0xb0c8…fe7f

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xb0c85813a7a4428f1139ff91d3118a92c391fe7f
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+3.1pp

ROI

+6%

Win rate

50% @ 46.7¢

Brier

0.181

Resolved

1278

Avg size

$10

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	14% (112/786)	-10%	786
Science	63% (148/235)	+11%	235
Sports	10% (21/201)	-5%	201
Politics	12% (14/114)	-12%	114
Tech	4% (2/45)	-69%	45
Economy	0% (0/21)	-100%	21
Culture	15% (2/13)	-41%	13
Geopolitics	13% (1/8)	-93%	8
Crypto	29% (2/7)	+5%	7

Other786 bets
Hit rate
14% (112/786)
ROI
-10%
Science235 bets
Hit rate
63% (148/235)
ROI
+11%
Sports201 bets
Hit rate
10% (21/201)
ROI
-5%
Politics114 bets
Hit rate
12% (14/114)
ROI
-12%
Tech45 bets
Hit rate
4% (2/45)
ROI
-69%
Economy21 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/21)
ROI
-100%
Culture13 bets
Hit rate
15% (2/13)
ROI
-41%
Geopolitics8 bets
Hit rate
13% (1/8)
ROI
-93%
Crypto7 bets
Hit rate
29% (2/7)
ROI
+5%

Track record

21% hit · 302/1430

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on September 23?	Yes	$23	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 90°F or higher on September 23?	Yes	$23	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 71°F or below on September 23?	Yes	$23	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on September 23?	No	$9	88.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 23?	No	$75	74.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on September 22?	No	$26	88.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 22?	No	$2	8.5¢	Lost
Will Tigres FC win on 2026-09-22?	No	$1	1.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on September 23?	No	$196	72.2¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 23?	No	$13	42.7¢	Lost
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-22?	No	$4	8.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on September 22?	No	$35	23.1¢	Lost
Will FC Bayern München vs. Manchester City WFC end in a draw?	No	$19	23.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on September 23?	No	$24	74.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 23?	No	$38	80.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 22?	No	$5	69.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 22?	No	$5	17.1¢	Lost
Will DPR Korea win on 2026-09-23?	No	$1	5.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	No	$169	8.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 22?	No	$49	29.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 22?	No	$22	15.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 23?	No	$4	75.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 23?	No	$181	66.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 22?	No	$15	85.2¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 23?	No	$7	3.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 23?	No	$46	83.2¢	Won
Will Criciúma EC vs. Operário Ferroviário EC end in a draw?	No	$15	72.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 23?	No	$29	64.2¢	Won
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?	No	$491	33.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 23?	No	$10	88.5¢	Lost
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-23?	No	$12	4.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 23?	No	$41	54.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 22?	No	$5	8.0¢	Lost
Will Operário Ferroviário EC win on 2026-09-21?	No	$14	30.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 23?	No	$33	53.8¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on September 23?	No	$8	79.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 23?	No	$1	75.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	No	$581	82.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 23?	No	$32	89.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on September 23?	No	$15	51.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 23?	No	$42	8.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on September 22?	No	$8	33.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on September 23?	No	$7	65.0¢	Won
Will Oud-Heverlee Leuven Women win on 2026-09-23?	No	$54	89.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 23?	No	$32	57.8¢	Lost
Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-09-23?	No	$2	3.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 22?	No	$0	2.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on September 23?	No	$11	67.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on September 22?	No	$5	89.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 23?	No	$280	37.5¢	Lost

