0xafde…3e1d

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xafde461fce5aa0fabdb7711c59db93b65e343e1d
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

-1.4pp

ROI

+4%

Win rate

6% @ 6.9¢

Brier

0.034

Resolved

2993

Avg size

$12

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	10% (32/334)	-7%	334
Science	21% (26/123)	+90%	123
Politics	11% (2/18)	-90%	18
Sports	17% (2/12)	-8%	12
Geopolitics	0% (0/4)	-100%	4
Crypto	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Tech	100% (1/1)	+259%	1

Other334 bets
Hit rate
10% (32/334)
ROI
-7%
Science123 bets
Hit rate
21% (26/123)
ROI
+90%
Politics18 bets
Hit rate
11% (2/18)
ROI
-90%
Sports12 bets
Hit rate
17% (2/12)
ROI
-8%
Geopolitics4 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/4)
ROI
-100%
Crypto2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+259%

Track record

13% hit · 63/494

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on October 16?	Yes	$2	0.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on October 16?	Yes	$26	6.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 41°F or below on October 15?	Yes	$11	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 42-43°F on October 15?	Yes	$17	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 44-45°F on October 15?	Yes	$4	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on October 15?	Yes	$3	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C or below on October 15?	Yes	$16	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on October 15?	Yes	$1	0.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on October 15?	Yes	$6	4.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 15?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 15?	Yes	$85	62.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on October 15?	Yes	$16	1.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on October 15?	Yes	$2	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 27?	Yes	$7	2.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on September 24?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 1?	Yes	$9	0.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on August 22?	Yes	$14	6.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 25?	No	$819	52.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on October 12?	Yes	$5	2.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 24?	Yes	$6	0.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on August 12?	Yes	$8	1.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 2?	Yes	$20	2.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on August 3?	Yes	$0	0.7¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 31?	No	$2	40.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 14?	Yes	$9	1.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 28?	Yes	$7	1.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on October 10?	Yes	$9	0.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 11?	Yes	$10	1.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 17?	Yes	$3	0.3¢	Lost
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Science Summit remarks?	No	$1	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 8?	Yes	$25	1.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 2?	Yes	$11	1.1¢	Lost
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	$105	0.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 12?	No	$210	80.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 12?	Yes	$5	36.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 12?	Yes	$80	4.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 21?	Yes	$4	0.5¢	Lost
KBO: KT Wiz vs. Hanwha Eagles	Hanwha Eagles	$2	0.1¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: A Great Chaos vs aimclub (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #2 Group A	A Great Chaos	$123	1.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 17?	Yes	$28	2.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 4?	Yes	$12	6.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 20?	Yes	$83	2.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on October 2?	Yes	$2	1.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 25?	Yes	$33	10.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 16?	Yes	$50	5.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 17?	Yes	$8	1.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 1?	Yes	$16	3.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 18?	Yes	$12	5.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 26?	No	$19	30.0¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C or below on August 31?	Yes	$4	0.4¢	Lost

