0xaf38…c19e

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xaf38cbafaa8da562cc7f88ae2b06e5ea7027c19e
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+8.1pp

ROI

+27%

Win rate

45% @ 36.6¢

Brier

0.202

Resolved

244

Avg size

$16

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	52% (76/146)	+21%	146
Science	14% (2/14)	-48%	14
Sports	17% (1/6)	+220%	6
Politics	100% (1/1)	+32%	1

Other146 bets
Hit rate
52% (76/146)
ROI
+21%
Science14 bets
Hit rate
14% (2/14)
ROI
-48%
Sports6 bets
Hit rate
17% (1/6)
ROI
+220%
Politics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+32%

Track record

48% hit · 80/167

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 21?	Yes	$10	35.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	$40	57.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 21?	Yes	$20	58.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 21?	Yes	$5	12.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on September 21?	No	$300	89.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 21?	Yes	$13	10.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 21?	Yes	$170	38.6¢	Won
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$300	75.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 20?	Yes	$200	34.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 19?	Yes	$16	37.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 24?	Yes	$26	66.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 27?	No	$51	84.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 16?	Yes	$31	47.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 12?	Yes	$20	74.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 12?	Yes	$33	6.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 25?	Yes	$103	69.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 18?	Yes	$16	34.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on June 29?	Yes	$15	32.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 5?	Yes	$1	13.0¢	Lost
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$23	25.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 9?	Yes	$20	60.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 23?	Yes	$12	36.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on June 25?	Yes	$20	51.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 3?	Yes	$15	72.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on July 16?	Yes	$4	22.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on June 22?	Yes	$6	18.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 27?	Yes	$2	5.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 28?	Yes	$21	39.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 13?	Yes	$4	17.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 17?	Yes	$10	17.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 17?	Yes	$1	1.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 26?	Yes	$21	46.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 26?	Yes	$26	43.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 29?	Yes	$10	27.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 18?	Yes	$138	56.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 104-105°F on August 24?	Yes	$31	55.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 29?	Yes	$16	52.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 4?	Yes	$10	36.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 30?	Yes	$3	17.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on July 27?	Yes	$8	14.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 17?	Yes	$10	42.0¢	Lost
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$15	1.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 3?	Yes	$10	47.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 27?	Yes	$5	29.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 18?	Yes	$11	35.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 17?	Yes	$10	36.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 10?	Yes	$15	40.0¢	Lost
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	$10	34.2¢	Lost
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	$13	62.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on July 2?	Yes	$2	4.1¢	Lost

Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 21?Lost
Yes$10 @ 35.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on September 21?Lost
Yes$40 @ 57.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 21?Lost
Yes$20 @ 58.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 21?Lost
Yes$5 @ 12.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on September 21?Won
No$300 @ 89.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 21?Lost
Yes$13 @ 10.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 21?Won
Yes$170 @ 38.6¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Won
Yes$300 @ 75.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 20?Lost
Yes$200 @ 34.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 19?Won
Yes$16 @ 37.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 24?Lost
Yes$26 @ 66.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 27?Won
No$51 @ 84.5¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 16?Lost
Yes$31 @ 47.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 12?Won
Yes$20 @ 74.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 12?Lost
Yes$33 @ 6.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 25?Won
Yes$103 @ 69.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 18?Lost
Yes$16 @ 34.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on June 29?Lost
Yes$15 @ 32.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 5?Lost
Yes$1 @ 13.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$23 @ 25.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 9?Lost
Yes$20 @ 60.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 23?Lost
Yes$12 @ 36.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on June 25?Won
Yes$20 @ 51.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 3?Lost
Yes$15 @ 72.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on July 16?Won
Yes$4 @ 22.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on June 22?Lost
Yes$6 @ 18.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 27?Lost
Yes$2 @ 5.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 28?Won
Yes$21 @ 39.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 13?Lost
Yes$4 @ 17.6¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 17?Won
Yes$10 @ 17.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 17?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 26?Won
Yes$21 @ 46.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 26?Won
Yes$26 @ 43.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 29?Lost
Yes$10 @ 27.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 18?Won
Yes$138 @ 56.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 104-105°F on August 24?Won
Yes$31 @ 55.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 29?Won
Yes$16 @ 52.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 4?Lost
Yes$10 @ 36.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 30?Lost
Yes$3 @ 17.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on July 27?Lost
Yes$8 @ 14.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 17?Lost
Yes$10 @ 42.0¢
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$15 @ 1.6¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 3?Lost
Yes$10 @ 47.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 27?Won
Yes$5 @ 29.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 18?Won
Yes$11 @ 35.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 17?Won
Yes$10 @ 36.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 10?Lost
Yes$15 @ 40.0¢
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?Lost
Yes$10 @ 34.2¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?Lost
Yes$13 @ 62.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on July 2?Lost
Yes$2 @ 4.1¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Politics	Yes	$300	60.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 22?	Science	Yes	$300	65.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 23?	Science	Yes	$200	61.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 22?	Science	Yes	$40	60.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C or below on September 22?	Science	Yes	$20	4.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 22?	Science	Yes	$4	19.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C or below on September 23?	Science	Yes	$3	1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 22?	Science	Yes	$1	5.0¢

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics
Yes$300 @ 60.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 22?Science
Yes$300 @ 65.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 23?Science
Yes$200 @ 61.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 22?Science
Yes$40 @ 60.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C or below on September 22?Science
Yes$20 @ 4.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 22?Science
Yes$4 @ 19.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C or below on September 23?Science
Yes$3 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 22?Science
Yes$1 @ 5.0¢