0xaf0e…3197

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xaf0e578b7a4fcc8132375e2fa7d0d22d31a73197
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+5.2pp

ROI

+10%

Win rate

42% @ 36.7¢

Brier

0.183

Resolved

1647

Avg size

$92

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	70% (174/249)	+22%	249
Other	63% (154/244)	-5%	244
Politics	100% (1/1)	+32%	1

Sports249 bets
Hit rate
70% (174/249)
ROI
+22%
Other244 bets
Hit rate
63% (154/244)
ROI
-5%
Politics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+32%

Track record

67% hit · 329/494

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Mexico vs. Chile: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$102	51.0¢	Lost
Mexico vs. Chile: O/U 1.5	Over	$114	76.0¢	Won
Will Mexico win on 2026-10-05?	No	$101	46.0¢	Won
Will Canada win on 2026-10-06?	No	$119	79.0¢	Won
Will England win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	$2.0k	89.0¢	Won
Korea Republic vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score	No	$96	60.6¢	Won
Netherlands vs. Serbia: O/U 1.5	Over	$2.5k	90.0¢	Won
Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	$892	86.0¢	Won
United States vs. Mexico: O/U 2.5	Over	$202	59.6¢	Won
United States vs. Mexico: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$202	63.0¢	Lost
Will United States win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	$3.0k	99.9¢	Won
Will Gamba Ōsaka vs. Fagiano Okayama end in a draw?	Yes	$271	80.4¢	Won
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$107	53.0¢	Lost
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	No	$313	66.0¢	Lost
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?	No	$105	61.0¢	Lost
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)	Sunderland AFC	$79	78.0¢	Won
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 1.5	Over	$105	80.0¢	Won
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$101	66.0¢	Won
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$104	64.0¢	Won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5	Over	$118	46.8¢	Won
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?	Yes	$158	59.0¢	Lost
Spread: Spain (-3.5)	Spain	$104	34.0¢	Lost
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?	No	$106	81.0¢	Won
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21?	Yes	$120	80.0¢	Won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5	Over	$103	79.0¢	Won
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-16?	No	$98	49.0¢	Won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance	Argentina	$1.3k	75.5¢	Won
Will France win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	$109	60.0¢	Won
Will Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw?	Yes	$67	18.3¢	Lost
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 1.5	Under	$107	89.0¢	Won
Bolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5	Over	$82	82.0¢	Won
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Diane Parry vs Emma Raducanu	Emma Raducanu	$229	60.0¢	Lost
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$2.0k	15.5¢	Lost
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	$180	70.7¢	Won
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-21?	No	$200	59.0¢	Lost
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-09-20?	No	$306	87.0¢	Won
France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5	Over	$23	66.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$76	76.0¢	Won
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	$554	52.3¢	Lost
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-19?	Yes	$118	76.0¢	Lost
England vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5	Over	$102	72.0¢	Won
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-18?	Yes	$197	48.0¢	Lost
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 2.5	Under	$109	72.0¢	Won
Russia vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 5.5	Over	$1	12.0¢	Lost
Will Albirex Niigata win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	$10	54.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?	No	$50	50.1¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?	Yes	$170	56.5¢	Lost
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5	Over	$105	80.0¢	Lost
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	$102	70.0¢	Won
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)	Colombia	$105	52.0¢	Won

Mexico vs. Chile: Both Teams to ScoreLost
Yes$102 @ 51.0¢
Mexico vs. Chile: O/U 1.5Won
Over$114 @ 76.0¢
Will Mexico win on 2026-10-05?Won
No$101 @ 46.0¢
Will Canada win on 2026-10-06?Won
No$119 @ 79.0¢
Will England win on 2026-10-06?Won
Yes$2.0k @ 89.0¢
Korea Republic vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to ScoreWon
No$96 @ 60.6¢
Netherlands vs. Serbia: O/U 1.5Won
Over$2.5k @ 90.0¢
Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-04?Won
Yes$892 @ 86.0¢
United States vs. Mexico: O/U 2.5Won
Over$202 @ 59.6¢
United States vs. Mexico: Both Teams to ScoreLost
Yes$202 @ 63.0¢
Will United States win on 2026-10-03?Won
Yes$3.0k @ 99.9¢
Will Gamba Ōsaka vs. Fagiano Okayama end in a draw?Won
Yes$271 @ 80.4¢
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to ScoreLost
Yes$107 @ 53.0¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?Lost
No$313 @ 66.0¢
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?Lost
No$105 @ 61.0¢
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)Won
Sunderland AFC$79 @ 78.0¢
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 1.5Won
Over$105 @ 80.0¢
Will France win on 2026-06-16?Won
Yes$101 @ 66.0¢
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?Won
Yes$104 @ 64.0¢
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5Won
Over$118 @ 46.8¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?Lost
Yes$158 @ 59.0¢
Spread: Spain (-3.5)Lost
Spain$104 @ 34.0¢
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?Won
No$106 @ 81.0¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21?Won
Yes$120 @ 80.0¢
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5Won
Over$103 @ 79.0¢
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-16?Won
No$98 @ 49.0¢
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceWon
Argentina$1.3k @ 75.5¢
Will France win on 2026-06-26?Won
Yes$109 @ 60.0¢
Will Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw?Lost
Yes$67 @ 18.3¢
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 1.5Won
Under$107 @ 89.0¢
Bolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5Won
Over$82 @ 82.0¢
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Diane Parry vs Emma RaducanuLost
Emma Raducanu$229 @ 60.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$2.0k @ 15.5¢
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?Won
Yes$180 @ 70.7¢
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-21?Lost
No$200 @ 59.0¢
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-09-20?Won
No$306 @ 87.0¢
France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5Lost
Over$23 @ 66.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$76 @ 76.0¢
Will England win on 2026-07-11?Lost
Yes$554 @ 52.3¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-19?Lost
Yes$118 @ 76.0¢
England vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5Won
Over$102 @ 72.0¢
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-18?Lost
Yes$197 @ 48.0¢
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 2.5Won
Under$109 @ 72.0¢
Russia vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 5.5Lost
Over$1 @ 12.0¢
Will Albirex Niigata win on 2026-05-16?Won
Yes$10 @ 54.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?Won
No$50 @ 50.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?Lost
Yes$170 @ 56.5¢
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5Lost
Over$105 @ 80.0¢
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?Won
Yes$102 @ 70.0¢
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)Won
Colombia$105 @ 52.0¢

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Canada win on 2026-10-06?	Sports	No	$119	79.0¢
Mexico vs. Chile: O/U 1.5	Sports	Over	$114	76.0¢
Mexico vs. Chile: Both Teams to Score	Sports	Yes	$102	51.0¢
Will Mexico win on 2026-10-05?	Sports	No	$101	46.0¢

Will Canada win on 2026-10-06?Sports
No$119 @ 79.0¢
Mexico vs. Chile: O/U 1.5Sports
Over$114 @ 76.0¢
Mexico vs. Chile: Both Teams to ScoreSports
Yes$102 @ 51.0¢
Will Mexico win on 2026-10-05?Sports
No$101 @ 46.0¢