0xb128…cf58

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xb12897c1a963e73a3e1682398c03fce18d57cf58
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+11.1pp

ROI

+19%

Win rate

69% @ 57.8¢

Brier

0.108

Resolved

395

Avg size

$303

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	69% (29/42)	+34%	42
Politics	25% (1/4)	-93%	4
Geopolitics	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Tech	100% (1/1)	+32%	1

Other42 bets
Hit rate
69% (29/42)
ROI
+34%
Politics4 bets
Hit rate
25% (1/4)
ROI
-93%
Geopolitics2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+32%

Track record

63% hit · 31/49

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?	No	$320	39.2¢	Lost
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	$3.1k	64.2¢	Won
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	$5.2k	28.3¢	Lost
Will Adobe (ADBE) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$300	89.7¢	Won
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	Yes	$6.6k	81.2¢	Won
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	$300	80.0¢	Won
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?	No	$640	80.0¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?	Yes	$100	29.8¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?	Yes	$10	6.9¢	Lost
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	$2.6k	63.0¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	$2.1k	41.4¢	Lost
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$817	54.8¢	Won
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	Yes	$177	10.4¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	Yes	$500	70.0¢	Lost
Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?	Yes	$502	62.9¢	Won
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?	No	$397	75.1¢	Won
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?	Yes	$1.6k	27.7¢	Lost
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	$1.6k	33.5¢	Lost
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?	No	$21.6k	79.7¢	Won
Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?	No	$1.7k	79.5¢	Won
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	$7.2k	65.8¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	$17.1k	59.6¢	Won
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?	Yes	$600	11.8¢	Lost
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	Yes	$300	76.0¢	Won
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?	No	$3.8k	80.9¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?	Yes	$11	14.0¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?	No	$300	86.0¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	$1.1k	63.7¢	Won
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?	No	$2.6k	89.0¢	Won
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?	No	$5.0k	72.8¢	Won
Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$600	89.5¢	Won
Will Morgan Stanley (MS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$965	88.4¢	Won
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	$4.6k	13.4¢	Lost
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$554	36.9¢	Lost
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	$2.0k	29.8¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?	No	$81	81.0¢	Lost
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$153	51.0¢	Won
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	$200	67.0¢	Lost
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	$1.5k	22.1¢	Lost
Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$6.1k	58.7¢	Won
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?	Yes	$500	82.0¢	Won
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$2.2k	75.8¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	$766	80.2¢	Won
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	$97	56.0¢	Won
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?	Yes	$2	2.2¢	Lost
Will BlackRock (BLK) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$1.0k	89.5¢	Won
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$100	19.0¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	$8.7k	66.4¢	Won
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	$1.4k	50.0¢	Won

Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Lost
No$320 @ 39.2¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Won
Yes$3.1k @ 64.2¢
Iran coup attempt by June 30?Lost
Yes$5.2k @ 28.3¢
Will Adobe (ADBE) beat quarterly earnings?Won
Yes$300 @ 89.7¢
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Won
Yes$6.6k @ 81.2¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$300 @ 80.0¢
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?Won
No$640 @ 80.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?Lost
Yes$100 @ 29.8¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?Lost
Yes$10 @ 6.9¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Won
Yes$2.6k @ 63.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Lost
Yes$2.1k @ 41.4¢
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?Won
Yes$817 @ 54.8¢
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$177 @ 10.4¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Lost
Yes$500 @ 70.0¢
Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?Won
Yes$502 @ 62.9¢
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?Won
No$397 @ 75.1¢
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?Lost
Yes$1.6k @ 27.7¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Lost
No$1.6k @ 33.5¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?Won
No$21.6k @ 79.7¢
Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?Won
No$1.7k @ 79.5¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Won
No$7.2k @ 65.8¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Won
Yes$17.1k @ 59.6¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Lost
Yes$600 @ 11.8¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Won
Yes$300 @ 76.0¢
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?Won
No$3.8k @ 80.9¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?Lost
Yes$11 @ 14.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Won
No$300 @ 86.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?Won
Yes$1.1k @ 63.7¢
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?Won
No$2.6k @ 89.0¢
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?Won
No$5.0k @ 72.8¢
Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?Won
Yes$600 @ 89.5¢
Will Morgan Stanley (MS) beat quarterly earnings?Won
Yes$965 @ 88.4¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Lost
Yes$4.6k @ 13.4¢
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$554 @ 36.9¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Lost
Yes$2.0k @ 29.8¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?Lost
No$81 @ 81.0¢
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$153 @ 51.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Lost
No$200 @ 67.0¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Lost
Yes$1.5k @ 22.1¢
Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?Won
Yes$6.1k @ 58.7¢
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?Won
Yes$500 @ 82.0¢
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?Won
Yes$2.2k @ 75.8¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?Won
Yes$766 @ 80.2¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?Won
Yes$97 @ 56.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 2.2¢
Will BlackRock (BLK) beat quarterly earnings?Won
Yes$1.0k @ 89.5¢
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?Won
Yes$100 @ 19.0¢
US forces enter Iran by December 31?Won
Yes$8.7k @ 66.4¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Won
Yes$1.4k @ 50.0¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$2.7k	26.8¢
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Politics	Yes	$1.6k	75.7¢
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	Politics	No	$50	1.7¢

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$2.7k @ 26.8¢
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Politics
Yes$1.6k @ 75.7¢
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Politics
No$50 @ 1.7¢