← Smart money
0xb0cc…f09b
SharpEdge
-3.7pp
ROI
+6%
Win rate
31% @ 34.7¢
Brier
0.140
Resolved
2417
Avg size
$50
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 32% (41/129) | +0% | 129 |
| Politics | 38% (42/112) | +11% | 112 |
| Sports | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other129 bets
- Hit rate
- 32% (41/129)
- ROI
- +0%
- Politics112 bets
- Hit rate
- 38% (42/112)
- ROI
- +11%
- Sports1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
34% hit · 83/242- Yes$161 @ 40.0¢
- Yes$41 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$156 @ 44.2¢
- No$67 @ 32.9¢
- No$401 @ 54.6¢
- No$78 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$573 @ 15.8¢
- No$133 @ 32.1¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 70.7¢
- No$6 @ 8.1¢
- Yes$10 @ 68.7¢
- Yes$0 @ 1.3¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 82.8¢
- Yes$64 @ 10.6¢
- Yes$51 @ 22.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.9¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$6 @ 1.8¢
- Yes$155 @ 6.0¢
- No$419 @ 72.8¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 27.6¢
- No$1.3k @ 65.8¢
- Yes$80 @ 19.5¢
- No$16 @ 76.6¢
- Yes$14 @ 25.0¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 19.3¢
- No$493 @ 84.3¢
- Yes$872 @ 15.5¢
- Yes$2 @ 19.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$93 @ 6.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 0.4¢
- No$593 @ 58.0¢
- Yes$552 @ 19.9¢
- No$2.2k @ 62.1¢
- Yes$571 @ 56.1¢
- Yes$122 @ 2.0¢
- No$26 @ 86.3¢
- Yes$10 @ 15.0¢
- No$1.4k @ 87.1¢
- Yes$154 @ 9.2¢
- No$1.7k @ 64.1¢
- Yes$693 @ 15.2¢
- No$850 @ 22.6¢
- Yes$2.9k @ 62.2¢
- No$2.8k @ 42.5¢
- Yes$3 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$6 @ 5.5¢
- Yes$5 @ 1.2¢
- No$2 @ 24.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $161 | 40.0¢ |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $41 | 10.0¢ |
- Yes$161 @ 40.0¢
- Yes$41 @ 10.0¢