← Smart money
0xb187…0ab8
SharpEdge
+11.2pp
ROI
+25%
Win rate
52% @ 40.6¢
Brier
0.152
Resolved
110
Avg size
$189
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 48% (11/23) | +56% | 23 |
| Sports | 59% (10/17) | +8% | 17 |
| Politics | 33% (1/3) | +16% | 3 |
| Tech | 100% (1/1) | +13% | 1 |
| Economy | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other23 bets
- Hit rate
- 48% (11/23)
- ROI
- +56%
- Sports17 bets
- Hit rate
- 59% (10/17)
- ROI
- +8%
- Politics3 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (1/3)
- ROI
- +16%
- Tech1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +13%
- Economy1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
51% hit · 23/45- Yes$26 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$743 @ 55.7¢
- Lakers$200 @ 61.0¢
- Yes$3.2k @ 0.8¢
- Lakers$562 @ 70.9¢
- Yes$200 @ 58.1¢
- Yes$726 @ 72.0¢
- No$10 @ 27.0¢
- Yes$706 @ 70.0¢
- Yes$379 @ 33.8¢
- Yes$10 @ 16.0¢
- Yes$12 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$20 @ 2.4¢
- Suns vs. MagicLostSuns$50 @ 47.0¢
- Yes$211 @ 67.5¢
- Yes$631 @ 68.5¢
- Pistons$50 @ 66.0¢
- Yes$62 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$1.4k @ 66.0¢
- Yes$106 @ 87.0¢
- Spurs$312 @ 57.0¢
- Rockets$70 @ 56.0¢
- Yes$51 @ 17.0¢
- Yes$697 @ 68.0¢
- Yes$21 @ 6.0¢
- Suns$72 @ 76.9¢
- Timberwolves$45 @ 87.0¢
- Yes$51 @ 26.0¢
- Yes$1.6k @ 67.7¢
- Yes$61 @ 53.0¢
- Yes$25 @ 88.7¢
- No$11 @ 74.0¢
- Raptors$54 @ 54.0¢
- Yes$5.4k @ 50.5¢
- No$51 @ 25.0¢
- Yes$241 @ 79.0¢
- Yes$26 @ 26.1¢
- Lakers$200 @ 57.0¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 9.9¢
- Yes$25 @ 52.0¢
- Timberwolves$74 @ 75.0¢
- Yes$473 @ 45.5¢
- Lakers$101 @ 82.9¢
- Yes$42 @ 23.0¢
- Yes$766 @ 28.0¢
Recent trades
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Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Sports | Yes | $11.5k | 12.2¢ |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Sports | Yes | $9.5k | 8.8¢ |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Sports | Yes | $2.3k | 1.1¢ |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Sports | Yes | $1.8k | 1.6¢ |
| Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Sports | Yes | $1.5k | 14.1¢ |
| Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Sports | Yes | $1.1k | 9.9¢ |
- Yes$11.5k @ 12.2¢
- Yes$9.5k @ 8.8¢
- Yes$2.3k @ 1.1¢
- Yes$1.8k @ 1.6¢
- Yes$1.5k @ 14.1¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 9.9¢