0xaf17…5c20

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xaf17116ae2b1476032785a67bd5b7c8c05905c20
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+3.0pp

ROI

+51%

Win rate

6% @ 3.1¢

Brier

0.049

Resolved

394

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	8% (12/156)	+1%	156

Other156 bets
Hit rate
8% (12/156)
ROI
+1%

Track record

8% hit · 12/156

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on July 5?	Yes	$2	1.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on June 29?	Yes	$5	4.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on June 29?	Yes	$5	1.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on June 30?	Yes	$75	20.2¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 11?	Yes	$22	12.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on July 16?	Yes	$3	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 28?	Yes	$5	0.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C or below on July 4?	Yes	$31	4.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 30?	Yes	$4	2.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on July 2?	Yes	$2	1.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 28?	No	$3	3.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on June 28?	Yes	$2	0.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 29?	Yes	$5	3.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 29?	Yes	$4	2.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 5?	Yes	$6	6.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 33°C on July 2?	Yes	$2	0.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 32°C on July 2?	Yes	$7	12.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on June 29?	Yes	$25	3.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on June 29?	Yes	$10	2.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 29?	Yes	$26	12.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 30?	Yes	$6	3.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 30?	Yes	$25	22.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C or higher on July 1?	Yes	$1	0.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 29?	Yes	$17	12.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 3?	Yes	$11	10.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C on June 28?	Yes	$10	3.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on June 30?	Yes	$6	2.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 29?	Yes	$5	1.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 18°C or below on June 30?	Yes	$4	1.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 2?	Yes	$32	10.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or higher on July 16?	Yes	$2	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 1?	Yes	$11	7.5¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 30?	Yes	$7	11.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C or below on July 2?	Yes	$1	0.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C or below on July 4?	Yes	$8	0.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C or below on June 29?	Yes	$1	0.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on June 29?	Yes	$3	0.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C or below on July 4?	Yes	$3	1.5¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 1?	Yes	$5	1.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 106-107°F on July 2?	Yes	$6	2.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 28?	Yes	$5	5.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on July 3?	Yes	$9	2.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C or below on June 28?	Yes	$2	0.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 3?	Yes	$25	17.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on July 2?	Yes	$4	1.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on July 2?	Yes	$11	3.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 4?	Yes	$4	2.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on July 1?	Yes	$6	2.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C or higher on June 29?	Yes	$6	0.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 2?	Yes	$4	1.2¢	Lost

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on July 5?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on June 29?Lost
Yes$5 @ 4.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on June 29?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on June 30?Won
Yes$75 @ 20.2¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 11?Won
Yes$22 @ 12.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on July 16?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 28?Lost
Yes$5 @ 0.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C or below on July 4?Lost
Yes$31 @ 4.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 30?Lost
Yes$4 @ 2.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on July 2?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 28?Won
No$3 @ 3.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on June 28?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 29?Lost
Yes$5 @ 3.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 29?Lost
Yes$4 @ 2.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 5?Lost
Yes$6 @ 6.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 33°C on July 2?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 32°C on July 2?Lost
Yes$7 @ 12.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on June 29?Lost
Yes$25 @ 3.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on June 29?Lost
Yes$10 @ 2.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 29?Won
Yes$26 @ 12.4¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 30?Lost
Yes$6 @ 3.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 30?Lost
Yes$25 @ 22.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C or higher on July 1?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 29?Won
Yes$17 @ 12.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 3?Lost
Yes$11 @ 10.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C on June 28?Lost
Yes$10 @ 3.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on June 30?Lost
Yes$6 @ 2.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 29?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 18°C or below on June 30?Lost
Yes$4 @ 1.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 2?Lost
Yes$32 @ 10.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or higher on July 16?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 1?Lost
Yes$11 @ 7.5¢
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 30?Lost
Yes$7 @ 11.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C or below on July 2?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.3¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C or below on July 4?Lost
Yes$8 @ 0.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C or below on June 29?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on June 29?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C or below on July 4?Lost
Yes$3 @ 1.5¢
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 1?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.9¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 106-107°F on July 2?Lost
Yes$6 @ 2.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 28?Lost
Yes$5 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on July 3?Lost
Yes$9 @ 2.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C or below on June 28?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 3?Lost
Yes$25 @ 17.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on July 2?Lost
Yes$4 @ 1.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on July 2?Lost
Yes$11 @ 3.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 4?Lost
Yes$4 @ 2.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on July 1?Lost
Yes$6 @ 2.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C or higher on June 29?Lost
Yes$6 @ 0.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 2?Lost
Yes$4 @ 1.2¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$500	50.0¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	No	$500	50.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on July 25?	—	Yes	$45	18.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on July 25?	—	Yes	$41	10.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 27?	—	Yes	$28	17.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 33°C on July 27?	—	Yes	$22	17.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on July 25?	—	Yes	$13	18.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on July 25?	—	Yes	$10	1.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 34°C on July 27?	—	Yes	$10	2.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on July 25?	—	Yes	$10	10.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on July 25?	—	Yes	$7	4.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on July 25?	—	Yes	$6	3.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on July 25?	—	Yes	$6	0.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C or higher on July 25?	—	Yes	$5	1.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 25?	—	Yes	$4	8.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 27?	—	Yes	$4	16.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on July 25?	—	Yes	$4	0.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C or below on July 27?	—	Yes	$2	3.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on July 25?	—	Yes	$2	4.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on July 26?	—	Yes	$2	3.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on July 27?	—	Yes	$1	7.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C or below on July 27?	—	Yes	$1	6.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 35°C on July 27?	—	Yes	$0	0.2¢

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$500 @ 50.0¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
No$500 @ 50.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on July 25?—
Yes$45 @ 18.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on July 25?—
Yes$41 @ 10.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 27?—
Yes$28 @ 17.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 33°C on July 27?—
Yes$22 @ 17.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on July 25?—
Yes$13 @ 18.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on July 25?—
Yes$10 @ 1.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 34°C on July 27?—
Yes$10 @ 2.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on July 25?—
Yes$10 @ 10.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on July 25?—
Yes$7 @ 4.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on July 25?—
Yes$6 @ 3.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on July 25?—
Yes$6 @ 0.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C or higher on July 25?—
Yes$5 @ 1.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 25?—
Yes$4 @ 8.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 27?—
Yes$4 @ 16.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on July 25?—
Yes$4 @ 0.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C or below on July 27?—
Yes$2 @ 3.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on July 25?—
Yes$2 @ 4.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on July 26?—
Yes$2 @ 3.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on July 27?—
Yes$1 @ 7.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C or below on July 27?—
Yes$1 @ 6.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 35°C on July 27?—
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