0xb0c8…fe7f

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xb0c85813a7a4428f1139ff91d3118a92c391fe7f
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+24.7pp

ROI

+22%

Win rate

100% @ 75.3¢

Brier

0.095

Resolved

Avg size

$52

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	62% (21/34)	+39%	34
Sports	100% (2/2)	+15%	2
Geopolitics	50% (1/2)	-33%	2

Other34 bets
Hit rate
62% (21/34)
ROI
+39%
Sports2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+15%
Geopolitics2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-33%

Track record

63% hit · 24/38

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	$932	87.1¢	Won
Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 0 Algeria?	No	$540	76.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 3?	No	$53	65.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 3?	No	$5	62.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 3?	No	$0	6.2¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on July 3?	No	$4	82.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 3?	No	$4	87.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 3?	No	$8	80.9¢	Won
Will USD be at least 2.0M Iranian rials on June 30?	Yes	$42	14.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C or below on July 1?	Yes	$1	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 1?	Yes	$1	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 1?	Yes	$1	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on July 1?	Yes	$1	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 1?	Yes	$1	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C or below on July 1?	Yes	$4	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 1?	Yes	$1	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on July 1?	Yes	$1	9.1¢	Lost
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	$8	5.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on July 1?	No	$9	86.5¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 49 and 50 million views on day 4?	No	$5	24.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 1?	No	$3	81.0¢	Won
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?	No	$9	88.6¢	Won
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	No	$11	89.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on June 30?	No	$0	0.6¢	Won
Will Canada be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?	No	$17	87.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C or higher on June 30?	Yes	$14	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or below on June 30?	Yes	$6	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 30?	Yes	$12	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 30?	Yes	$1	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on June 30?	No	$36	89.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 1?	No	$8	89.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 30?	No	$79	87.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 30?	No	$14	79.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on June 30?	No	$5	11.6¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 30?	No	$13	12.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 30?	No	$53	62.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on June 30?	No	$36	43.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 30?	No	$32	79.7¢	Won

Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Won
No$932 @ 87.1¢
Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 0 Algeria?Won
No$540 @ 76.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 3?Won
No$53 @ 65.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 3?Won
No$5 @ 62.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 3?Won
No$0 @ 6.2¢
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on July 3?Won
No$4 @ 82.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 3?Won
No$4 @ 87.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 3?Won
No$8 @ 80.9¢
Will USD be at least 2.0M Iranian rials on June 30?Lost
Yes$42 @ 14.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C or below on July 1?Lost
Yes$1 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 1?Lost
Yes$1 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 1?Lost
Yes$1 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on July 1?Lost
Yes$1 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 1?Lost
Yes$1 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C or below on July 1?Lost
Yes$4 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 1?Lost
Yes$1 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on July 1?Lost
Yes$1 @ 9.1¢
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Lost
No$8 @ 5.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on July 1?Won
No$9 @ 86.5¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 49 and 50 million views on day 4?Won
No$5 @ 24.9¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 1?Won
No$3 @ 81.0¢
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?Won
No$9 @ 88.6¢
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Won
No$11 @ 89.0¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on June 30?Won
No$0 @ 0.6¢
Will Canada be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?Won
No$17 @ 87.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C or higher on June 30?Lost
Yes$14 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or below on June 30?Lost
Yes$6 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 30?Lost
Yes$12 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 30?Lost
Yes$1 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on June 30?Won
No$36 @ 89.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 1?Won
No$8 @ 89.1¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 30?Won
No$79 @ 87.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 30?Won
No$14 @ 79.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on June 30?Won
No$5 @ 11.6¢
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 30?Won
No$13 @ 12.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 30?Won
No$53 @ 62.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on June 30?Won
No$36 @ 43.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 30?Won
No$32 @ 79.7¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Tech	Yes	$277	3.8¢
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	—	Yes	$267	11.1¢
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	—	Yes	$233	11.1¢
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	—	Yes	$233	11.1¢
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	—	Yes	$222	11.1¢
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Tech	Yes	$179	3.8¢
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the July 2026 meeting?	Economy	Yes	$167	20.0¢
Will "The Choral" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	—	Yes	$107	5.5¢
Will "KPop Demon Hunters" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	—	Yes	$105	5.5¢
Will "Gone Girl" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	—	Yes	$105	5.5¢
Will "GOAT" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	—	Yes	$104	5.5¢
Will "Maternal Instinct" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	—	Yes	$104	5.5¢
Will "Spider-Man: Homecoming" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	—	Yes	$99	5.5¢
Will "Talk to Me" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	—	Yes	$94	5.5¢
Will Mark Baisley win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?	Politics	Yes	$90	2.4¢
Will Robert Moore win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?	Politics	Yes	$90	2.4¢
Will Jason Mikesell win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?	Politics	Yes	$90	2.4¢
Will Daniel Thomas win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?	Politics	Yes	$89	2.4¢
Will claude-opus-4-7-thinking be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?	—	Yes	$86	20.0¢
Will Jon Gray-Ginsberg win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?	Politics	Yes	$85	2.4¢
Will Bob Brinkerhoff win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?	Politics	Yes	$85	2.4¢
Will Jason Clark win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?	Politics	Yes	$84	2.4¢
Will Greg Lopez win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?	Politics	Yes	$84	2.4¢
Will Joshua Griffin win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?	Politics	Yes	$84	2.4¢
Will Stevan Gess win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?	Politics	Yes	$84	2.4¢
Will Brycen Garrison win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?	Politics	Yes	$84	2.4¢
Will Will McBride win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?	Politics	Yes	$84	2.4¢
Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the July Meeting?	Geopolitics	Yes	$75	33.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 7°C or below on July 3?	—	Yes	$71	9.1¢
Will Scott Bottoms win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?	Politics	Yes	$64	2.4¢

Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech
Yes$277 @ 3.8¢
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?—
Yes$267 @ 11.1¢
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?—
Yes$233 @ 11.1¢
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?—
Yes$233 @ 11.1¢
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?—
Yes$222 @ 11.1¢
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech
Yes$179 @ 3.8¢
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the July 2026 meeting?Economy
Yes$167 @ 20.0¢
Will "The Choral" be the top US Netflix movie this week?—
Yes$107 @ 5.5¢
Will "KPop Demon Hunters" be the top US Netflix movie this week?—
Yes$105 @ 5.5¢
Will "Gone Girl" be the top US Netflix movie this week?—
Yes$105 @ 5.5¢
Will "GOAT" be the top US Netflix movie this week?—
Yes$104 @ 5.5¢
Will "Maternal Instinct" be the top US Netflix movie this week?—
Yes$104 @ 5.5¢
Will "Spider-Man: Homecoming" be the top US Netflix movie this week?—
Yes$99 @ 5.5¢
Will "Talk to Me" be the top US Netflix movie this week?—
Yes$94 @ 5.5¢
Will Mark Baisley win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?Politics
Yes$90 @ 2.4¢
Will Robert Moore win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?Politics
Yes$90 @ 2.4¢
Will Jason Mikesell win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?Politics
Yes$90 @ 2.4¢
Will Daniel Thomas win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?Politics
Yes$89 @ 2.4¢
Will claude-opus-4-7-thinking be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?—
Yes$86 @ 20.0¢
Will Jon Gray-Ginsberg win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?Politics
Yes$85 @ 2.4¢
Will Bob Brinkerhoff win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?Politics
Yes$85 @ 2.4¢
Will Jason Clark win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?Politics
Yes$84 @ 2.4¢
Will Greg Lopez win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?Politics
Yes$84 @ 2.4¢
Will Joshua Griffin win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?Politics
Yes$84 @ 2.4¢
Will Stevan Gess win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?Politics
Yes$84 @ 2.4¢
Will Brycen Garrison win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?Politics
Yes$84 @ 2.4¢
Will Will McBride win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?Politics
Yes$84 @ 2.4¢
Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the July Meeting?Geopolitics
Yes$75 @ 33.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 7°C or below on July 3?—
Yes$71 @ 9.1¢
Will Scott Bottoms win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?Politics
Yes$64 @ 2.4¢