0xad89…f6e1

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xad89f899f1524533adfd1e6a07da692fcd92f6e1
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+10.9pp

ROI

+5%

Win rate

61% @ 50.0¢

Brier

0.150

Resolved

1181

Avg size

$391

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	48% (65/135)	-2%	135
Sports	67% (42/63)	+8%	63
Politics	71% (10/14)	+44%	14
Culture	75% (3/4)	-62%	4
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+63%	1
Crypto	100% (1/1)	+426%	1

Other135 bets
Hit rate
48% (65/135)
ROI
-2%
Sports63 bets
Hit rate
67% (42/63)
ROI
+8%
Politics14 bets
Hit rate
71% (10/14)
ROI
+44%
Culture4 bets
Hit rate
75% (3/4)
ROI
-62%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+63%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+426%

Track record

56% hit · 122/218

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
China Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Andrey Rublev	Tallon Griekspoor	$8	38.0¢	Lost
Will Japan reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$9	74.0¢	Won
Will Tiffany Nicole Ervin be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?	No	$1.1k	23.3¢	Won
Miami Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Jaqueline Cristian	Jaqueline Cristian	$153	86.5¢	Won
Will Paraguay be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?	No	$1.3k	87.0¢	Won
Will Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?	Yes	$47	17.0¢	Lost
Will Charlie Davis be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?	No	$1.5k	33.2¢	Won
Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	$165	29.4¢	Lost
Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	$778	59.2¢	Won
Will Trump say "Rebuild" during trophy presentation?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5	Over	$3.3k	77.0¢	Lost
Will Mohamed Salah be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	No	$21.7k	74.4¢	Won
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$923	3.0¢	Lost
Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	$1.2k	78.6¢	Won
Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$3.0k	87.0¢	Won
Sao Leopoldo: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Joaquin Aguilar	Joaquin Aguilar	$289	14.6¢	Lost
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	$6.6k	75.5¢	Won
Will Argentina be the furthest advancing CONMEBOL nation at the World Cup?	Yes	$35	63.0¢	Won
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?	No	$1.1k	73.0¢	Won
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	$242	62.0¢	Won
Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	No	$12.4k	66.3¢	Lost
Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	Yes	$931	90.0¢	Won
Will Olympiacos Piraeus win Greek Basketball League?	Yes	$203	20.2¢	Won
Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: Both Teams to Score	No	$3	5.0¢	Won
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$351	46.0¢	Won
Geneva Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Casper Ruud	Jenson Brooksby	$157	19.7¢	Lost
Will Turkiye reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$13	72.0¢	Won
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	$27	56.0¢	Won
Will Paraguay be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	No	$414	75.0¢	Lost
Flavio Cobolli vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 4.5	Under 4.5	$5	0.4¢	Lost
HSBC Championships: Completed Match: Tommy Paul vs Jaume Munar	No	$1.4k	72.0¢	Won
Will Kosovo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$382	65.0¢	Won
Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	$1.0k	84.0¢	Won
Will Panathinaikos Athens win Greek Basketball League?	Yes	$187	20.0¢	Lost
Will Jonathan Young be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?	No	$550	55.0¢	Won
Will Jonathan Young be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?	Yes	$500	50.0¢	Lost
Ruud vs. Safiullin: Match O/U 36.5	Under	$104	9.9¢	Lost
Will Portugal advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	$55	56.3¢	Won
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	$4.5k	33.4¢	Won
Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?	No	$719	74.2¢	Won
Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$71	72.0¢	Won
Will Stephenie LaGrossa Kendrick be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?	No	$1.0k	20.0¢	Won
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	$26.7k	87.4¢	Won
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	No	$24.4k	87.9¢	Won
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$991	10.5¢	Lost
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?	No	$242	51.0¢	Lost
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	$2.2k	53.6¢	Won
Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?	Yes	$26	53.0¢	Won
Kouame vs. Svajda: Match O/U 21.5	Under	$1	1.1¢	Lost
Rafael Jodar vs. Pablo Carreno Busta: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Under 3.5	$0	1.0¢	Lost

China Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Andrey RublevLost
Tallon Griekspoor$8 @ 38.0¢
Will Japan reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$9 @ 74.0¢
Will Tiffany Nicole Ervin be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?Won
No$1.1k @ 23.3¢
Miami Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Jaqueline CristianWon
Jaqueline Cristian$153 @ 86.5¢
Will Paraguay be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?Won
No$1.3k @ 87.0¢
Will Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?Lost
Yes$47 @ 17.0¢
Will Charlie Davis be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?Won
No$1.5k @ 33.2¢
Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Lost
No$165 @ 29.4¢
Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Won
Yes$778 @ 59.2¢
Will Trump say "Rebuild" during trophy presentation?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5Lost
Over$3.3k @ 77.0¢
Will Mohamed Salah be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?Won
No$21.7k @ 74.4¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$923 @ 3.0¢
Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Won
No$1.2k @ 78.6¢
Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$3.0k @ 87.0¢
Sao Leopoldo: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Joaquin AguilarLost
Joaquin Aguilar$289 @ 14.6¢
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Won
No$6.6k @ 75.5¢
Will Argentina be the furthest advancing CONMEBOL nation at the World Cup?Won
Yes$35 @ 63.0¢
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?Won
No$1.1k @ 73.0¢
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Won
No$242 @ 62.0¢
Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?Lost
No$12.4k @ 66.3¢
Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?Won
Yes$931 @ 90.0¢
Will Olympiacos Piraeus win Greek Basketball League?Won
Yes$203 @ 20.2¢
Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: Both Teams to ScoreWon
No$3 @ 5.0¢
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$351 @ 46.0¢
Geneva Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Casper RuudLost
Jenson Brooksby$157 @ 19.7¢
Will Turkiye reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$13 @ 72.0¢
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Won
Yes$27 @ 56.0¢
Will Paraguay be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?Lost
No$414 @ 75.0¢
Flavio Cobolli vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 4.5Lost
Under 4.5$5 @ 0.4¢
HSBC Championships: Completed Match: Tommy Paul vs Jaume MunarWon
No$1.4k @ 72.0¢
Will Kosovo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$382 @ 65.0¢
Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Won
No$1.0k @ 84.0¢
Will Panathinaikos Athens win Greek Basketball League?Lost
Yes$187 @ 20.0¢
Will Jonathan Young be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?Won
No$550 @ 55.0¢
Will Jonathan Young be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?Lost
Yes$500 @ 50.0¢
Ruud vs. Safiullin: Match O/U 36.5Lost
Under$104 @ 9.9¢
Will Portugal advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Won
No$55 @ 56.3¢
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?Won
No$4.5k @ 33.4¢
Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?Won
No$719 @ 74.2¢
Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$71 @ 72.0¢
Will Stephenie LaGrossa Kendrick be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?Won
No$1.0k @ 20.0¢
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Won
Yes$26.7k @ 87.4¢
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?Won
No$24.4k @ 87.9¢
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$991 @ 10.5¢
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?Lost
No$242 @ 51.0¢
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?Won
Yes$2.2k @ 53.6¢
Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?Won
Yes$26 @ 53.0¢
Kouame vs. Svajda: Match O/U 21.5Lost
Under$1 @ 1.1¢
Rafael Jodar vs. Pablo Carreno Busta: Total Sets O/U 3.5Lost
Under 3.5$0 @ 1.0¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	No	$121.0k	50.0¢
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$121.0k	50.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$29.2k	59.9¢
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Sports	No	$15.7k	78.3¢
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Politics	No	$14.6k	55.2¢
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$12.3k	86.0¢
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$7.8k	86.8¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Politics	Yes	$7.1k	54.1¢
Fight to Go the Distance?	Sports	No	$5.3k	53.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$767	28.0¢
Will another contestant win The Bachelorette Season 22?	Culture	Yes	$106	64.5¢
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$43	40.0¢
Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22?	Culture	Yes	$9	5.2¢

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
No$121.0k @ 50.0¢
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$121.0k @ 50.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$29.2k @ 59.9¢
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Sports
No$15.7k @ 78.3¢
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics
No$14.6k @ 55.2¢
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$12.3k @ 86.0¢
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$7.8k @ 86.8¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics
Yes$7.1k @ 54.1¢
Fight to Go the Distance?Sports
No$5.3k @ 53.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$767 @ 28.0¢
Will another contestant win The Bachelorette Season 22?Culture
Yes$106 @ 64.5¢
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$43 @ 40.0¢
Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22?Culture
Yes$9 @ 5.2¢