0xaea3…fe61

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xaea33a63323438ddafed2def9bb286d1aeccfe61
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+7.1pp

ROI

+18%

Win rate

61% @ 53.5¢

Brier

0.136

Resolved

892

Avg size

$211

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	51% (70/137)	+9%	137
Crypto	50% (12/24)	+27%	24
Politics	73% (11/15)	+25%	15
Sports	60% (3/5)	+28%	5

Other137 bets
Hit rate
51% (70/137)
ROI
+9%
Crypto24 bets
Hit rate
50% (12/24)
ROI
+27%
Politics15 bets
Hit rate
73% (11/15)
ROI
+25%
Sports5 bets
Hit rate
60% (3/5)
ROI
+28%

Track record

53% hit · 96/181

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 4 Winner	LYON	$50	34.0¢	Lost
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner	G2 Esports	$200	52.9¢	Lost
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winner	Hanwha Life Esports	$50	50.0¢	Lost
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs	G2 Esports	$50	28.0¢	Lost
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs	LYON	$50	23.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MIBR - Map 2 Winner	MIBR	$50	28.1¢	Lost
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5	Under	$300	55.0¢	Lost
Mexico vs. England: Draw at halftime?	Yes	$197	47.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP - Map 2 Winner	Luminosity	$540	54.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 1-7?	No	$50	20.9¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $62,000 on June 6?	Yes	$20	7.6¢	Lost
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 1	Evil Geniuses	$19	4.9¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs	Heroic	$265	37.9¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in November?	No	$12	6.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?	No	$30	5.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	$72	36.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	No	$92	46.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	$500	61.0¢	Won
San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 11.5	Over	$2	1.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?	No	$6.2k	76.9¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs M80 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A	M80	$112	13.2¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Phantom - Map 2 Winner	ex-RUBY	$541	81.2¢	Won
LoL: GAM Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - LCP Regular Season	CTBC Flying Oyster	$48	0.1¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$4.7k	78.2¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$1.3k	37.7¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	$1.1k	74.0¢	Won
Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	Yes	$9	9.6¢	Won
Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	$1	1.2¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage	TNC	$335	9.8¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in April?	Yes	$2.8k	82.7¢	Won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5	Under	$25	0.8¢	Lost
Valorant: Trace Esports vs FunPlus Phoenix (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Stage 2	Trace Esports	$3	1.1¢	Lost
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs All Gamers - Map 2 Winner	All Gamers	$243	81.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?	No	$384	64.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	$1000	85.6¢	Won
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5	Over	$203	48.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 13-19?	No	$1.2k	84.1¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$2.0k	67.7¢	Won
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 July 13-19?	No	$513	63.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	$1.3k	85.0¢	Won
Rainbow Six Siege: DarkZero Esports vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Playoffs	Shopify Rebellion	$0	3.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	$106	17.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	No	$21	23.2¢	Lost
James Comey arrested by May 15?	Yes	$2.8k	87.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?	No	$1.0k	37.0¢	Won
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?	No	$32	14.7¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?	No	$4.1k	80.8¢	Won
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	Dplus KIA Challengers	$5	5.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Iowa Stormboar - Map 2 Winner	M80	$346	86.1¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	$200	13.0¢	Lost