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on October 16?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on October 16?Lost
Yes$26 @ 6.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 41°F or below on October 15?Lost
Yes$11 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 42-43°F on October 15?Lost
Yes$17 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 44-45°F on October 15?Lost
Yes$4 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on October 15?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C or below on October 15?Lost
Yes$16 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on October 15?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on October 15?Lost
Yes$6 @ 4.5¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 15?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 15?Won
Yes$85 @ 62.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on October 15?Lost
Yes$16 @ 1.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on October 15?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 27?Lost
Yes$7 @ 2.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on September 24?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 1?Lost
Yes$9 @ 0.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on August 22?Lost
Yes$14 @ 6.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 25?Lost
No$819 @ 52.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on October 12?Lost
Yes$5 @ 2.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 24?Lost
Yes$6 @ 0.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on August 12?Lost
Yes$8 @ 1.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 2?Lost
Yes$20 @ 2.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on August 3?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.7¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 31?Won
No$2 @ 40.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 14?Lost
Yes$9 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 28?Lost
Yes$7 @ 1.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on October 10?Lost
Yes$9 @ 0.6¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 11?Lost
Yes$10 @ 1.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 17?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.3¢
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Science Summit remarks?Lost
No$1 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 8?Lost
Yes$25 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 2?Lost
Yes$11 @ 1.1¢
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Lost
Yes$105 @ 0.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 12?Won
No$210 @ 80.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 12?Lost
Yes$5 @ 36.1¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 12?Lost
Yes$80 @ 4.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 21?Lost
Yes$4 @ 0.5¢
KBO: KT Wiz vs. Hanwha EaglesLost
Hanwha Eagles$2 @ 0.1¢
Counter-Strike: A Great Chaos vs aimclub (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #2 Group ALost
A Great Chaos$123 @ 1.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 17?Lost
Yes$28 @ 2.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 4?Lost
Yes$12 @ 6.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 20?Won
Yes$83 @ 2.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on October 2?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.3¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 25?Won
Yes$33 @ 10.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 16?Lost
Yes$50 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 17?Lost
Yes$8 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 1?Lost
Yes$16 @ 3.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 18?Lost
Yes$12 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 26?Lost
No$19 @ 30.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C or below on August 31?Lost
Yes$4 @ 0.4¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 16?	Science	Yes	$1.7k	64.3¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 16?	Science	No	$1.3k	98.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on October 16?	Science	Yes	$737	57.4¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 16?	Science	No	$494	55.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on October 16?	Science	No	$124	99.5¢
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$118	12.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on October 16?	Science	Yes	$115	70.1¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 16?	Science	No	$114	99.7¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 15?	Science	Yes	$85	62.4¢
Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Science	Yes	$50	7.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on October 16?	Science	Yes	$26	6.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 42-43°F on October 15?	Science	Yes	$17	0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on October 15?	Science	Yes	$16	1.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C or below on October 15?	Science	Yes	$16	0.1¢
Will Gwangju FC be relegated from the 2026 K-League?	Sports	Yes	$12	65.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 41°F or below on October 15?	Science	Yes	$11	0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 16?	Science	Yes	$9	0.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C or below on October 16?	Science	Yes	$8	0.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on October 15?	Science	Yes	$6	4.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 44-45°F on October 15?	Science	Yes	$4	0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on October 16?	Science	Yes	$4	0.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on October 15?	Science	Yes	$3	0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on October 16?	Science	Yes	$3	13.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on October 15?	Science	Yes	$2	0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on October 16?	Science	Yes	$2	0.6¢
Will Chovy leave Gen.G in 2026?	Sports	Yes	$1	6.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on October 15?	Science	Yes	$1	0.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on October 16?	Science	Yes	$0	0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 15?	Science	Yes	$0	0.1¢

Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 16?Science
Yes$1.7k @ 64.3¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 16?Science
No$1.3k @ 98.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on October 16?Science
Yes$737 @ 57.4¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 16?Science
No$494 @ 55.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on October 16?Science
No$124 @ 99.5¢
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?Politics
Yes$118 @ 12.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on October 16?Science
Yes$115 @ 70.1¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 16?Science
No$114 @ 99.7¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 15?Science
Yes$85 @ 62.4¢
Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?Science
Yes$50 @ 7.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on October 16?Science
Yes$26 @ 6.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 42-43°F on October 15?Science
Yes$17 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on October 15?Science
Yes$16 @ 1.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C or below on October 15?Science
Yes$16 @ 0.1¢
Will Gwangju FC be relegated from the 2026 K-League?Sports
Yes$12 @ 65.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 41°F or below on October 15?Science
Yes$11 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 16?Science
Yes$9 @ 0.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C or below on October 16?Science
Yes$8 @ 0.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on October 15?Science
Yes$6 @ 4.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 44-45°F on October 15?Science
Yes$4 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on October 16?Science
Yes$4 @ 0.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on October 15?Science
Yes$3 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on October 16?Science
Yes$3 @ 13.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on October 15?Science
Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on October 16?Science
Yes$2 @ 0.6¢
Will Chovy leave Gen.G in 2026?Sports
Yes$1 @ 6.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on October 15?Science
Yes$1 @ 0.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on October 16?Science
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 15?Science
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