← Smart money
0xb074…6869
SharpEdge
+26.7pp
ROI
+44%
Win rate
90% @ 63.3¢
Brier
0.117
Resolved
30
Avg size
$40
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 25% (1/4) | +100% | 4 |
| Tech | 100% (2/2) | +21% | 2 |
| Other | 100% (2/2) | +50% | 2 |
| Economy | 100% (2/2) | +41% | 2 |
- Sports4 bets
- Hit rate
- 25% (1/4)
- ROI
- +100%
- Tech2 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +21%
- Other2 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +50%
- Economy2 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +41%
Track record
70% hit · 7/10| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $9 | 8.7¢ | Lost |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $8 | 8.4¢ | Lost |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | Yes | $126 | 42.0¢ | Won |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | Yes | $5 | 46.0¢ | Won |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | $252 | 84.0¢ | Won |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $17 | 16.8¢ | Won |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | Yes | $193 | 68.5¢ | Won |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $16 | 16.0¢ | Lost |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | Yes | $507 | 78.2¢ | Won |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | Yes | $77 | 78.2¢ | Won |
- Yes$9 @ 8.7¢
- Yes$8 @ 8.4¢
- Yes$126 @ 42.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 46.0¢
- Yes$252 @ 84.0¢
- Yes$17 @ 16.8¢
- Yes$193 @ 68.5¢
- Yes$16 @ 16.0¢
- Yes$507 @ 78.2¢
- Yes$77 @ 78.2¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Tech | Yes | $229 | 55.8¢ |
- Yes$229 @ 55.8¢