢
- Yes$2 @ 4.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 25.0¢
- No$82 @ 68.5¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$3.6k @ 96.2¢
- No$2.9k @ 97.0¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 36.0¢
- No$352 @ 88.0¢
- No$340 @ 79.5¢
- Yes$320 @ 65.0¢
- No$300 @ 75.0¢
- No$289 @ 22.9¢
- No$264 @ 55.0¢
- No$173 @ 92.0¢
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$152 @ 61.0¢
- No$90 @ 60.0¢
- No$76 @ 27.0¢
- Yes$22 @ 44.0¢
- No$8 @ 51.0¢