0xafe8…42cc

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xafe80bc44acd33cacba9630b70bfa4c978f642cc
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+4.4pp

ROI

+6%

Win rate

33% @ 28.4¢

Brier

0.160

Resolved

656

Avg size

$162

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	18% (35/192)	+1%	192
Sports	36% (40/112)	+12%	112
Politics	33% (1/3)	-26%	3
Geopolitics	100% (3/3)	+20%	3

Other192 bets
Hit rate
18% (35/192)
ROI
+1%
Sports112 bets
Hit rate
36% (40/112)
ROI
+12%
Politics3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
-26%
Geopolitics3 bets
Hit rate
100% (3/3)
ROI
+20%

Track record

25% hit · 79/310

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 Spain?	Yes	$51	7.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Austria?	Yes	$411	9.0¢	Lost
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	$51	34.0¢	Won
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	$3.3k	41.9¢	Won
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Spain?	Yes	$51	7.0¢	Lost
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?	No	$6	37.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 1 Ghana?	Yes	$51	11.0¢	Lost
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$505	67.0¢	Won
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?	Yes	$51	24.0¢	Lost
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$815	77.1¢	Won
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	$51	20.0¢	Lost
Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	Yes	$511	24.0¢	Lost
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-08-29?	Yes	$10	51.0¢	Lost
Will France win on 2026-06-26?	No	$51	41.0¢	Lost
Will FC Lahti win on 2026-07-26?	Yes	$4	37.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 3 England?	Yes	$51	2.9¢	Lost
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?	Yes	$54	21.0¢	Lost
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	$2.3k	26.8¢	Lost
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	$303	63.0¢	Won
Colombia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$508	44.0¢	Lost
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$102	49.0¢	Won
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	$51	10.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Morocco?	Yes	$51	15.0¢	Lost
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	$101	50.2¢	Lost
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	$102	24.0¢	Lost
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?	Yes	$463	27.0¢	Won
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?	Yes	$633	32.0¢	Lost
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw?	Yes	$460	29.0¢	Lost
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	Yes	$512	20.0¢	Won
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 1 France?	Yes	$51	12.0¢	Won
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Switzerland?	Yes	$104	16.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Morocco?	Yes	$21	0.9¢	Lost
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Austria?	Yes	$154	3.7¢	Lost
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?	Yes	$38	26.0¢	Lost
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)	Panama	$101	59.0¢	Won
Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?	Yes	$296	29.0¢	Won
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Norway?	Yes	$51	7.0¢	Won
Will there be fewer than 2 North Korea tests in May 2026?	Yes	$108	86.3¢	Won
Will IFK Mariehamn vs. AC Oulu end in a draw?	Yes	$1	21.0¢	Won
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 France?	Yes	$51	2.9¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	No	$1.5k	79.0¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$6	0.3¢	Lost
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Cabo Verde?	Yes	$51	7.7¢	Lost
Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 2 Brazil?	Yes	$5	16.0¢	Lost
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	$1.7k	62.3¢	Won
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	$101	57.0¢	Won
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5	Over	$152	48.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Egypt?	Yes	$102	17.0¢	Won
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	$51	29.0¢	Won
Will FC Inter Turku win on 2026-07-26?	Yes	$31	57.0¢	Lost

Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 Spain?Lost
Yes$51 @ 7.0¢
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Austria?Lost
Yes$411 @ 9.0¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?Won
Yes$51 @ 34.0¢
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?Won
Yes$3.3k @ 41.9¢
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Spain?Lost
Yes$51 @ 7.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Lost
No$6 @ 37.0¢
Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 1 Ghana?Lost
Yes$51 @ 11.0¢
Will France win on 2026-06-16?Won
Yes$505 @ 67.0¢
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?Lost
Yes$51 @ 24.0¢
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?Won
Yes$815 @ 77.1¢
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?Lost
Yes$51 @ 20.0¢
Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?Lost
Yes$511 @ 24.0¢
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-08-29?Lost
Yes$10 @ 51.0¢
Will France win on 2026-06-26?Lost
No$51 @ 41.0¢
Will FC Lahti win on 2026-07-26?Lost
Yes$4 @ 37.0¢
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 3 England?Lost
Yes$51 @ 2.9¢
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?Lost
Yes$54 @ 21.0¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?Lost
Yes$2.3k @ 26.8¢
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?Won
Yes$303 @ 63.0¢
Colombia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to ScoreLost
Yes$508 @ 44.0¢
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Both Teams to ScoreWon
Yes$102 @ 49.0¢
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?Lost
Yes$51 @ 10.0¢
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Morocco?Lost
Yes$51 @ 15.0¢
Will England win on 2026-07-11?Lost
Yes$101 @ 50.2¢
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?Lost
Yes$102 @ 24.0¢
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?Won
Yes$463 @ 27.0¢
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?Lost
Yes$633 @ 32.0¢
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw?Lost
Yes$460 @ 29.0¢
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?Won
Yes$512 @ 20.0¢
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 1 France?Won
Yes$51 @ 12.0¢
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Switzerland?Lost
Yes$104 @ 16.0¢
Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Morocco?Lost
Yes$21 @ 0.9¢
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Austria?Lost
Yes$154 @ 3.7¢
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?Lost
Yes$38 @ 26.0¢
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)Won
Panama$101 @ 59.0¢
Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?Won
Yes$296 @ 29.0¢
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Norway?Won
Yes$51 @ 7.0¢
Will there be fewer than 2 North Korea tests in May 2026?Won
Yes$108 @ 86.3¢
Will IFK Mariehamn vs. AC Oulu end in a draw?Won
Yes$1 @ 21.0¢
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 France?Lost
Yes$51 @ 2.9¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Won
No$1.5k @ 79.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Lost
Yes$6 @ 0.3¢
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Cabo Verde?Lost
Yes$51 @ 7.7¢
Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 2 Brazil?Lost
Yes$5 @ 16.0¢
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?Won
Yes$1.7k @ 62.3¢
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?Won
Yes$101 @ 57.0¢
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$152 @ 48.0¢
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Egypt?Won
Yes$102 @ 17.0¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Won
Yes$51 @ 29.0¢
Will FC Inter Turku win on 2026-07-26?Lost
Yes$31 @ 57.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$541	9.7¢

Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$541 @ 9.7¢