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on September 23?Lost
Yes$23 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 90°F or higher on September 23?Lost
Yes$23 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 71°F or below on September 23?Lost
Yes$23 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on September 23?Won
No$9 @ 88.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 23?Won
No$75 @ 74.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on September 22?Won
No$26 @ 88.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 22?Lost
No$2 @ 8.5¢
Will Tigres FC win on 2026-09-22?Lost
No$1 @ 1.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on September 23?Won
No$196 @ 72.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 23?Lost
No$13 @ 42.7¢
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-22?Lost
No$4 @ 8.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on September 22?Lost
No$35 @ 23.1¢
Will FC Bayern München vs. Manchester City WFC end in a draw?Lost
No$19 @ 23.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on September 23?Won
No$24 @ 74.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 23?Lost
No$38 @ 80.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 22?Won
No$5 @ 69.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 22?Lost
No$5 @ 17.1¢
Will DPR Korea win on 2026-09-23?Lost
No$1 @ 5.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?Lost
No$169 @ 8.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 22?Lost
No$49 @ 29.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 22?Won
No$22 @ 15.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 23?Won
No$4 @ 75.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 23?Won
No$181 @ 66.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 22?Won
No$15 @ 85.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 23?Lost
No$7 @ 3.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 23?Won
No$46 @ 83.2¢
Will Criciúma EC vs. Operário Ferroviário EC end in a draw?Won
No$15 @ 72.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 23?Won
No$29 @ 64.2¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?Lost
No$491 @ 33.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 23?Lost
No$10 @ 88.5¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-23?Lost
No$12 @ 4.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 23?Won
No$41 @ 54.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 22?Lost
No$5 @ 8.0¢
Will Operário Ferroviário EC win on 2026-09-21?Lost
No$14 @ 30.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 23?Lost
No$33 @ 53.8¢
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on September 23?Won
No$8 @ 79.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 23?Won
No$1 @ 75.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?Won
No$581 @ 82.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 23?Won
No$32 @ 89.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on September 23?Won
No$15 @ 51.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 23?Lost
No$42 @ 8.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on September 22?Lost
No$8 @ 33.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on September 23?Won
No$7 @ 65.0¢
Will Oud-Heverlee Leuven Women win on 2026-09-23?Won
No$54 @ 89.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 23?Lost
No$32 @ 57.8¢
Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-09-23?Lost
No$2 @ 3.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 22?Lost
No$0 @ 2.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on September 23?Won
No$11 @ 67.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on September 22?Won
No$5 @ 89.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 23?Lost
No$280 @ 37.5¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will StepFun have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Tech	Yes	$1.1k	3.1¢
Will Thinky have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Tech	Yes	$1.1k	3.1¢
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Tech	Yes	$1.1k	3.1¢
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Tech	Yes	$1.1k	3.1¢
Will Nvidia have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Tech	Yes	$1.1k	3.1¢
Will MiniMax have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Tech	Yes	$1.1k	3.1¢
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Tech	Yes	$1.1k	3.1¢
Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Tech	Yes	$1.1k	3.1¢
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Tech	Yes	$1.1k	3.1¢
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$980	3.1¢
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$980	3.1¢
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$980	3.1¢
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$980	3.1¢
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$862	3.1¢
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$842	3.1¢
Will Helder Barbalho finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$627	3.1¢
Will Tereza Cristina finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$611	3.1¢
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$593	3.1¢
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$527	3.1¢
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Economy	Yes	$496	7.7¢
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Economy	Yes	$496	7.7¢
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Tech	Yes	$483	3.1¢
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Economy	Yes	$470	7.7¢
Will Daniel Helldén be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Politics	Yes	$430	2.8¢
Will Amanda Lind be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Politics	Yes	$429	2.8¢
Will Nooshi Dadgostar be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Politics	Yes	$429	2.8¢
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$425	3.1¢
Will Simona Mohamsson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Politics	Yes	$424	2.8¢
Will Anna-Karin Hatt be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Politics	Yes	$424	2.8¢
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$420	3.1¢

Will StepFun have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech
Yes$1.1k @ 3.1¢
Will Thinky have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech
Yes$1.1k @ 3.1¢
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech
Yes$1.1k @ 3.1¢
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech
Yes$1.1k @ 3.1¢
Will Nvidia have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech
Yes$1.1k @ 3.1¢
Will MiniMax have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech
Yes$1.1k @ 3.1¢
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech
Yes$1.1k @ 3.1¢
Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech
Yes$1.1k @ 3.1¢
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech
Yes$1.1k @ 3.1¢
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$980 @ 3.1¢
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$980 @ 3.1¢
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$980 @ 3.1¢
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$980 @ 3.1¢
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$862 @ 3.1¢
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$842 @ 3.1¢
Will Helder Barbalho finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$627 @ 3.1¢
Will Tereza Cristina finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$611 @ 3.1¢
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$593 @ 3.1¢
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$527 @ 3.1¢
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy
Yes$496 @ 7.7¢
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy
Yes$496 @ 7.7¢
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech
Yes$483 @ 3.1¢
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy
Yes$470 @ 7.7¢
Will Daniel Helldén be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
Yes$430 @ 2.8¢
Will Amanda Lind be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
Yes$429 @ 2.8¢
Will Nooshi Dadgostar be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
Yes$429 @ 2.8¢
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$425 @ 3.1¢
Will Simona Mohamsson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
Yes$424 @ 2.8¢
Will Anna-Karin Hatt be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
Yes$424 @ 2.8¢
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$420 @ 3.1¢