0xaec8…c5d4

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xaec890a2d31031b56ced3ad5d40f8f080cbcc5d4
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+6.5pp

ROI

+6%

Win rate

39% @ 32.7¢

Brier

0.172

Resolved

286

Avg size

$11

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	37% (66/178)	+3%	178
Sports	36% (27/75)	+14%	75
Politics	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Science	100% (1/1)	+333%	1

Other178 bets
Hit rate
37% (66/178)
ROI
+3%
Sports75 bets
Hit rate
36% (27/75)
ROI
+14%
Politics2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Science1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+333%

Track record

37% hit · 94/256

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
LoL: FENNEL vs Cupid Esports (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group C	Cupid Esports	$10	64.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Play-Ins	1WIN	$8	34.0¢	Won
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Austria?	Yes	$8	12.0¢	Won
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	No	$20	66.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Spain?	Yes	$6	7.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 1 Ghana?	Yes	$10	11.0¢	Lost
Spread: Spain (-3.5)	Spain	$5	37.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Uruguay 1 - 2 Spain?	Yes	$3	11.0¢	Lost
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5	Under	$10	64.0¢	Won
Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner	Conventus Stellarum	$5	35.0¢	Lost
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner	JD Gaming	$2	60.0¢	Won
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Vici Gaming (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C	Vici Gaming	$10	69.0¢	Won
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$10	10.8¢	Lost
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 0 Algeria?	Yes	$6	10.0¢	Won
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Haiti?	Yes	$5	4.3¢	Lost
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage	Yakult Brothers	$5	43.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Spain?	Yes	$6	1.5¢	Lost
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Cobra - Game 1 Winner	Team Cobra	$10	42.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Tunisia 0 - 3 Netherlands?	Yes	$3	13.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 1 France?	Yes	$8	12.0¢	Won
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Switzerland?	Yes	$10	16.0¢	Lost
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$39	64.0¢	Won
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	$10	24.5¢	Lost
Spread: France (-1.5)	France	$51	61.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 2 Senegal?	Yes	$5	7.0¢	Lost
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)	Nottingham Forest FC	$10	58.0¢	Won
Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 2 Portugal?	Yes	$3	2.4¢	Lost
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance	Morocco	$59	50.0¢	Won
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Cabo Verde?	Yes	$10	7.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Saudi Arabia?	Yes	$6	15.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs	Team Falcons	$51	60.0¢	Won
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5	Under	$10	52.7¢	Won
Exact Score: Uruguay 1 - 3 Spain?	Yes	$3	7.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Egypt?	Yes	$10	17.0¢	Won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5	Over	$10	35.0¢	Lost
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)	BetBoom Team	$1	48.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Norway?	Yes	$5	6.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 2 Algeria?	Yes	$10	6.0¢	Lost
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	$10	59.0¢	Won
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$20	69.0¢	Won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: New Zealand O/U 1.5	Over	$20	42.0¢	Won
Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 1 Ghana?	Yes	$10	11.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Sweden?	Yes	$3	2.4¢	Lost
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	$20	59.7¢	Won
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5	Over	$15	26.0¢	Won
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 3 France?	Yes	$10	14.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Spain?	Yes	$10	14.0¢	Lost
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	$2	39.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 2 Norway?	Yes	$5	10.0¢	Won
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	$3	44.0¢	Lost

LoL: FENNEL vs Cupid Esports (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group CWon
Cupid Esports$10 @ 64.0¢
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Play-InsWon
1WIN$8 @ 34.0¢
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Austria?Won
Yes$8 @ 12.0¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?Lost
No$20 @ 66.0¢
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Spain?Lost
Yes$6 @ 7.0¢
Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 1 Ghana?Lost
Yes$10 @ 11.0¢
Spread: Spain (-3.5)Lost
Spain$5 @ 37.0¢
Exact Score: Uruguay 1 - 2 Spain?Lost
Yes$3 @ 11.0¢
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5Won
Under$10 @ 64.0¢
Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs PlayTime - Game 2 WinnerLost
Conventus Stellarum$5 @ 35.0¢
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerWon
JD Gaming$2 @ 60.0¢
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Vici Gaming (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group CWon
Vici Gaming$10 @ 69.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$10 @ 10.8¢
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 0 Algeria?Won
Yes$6 @ 10.0¢
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Haiti?Lost
Yes$5 @ 4.3¢
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageLost
Yakult Brothers$5 @ 43.0¢
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Spain?Lost
Yes$6 @ 1.5¢
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Cobra - Game 1 WinnerLost
Team Cobra$10 @ 42.0¢
Exact Score: Tunisia 0 - 3 Netherlands?Lost
Yes$3 @ 13.0¢
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 1 France?Won
Yes$8 @ 12.0¢
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Switzerland?Lost
Yes$10 @ 16.0¢
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to ScoreWon
Yes$39 @ 64.0¢
Exact Score: Any Other Score?Lost
Yes$10 @ 24.5¢
Spread: France (-1.5)Lost
France$51 @ 61.0¢
Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 2 Senegal?Lost
Yes$5 @ 7.0¢
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)Won
Nottingham Forest FC$10 @ 58.0¢
Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 2 Portugal?Lost
Yes$3 @ 2.4¢
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceWon
Morocco$59 @ 50.0¢
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Cabo Verde?Lost
Yes$10 @ 7.0¢
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Saudi Arabia?Lost
Yes$6 @ 15.0¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsWon
Team Falcons$51 @ 60.0¢
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Won
Under$10 @ 52.7¢
Exact Score: Uruguay 1 - 3 Spain?Lost
Yes$3 @ 7.0¢
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Egypt?Won
Yes$10 @ 17.0¢
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$10 @ 35.0¢
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)Lost
BetBoom Team$1 @ 48.0¢
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Norway?Lost
Yes$5 @ 6.0¢
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 2 Algeria?Lost
Yes$10 @ 6.0¢
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?Won
Yes$10 @ 59.0¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Won
Yes$20 @ 69.0¢
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: New Zealand O/U 1.5Won
Over$20 @ 42.0¢
Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 1 Ghana?Lost
Yes$10 @ 11.0¢
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Sweden?Lost
Yes$3 @ 2.4¢
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Won
Yes$20 @ 59.7¢
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5Won
Over$15 @ 26.0¢
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 3 France?Lost
Yes$10 @ 14.0¢
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Spain?Lost
Yes$10 @ 14.0¢
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?Lost
Yes$2 @ 39.0¢
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 2 Norway?Won
Yes$5 @ 10.0¢
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?Lost
Yes$3 @ 44.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
LoL: FENNEL vs Cupid Esports (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group C	—	Cupid Esports	$10	64.0¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	—	Yes	$1	12.7¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	—	Yes	$1	5.0¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Other	Yes	$1	10.0¢
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Economy	Yes	$1	11.0¢

LoL: FENNEL vs Cupid Esports (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group C—
Cupid Esports$10 @ 64.0¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?—
Yes$1 @ 12.7¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?—
Yes$1 @ 5.0¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?Other
Yes$1 @ 10.0¢
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Economy
Yes$1 @ 11.0¢