0xae8f…c820

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xae8f39981cdf14c2087dd14f7b47c2d3a831c820
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+3.7pp

ROI

+15%

Win rate

41% @ 37.6¢

Brier

0.223

Resolved

3629

Avg size

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	37% (249/676)	+2%	676
Science	10% (1/10)	-77%	10
Sports	50% (2/4)	+85%	4

Other676 bets
Hit rate
37% (249/676)
ROI
+2%
Science10 bets
Hit rate
10% (1/10)
ROI
-77%
Sports4 bets
Hit rate
50% (2/4)
ROI
+85%

Track record

37% hit · 252/690

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on September 26?	Yes	$12	40.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on September 26?	Yes	$16	53.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on May 8?	Yes	$44	41.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 20°C on March 23?	Yes	$20	41.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 23?	Yes	$38	33.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C on March 26?	Yes	$42	42.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on April 23?	Yes	$20	41.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on April 4?	Yes	$29	40.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on March 27?	Yes	$20	39.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 6?	Yes	$5	43.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on March 27?	Yes	$12	21.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on May 2?	Yes	$15	26.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on April 1?	Yes	$15	30.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on March 27?	Yes	$11	33.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 7?	Yes	$30	40.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on May 18?	Yes	$1	14.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on March 28?	Yes	$31	30.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on April 17?	Yes	$25	41.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on April 8?	Yes	$34	33.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C on June 30?	Yes	$2	9.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C or higher on April 7?	Yes	$38	77.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on April 13?	Yes	$36	39.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 8?	Yes	$38	37.2¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on April 3?	Yes	$17	36.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on April 2?	Yes	$21	28.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on April 23?	Yes	$37	36.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 17?	Yes	$1	68.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 18?	Yes	$12	23.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on June 22?	Yes	$11	34.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on March 28?	Yes	$39	38.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on April 30?	Yes	$50	44.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 28?	Yes	$9	32.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C on March 20?	Yes	$34	35.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on March 26?	Yes	$56	37.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on April 30?	Yes	$12	24.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on March 19?	Yes	$28	36.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 30?	Yes	$24	33.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on April 19?	Yes	$28	30.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on April 20?	Yes	$22	40.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on April 6?	Yes	$43	39.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on March 23?	Yes	$38	38.2¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on April 3?	Yes	$17	23.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on May 1?	Yes	$51	41.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?	No	$1	86.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 25?	Yes	$71	47.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on April 13?	Yes	$13	40.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 11?	Yes	$29	40.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 2?	Yes	$7	47.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on April 3?	Yes	$0	34.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on June 5?	Yes	$6	52.0¢	Lost

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on September 26?Lost
Yes$12 @ 40.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on September 26?Lost
Yes$16 @ 53.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on May 8?Lost
Yes$44 @ 41.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 20°C on March 23?Lost
Yes$20 @ 41.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 23?Won
Yes$38 @ 33.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C on March 26?Lost
Yes$42 @ 42.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on April 23?Lost
Yes$20 @ 41.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on April 4?Lost
Yes$29 @ 40.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on March 27?Lost
Yes$20 @ 39.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 6?Lost
Yes$5 @ 43.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on March 27?Lost
Yes$12 @ 21.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on May 2?Lost
Yes$15 @ 26.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on April 1?Lost
Yes$15 @ 30.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on March 27?Won
Yes$11 @ 33.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 7?Lost
Yes$30 @ 40.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on May 18?Lost
Yes$1 @ 14.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on March 28?Lost
Yes$31 @ 30.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on April 17?Won
Yes$25 @ 41.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on April 8?Won
Yes$34 @ 33.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C on June 30?Lost
Yes$2 @ 9.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C or higher on April 7?Lost
Yes$38 @ 77.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on April 13?Won
Yes$36 @ 39.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 8?Won
Yes$38 @ 37.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on April 3?Won
Yes$17 @ 36.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on April 2?Won
Yes$21 @ 28.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on April 23?Won
Yes$37 @ 36.1¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 17?Lost
Yes$1 @ 68.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 18?Lost
Yes$12 @ 23.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on June 22?Lost
Yes$11 @ 34.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on March 28?Lost
Yes$39 @ 38.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on April 30?Won
Yes$50 @ 44.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 28?Lost
Yes$9 @ 32.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C on March 20?Lost
Yes$34 @ 35.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on March 26?Lost
Yes$56 @ 37.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on April 30?Lost
Yes$12 @ 24.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on March 19?Won
Yes$28 @ 36.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 30?Lost
Yes$24 @ 33.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on April 19?Lost
Yes$28 @ 30.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on April 20?Lost
Yes$22 @ 40.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on April 6?Won
Yes$43 @ 39.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on March 23?Won
Yes$38 @ 38.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on April 3?Lost
Yes$17 @ 23.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on May 1?Won
Yes$51 @ 41.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?Won
No$1 @ 86.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 25?Lost
Yes$71 @ 47.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on April 13?Lost
Yes$13 @ 40.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 11?Won
Yes$29 @ 40.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 2?Lost
Yes$7 @ 47.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on April 3?Lost
Yes$0 @ 34.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on June 5?Lost
Yes$6 @ 52.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on September 26?	Science	Yes	$12	40.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on September 26?	Science	Yes	$2	53.0¢

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on September 26?Science
Yes$12 @ 40.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on September 26?Science
Yes$2 @ 53.0¢