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 4 WinnerLost
LYON$50 @ 34.0¢
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 3 WinnerLost
G2 Esports$200 @ 52.9¢
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 WinnerLost
Hanwha Life Esports$50 @ 50.0¢
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsLost
G2 Esports$50 @ 28.0¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsLost
LYON$50 @ 23.0¢
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MIBR - Map 2 WinnerLost
MIBR$50 @ 28.1¢
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5Lost
Under$300 @ 55.0¢
Mexico vs. England: Draw at halftime?Lost
Yes$197 @ 47.0¢
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP - Map 2 WinnerLost
Luminosity$540 @ 54.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 1-7?Lost
No$50 @ 20.9¢
Will Bitcoin reach $62,000 on June 6?Lost
Yes$20 @ 7.6¢
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 1Lost
Evil Geniuses$19 @ 4.9¢
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 PlayoffsLost
Heroic$265 @ 37.9¢
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in November?Lost
No$12 @ 6.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?Lost
No$30 @ 5.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?Lost
Yes$72 @ 36.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?Won
No$92 @ 46.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?Won
No$500 @ 61.0¢
San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 11.5Lost
Over$2 @ 1.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?Won
No$6.2k @ 76.9¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs M80 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group ALost
M80$112 @ 13.2¢
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Phantom - Map 2 WinnerWon
ex-RUBY$541 @ 81.2¢
LoL: GAM Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - LCP Regular SeasonLost
CTBC Flying Oyster$48 @ 0.1¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$4.7k @ 78.2¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$1.3k @ 37.7¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?Won
No$1.1k @ 74.0¢
Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?Won
Yes$9 @ 9.6¢
Games Total: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$1 @ 1.2¢
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group StageLost
TNC$335 @ 9.8¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in April?Won
Yes$2.8k @ 82.7¢
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5Lost
Under$25 @ 0.8¢
Valorant: Trace Esports vs FunPlus Phoenix (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Stage 2Lost
Trace Esports$3 @ 1.1¢
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs All Gamers - Map 2 WinnerWon
All Gamers$243 @ 81.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?Won
No$384 @ 64.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Won
No$1000 @ 85.6¢
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$203 @ 48.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 13-19?Won
No$1.2k @ 84.1¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Won
Yes$2.0k @ 67.7¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 July 13-19?Won
No$513 @ 63.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?Won
No$1.3k @ 85.0¢
Rainbow Six Siege: DarkZero Esports vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City PlayoffsLost
Shopify Rebellion$0 @ 3.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?Lost
Yes$106 @ 17.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?Lost
No$21 @ 23.2¢
James Comey arrested by May 15?Won
Yes$2.8k @ 87.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?Won
No$1.0k @ 37.0¢
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?Won
No$32 @ 14.7¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?Won
No$4.1k @ 80.8¢
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2Lost
Dplus KIA Challengers$5 @ 5.0¢
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Iowa Stormboar - Map 2 WinnerWon
M80$346 @ 86.1¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Lost
Yes$200 @ 13.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?	—	No	$2.3k	69.8¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in August?	—	No	$1.7k	85.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?	—	No	$1.6k	85.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?	—	No	$1.2k	87.9¢
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP - Map 2 Winner	—	Luminosity	$540	54.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Politics	No	$530	53.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 8-14?	Crypto	Yes	$330	33.0¢
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5	—	Under	$300	55.0¢
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs	—	Heroic	$265	37.9¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?	—	No	$250	12.5¢
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner	—	G2 Esports	$200	52.9¢
Mexico vs. England: Draw at halftime?	—	Yes	$197	47.0¢
LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner	—	KT Rolster Challengers	$160	32.0¢
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 2 Winner	—	BNK FearX Youth	$160	34.8¢
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner	—	BNK FEARX	$150	26.1¢
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?	Crypto	No	$109	38.0¢
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage	—	Phantom	$90	9.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Crypto	Yes	$72	36.0¢
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winner	—	Team WE	$67	67.0¢
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner	—	KT Rolster	$60	22.7¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?	—	No	$56	7.0¢
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winner	—	Hanwha Life Esports	$50	50.0¢
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MIBR - Map 2 Winner	—	MIBR	$50	28.1¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner	—	Hanwha Life Esports	$50	58.0¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 4 Winner	—	LYON	$50	34.0¢
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs	—	G2 Esports	$50	28.0¢
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner	—	HANJIN BRION	$50	28.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 1-7?	Crypto	No	$50	20.9¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs	—	LYON	$50	23.0¢
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner	—	Bilibili Gaming	$47	28.0¢

Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?—
No$2.3k @ 69.8¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in August?—
No$1.7k @ 85.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?—
No$1.6k @ 85.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?—
No$1.2k @ 87.9¢
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP - Map 2 Winner—
Luminosity$540 @ 54.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Politics
No$530 @ 53.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 8-14?Crypto
Yes$330 @ 33.0¢
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5—
Under$300 @ 55.0¢
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs—
Heroic$265 @ 37.9¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?—
No$250 @ 12.5¢
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner—
G2 Esports$200 @ 52.9¢
Mexico vs. England: Draw at halftime?—
Yes$197 @ 47.0¢
LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner—
KT Rolster Challengers$160 @ 32.0¢
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 2 Winner—
BNK FearX Youth$160 @ 34.8¢
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner—
BNK FEARX$150 @ 26.1¢
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?Crypto
No$109 @ 38.0¢
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage—
Phantom$90 @ 9.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?Crypto
Yes$72 @ 36.0¢
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winner—
Team WE$67 @ 67.0¢
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner—
KT Rolster$60 @ 22.7¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?—
No$56 @ 7.0¢
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winner—
Hanwha Life Esports$50 @ 50.0¢
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MIBR - Map 2 Winner—
MIBR$50 @ 28.1¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner—
Hanwha Life Esports$50 @ 58.0¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 4 Winner—
LYON$50 @ 34.0¢
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs—
G2 Esports$50 @ 28.0¢
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner—
HANJIN BRION$50 @ 28.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 1-7?Crypto
No$50 @ 20.9¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs—
LYON$50 @ 23.0¢
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner—
Bilibili Gaming$47 @ 28.0¢