0xb071…15cb

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xb0719da9d806d672e7fa665141d6f8952d0a15cb
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+17.7pp

ROI

+22%

Win rate

75% @ 57.6¢

Brier

0.130

Resolved

206

Avg size

$46

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	64% (32/50)	+22%	50
Sports	13% (1/8)	+19%	8
Crypto	100% (2/2)	+25%	2
Tech	100% (1/1)	+20%	1
Politics	100% (1/1)	+12%	1

Other50 bets
Hit rate
64% (32/50)
ROI
+22%
Sports8 bets
Hit rate
13% (1/8)
ROI
+19%
Crypto2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+25%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+20%
Politics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+12%

Track record

60% hit · 37/62

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$49	11.9¢	Lost
Super Bowl LIX Winner	Chiefs	$122	53.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$20	89.0¢	Won
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?	No	$100	58.4¢	Won
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5	Over	$29	74.0¢	Lost
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5	Over	$50	89.4¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?	Yes	$134	67.0¢	Lost
Will Gold close at $2,800-2,900 at the end of 2025?	Yes	$8	0.1¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?	Yes	$482	82.0¢	Won
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$25	6.0¢	Lost
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, R House	Yes	$5	1.7¢	Lost
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$52	12.6¢	Lost
Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026?	No	$385	77.0¢	Won
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?	No	$83	83.0¢	Won
Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?	No	$134	89.0¢	Won
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	$1	29.0¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?	No	$360	89.9¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?	Yes	$22	4.4¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 6?	No	$15	0.1¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?	Yes	$100	39.0¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	$150	75.0¢	Won
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$28	6.9¢	Lost
Solana ETF approved by July 31?	Yes	$108	54.0¢	Won
Will Solana reach $230 in November?	Yes	$266	79.5¢	Won
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	$65	65.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?	Yes	$311	85.3¢	Won
US military action against Iran before July?	No	$100	30.7¢	Lost
Will Solana hit $250 in December?	Yes	$420	70.7¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in November?	Yes	$82	82.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $3,250 in November?	Yes	$48	71.0¢	Won
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D House	Yes	$42	15.7¢	Lost
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?	No	$1	18.1¢	Lost
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$59	14.4¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in November?	Yes	$1.3k	74.4¢	Won
Iran Nuke in 2025?	No	$200	84.0¢	Won
30m Bluesky users in November?	Yes	$100	5.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum hit $4,000.00 in December?	Yes	$339	85.0¢	Won
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 3?	No	$25	17.0¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	$78	78.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?	Yes	$132	87.9¢	Won
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House	Yes	$20	39.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?	No	$164	81.0¢	Won
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$80	19.5¢	Lost
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$23	5.6¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?	Yes	$100	40.3¢	Won
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?	No	$81	81.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in November?	Yes	$124	67.9¢	Won
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?	Yes	$100	76.0¢	Won
Meteora FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	$9	1.7¢	Lost
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, R House	Yes	$4	0.8¢	Lost

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$49 @ 11.9¢
Super Bowl LIX WinnerLost
Chiefs$122 @ 53.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$20 @ 89.0¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Won
No$100 @ 58.4¢
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5Lost
Over$29 @ 74.0¢
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5Won
Over$50 @ 89.4¢
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?Lost
Yes$134 @ 67.0¢
Will Gold close at $2,800-2,900 at the end of 2025?Lost
Yes$8 @ 0.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?Won
Yes$482 @ 82.0¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$25 @ 6.0¢
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, R HouseLost
Yes$5 @ 1.7¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$52 @ 12.6¢
Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026?Won
No$385 @ 77.0¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?Won
No$83 @ 83.0¢
Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?Won
No$134 @ 89.0¢
Pistons vs. CavaliersLost
Pistons$1 @ 29.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?Won
No$360 @ 89.9¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?Lost
Yes$22 @ 4.4¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 6?Lost
No$15 @ 0.1¢
Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?Won
Yes$100 @ 39.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?Won
Yes$150 @ 75.0¢
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$28 @ 6.9¢
Solana ETF approved by July 31?Won
Yes$108 @ 54.0¢
Will Solana reach $230 in November?Won
Yes$266 @ 79.5¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Won
No$65 @ 65.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?Won
Yes$311 @ 85.3¢
US military action against Iran before July?Lost
No$100 @ 30.7¢
Will Solana hit $250 in December?Lost
Yes$420 @ 70.7¢
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in November?Won
Yes$82 @ 82.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,250 in November?Won
Yes$48 @ 71.0¢
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D HouseLost
Yes$42 @ 15.7¢
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?Lost
No$1 @ 18.1¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$59 @ 14.4¢
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in November?Won
Yes$1.3k @ 74.4¢
Iran Nuke in 2025?Won
No$200 @ 84.0¢
30m Bluesky users in November?Lost
Yes$100 @ 5.0¢
Will Ethereum hit $4,000.00 in December?Won
Yes$339 @ 85.0¢
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 3?Lost
No$25 @ 17.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Won
No$78 @ 78.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?Won
Yes$132 @ 87.9¢
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R HouseWon
Yes$20 @ 39.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?Won
No$164 @ 81.0¢
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$80 @ 19.5¢
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$23 @ 5.6¢
Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?Won
Yes$100 @ 40.3¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Won
No$81 @ 81.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in November?Won
Yes$124 @ 67.9¢
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Won
Yes$100 @ 76.0¢
Meteora FDV above $500M one day after launch?Lost
No$9 @ 1.7¢
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, R HouseLost
Yes$4 @ 0.8¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$1.2k	41.1¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Politics	No	$924	92.4¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$813	27.1¢
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$336	84.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?	Politics	No	$190	95.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$188	94.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$94	94.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$10	2.3¢

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$1.2k @ 41.1¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics
No$924 @ 92.4¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$813 @ 27.1¢
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?Politics
Yes$336 @ 84.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?Politics
No$190 @ 95.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$188 @ 94.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?Politics
Yes$94 @ 94.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$10 @ 2.3¢