0xad7f…c31f

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xad7fe966ec683f63666069950848b6075ca9c31f
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+9.0pp

ROI

+70%

Win rate

42% @ 32.6¢

Brier

0.166

Resolved

132

Avg size

$40

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	32% (10/31)	+165%	31
Culture	75% (9/12)	+16%	12
Sports	44% (4/9)	-12%	9
Politics	63% (5/8)	-7%	8
Tech	83% (5/6)	+15%	6
Science	50% (1/2)	+42%	2
Geopolitics	0% (0/2)	-100%	2

Other31 bets
Hit rate
32% (10/31)
ROI
+165%
Culture12 bets
Hit rate
75% (9/12)
ROI
+16%
Sports9 bets
Hit rate
44% (4/9)
ROI
-12%
Politics8 bets
Hit rate
63% (5/8)
ROI
-7%
Tech6 bets
Hit rate
83% (5/6)
ROI
+15%
Science2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+42%
Geopolitics2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%

Track record

49% hit · 34/70

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a wither skeleton?	Yes	$10	50.0¢	Won
Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los be eliminated by drowning again?	Yes	$10	50.0¢	Won
Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to an iron golem?	No	$25	73.0¢	Lost
Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to an enderman?	Yes	$62	99.0¢	Won
Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los be eliminated by falling?	Yes	$59	99.0¢	Won
Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los be eliminated by drowning?	Yes	$166	43.0¢	Won
Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a creeper?	Yes	$436	93.3¢	Won
Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a spider?	No	$44	12.0¢	Lost
Will Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 31?	Yes	$423	79.0¢	Won
O/U 1.5 Rounds	Under	$149	55.0¢	Won
Spread: Falcons (-14.5)	Falcons	$8	5.5¢	Won
Will the peak wave height at NY Harbor buoy 44065 be 10 ft or more?	Yes	$215	63.4¢	Won
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	Yes	$149	71.0¢	Lost
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?	Yes	$53	3.5¢	Won
Other	Yes	$1	1.3¢	Lost
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by September 30?	Yes	$30	25.2¢	Won
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 25, 2026?	No	$17	83.0¢	Won
Ebola: new country confirmed before October 1?	No	$10	50.0¢	Won
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?	Yes	$7	87.0¢	Won
Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 6 hours?	Yes	$29	3.4¢	Lost
Dana White's Contender Series: Luca Borando vs. Ian Escuza (Featherweight, Main Card)	Ian Escuza	$205	50.0¢	Won
Dana White's Contender Series: Luca Borando vs. Ian Escuza (Featherweight, Main Card)	Luca Borando	$209	51.0¢	Lost
Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$217	70.4¢	Lost
Will Twisted Minds (Acorn & Boltz) Win the Fortnite EWC 2026?	Yes	$5	6.0¢	Lost
Will Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 19?	Yes	$48	41.5¢	Won
Ren Zhengfei public appearance by October 31?	Yes	$67	67.0¢	Won
Will "Onslaught" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	$20	5.0¢	Lost
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 29, 2026?	No	$83	83.0¢	Won
UFC 332: Roman Kopylov vs. Ateba Gautier (Middleweight, Main Card)	Ateba Gautier	$204	67.0¢	Lost
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?	No	$84	84.0¢	Lost
Will Team Falcons Win the Fortnite EWC 2026?	No	$526	70.9¢	Won
Will Aurora Gaming Win the Fortnite EWC 2026?	Yes	$8	13.0¢	Lost
Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by 30–35%?	Yes	$24	23.0¢	Lost
Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long?	Yes	$145	16.6¢	Lost
Chargers vs. Bills: O/U 71.5	Over	$20	6.3¢	Lost
Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?	Yes	$63	63.0¢	Lost
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?	Yes	$50	16.0¢	Won
Will XP42 Esports (Bugha & Braydz) Win the Fortnite EWC 2026?	Yes	$1	1.2¢	Lost
Ren Zhengfei public appearance by December 31?	Yes	$82	82.0¢	Won
Will "Resident Evil" be #1 Box Office this weekend?	No	$6	9.0¢	Won
Ren Zhengfei public appearance by September 30?	Yes	$49	49.0¢	Won
UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Raoni Barcelos	$304	39.1¢	Lost
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by September 30?	Yes	$42	42.0¢	Lost
Will Aoxy & Jojofishy Win the Fortnite EWC 2026?	Yes	$1	1.2¢	Lost
Will the highest wind gust at Boston Logan be 35 kt or more?	No	$23	7.0¢	Lost
Will "Resident Evil" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 26m?	No	$120	60.0¢	Lost
UFC 332: King Green vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Main Card)	Esteban Ribovics	$227	68.0¢	Won
Will Leviatán Win the Fortnite EWC 2026?	Yes	$1	1.2¢	Lost
Will Lacy and Marlon have between 300 and 399 Fortnite deaths during the marathon?	Yes	$0	4.3¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$108	53.0¢	Won

Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a wither skeleton?Won
Yes$10 @ 50.0¢
Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los be eliminated by drowning again?Won
Yes$10 @ 50.0¢
Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to an iron golem?Lost
No$25 @ 73.0¢
Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to an enderman?Won
Yes$62 @ 99.0¢
Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los be eliminated by falling?Won
Yes$59 @ 99.0¢
Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los be eliminated by drowning?Won
Yes$166 @ 43.0¢
Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a creeper?Won
Yes$436 @ 93.3¢
Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a spider?Lost
No$44 @ 12.0¢
Will Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 31?Won
Yes$423 @ 79.0¢
O/U 1.5 RoundsWon
Under$149 @ 55.0¢
Spread: Falcons (-14.5)Won
Falcons$8 @ 5.5¢
Will the peak wave height at NY Harbor buoy 44065 be 10 ft or more?Won
Yes$215 @ 63.4¢
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Lost
Yes$149 @ 71.0¢
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?Won
Yes$53 @ 3.5¢
OtherLost
Yes$1 @ 1.3¢
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by September 30?Won
Yes$30 @ 25.2¢
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 25, 2026?Won
No$17 @ 83.0¢
Ebola: new country confirmed before October 1?Won
No$10 @ 50.0¢
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?Won
Yes$7 @ 87.0¢
Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 6 hours?Lost
Yes$29 @ 3.4¢
Dana White's Contender Series: Luca Borando vs. Ian Escuza (Featherweight, Main Card)Won
Ian Escuza$205 @ 50.0¢
Dana White's Contender Series: Luca Borando vs. Ian Escuza (Featherweight, Main Card)Lost
Luca Borando$209 @ 51.0¢
Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$217 @ 70.4¢
Will Twisted Minds (Acorn & Boltz) Win the Fortnite EWC 2026?Lost
Yes$5 @ 6.0¢
Will Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 19?Won
Yes$48 @ 41.5¢
Ren Zhengfei public appearance by October 31?Won
Yes$67 @ 67.0¢
Will "Onslaught" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Lost
No$20 @ 5.0¢
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 29, 2026?Won
No$83 @ 83.0¢
UFC 332: Roman Kopylov vs. Ateba Gautier (Middleweight, Main Card)Lost
Ateba Gautier$204 @ 67.0¢
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?Lost
No$84 @ 84.0¢
Will Team Falcons Win the Fortnite EWC 2026?Won
No$526 @ 70.9¢
Will Aurora Gaming Win the Fortnite EWC 2026?Lost
Yes$8 @ 13.0¢
Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by 30–35%?Lost
Yes$24 @ 23.0¢
Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long?Lost
Yes$145 @ 16.6¢
Chargers vs. Bills: O/U 71.5Lost
Over$20 @ 6.3¢
Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?Lost
Yes$63 @ 63.0¢
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Won
Yes$50 @ 16.0¢
Will XP42 Esports (Bugha & Braydz) Win the Fortnite EWC 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.2¢
Ren Zhengfei public appearance by December 31?Won
Yes$82 @ 82.0¢
Will "Resident Evil" be #1 Box Office this weekend?Won
No$6 @ 9.0¢
Ren Zhengfei public appearance by September 30?Won
Yes$49 @ 49.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)Lost
Raoni Barcelos$304 @ 39.1¢
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by September 30?Lost
Yes$42 @ 42.0¢
Will Aoxy & Jojofishy Win the Fortnite EWC 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.2¢
Will the highest wind gust at Boston Logan be 35 kt or more?Lost
No$23 @ 7.0¢
Will "Resident Evil" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 26m?Lost
No$120 @ 60.0¢
UFC 332: King Green vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Main Card)Won
Esteban Ribovics$227 @ 68.0¢
Will Leviatán Win the Fortnite EWC 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.2¢
Will Lacy and Marlon have between 300 and 399 Fortnite deaths during the marathon?Lost
Yes$0 @ 4.3¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$108 @ 53.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards?	—	Yes	$101	44.0¢
Will Jalen Hurts finish as a top-5 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Sports	Yes	$65	50.0¢
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$49	80.0¢
Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to an enderman again?	Culture	Yes	$42	84.0¢
Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a witch?	Culture	No	$36	60.1¢
Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 60 and 89 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?	Culture	Yes	$33	16.0¢
Tokenized stocks available on Coinbase by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$33	14.2¢
Will Sexyy Red be featured on GTA VI: The Album?	Culture	No	$31	67.0¢
Will it snow in Boston, MA by November 15?	Science	Yes	$31	51.0¢
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Sports	Yes	$24	9.0¢
Will it snow in Denver, CO by November 15?	Science	Yes	$21	52.5¢
Will it snow in Minneapolis, MN by November 15?	Science	Yes	$20	51.6¢
Will a hurricane make landfall in Mississippi by November 30, 2026?	Science	No	$18	92.0¢
Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government?	Politics	No	$16	75.0¢
Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a polar bear?	Culture	Yes	$15	9.0¢
Reckless Ben in jail by December 31?	Culture	Yes	$15	9.0¢
Will it snow in Minneapolis, MN by November 30?	Science	Yes	$13	53.0¢
Will it snow in Chicago, IL by November 30?	Science	Yes	$11	53.0¢
Will it snow in Salt Lake City, UT by November 15?	Science	Yes	$11	52.0¢
Will it snow in Indianapolis, IN by November 15?	Science	Yes	$10	52.0¢
Will it snow in New York City, NY by November 30?	Science	Yes	$10	52.0¢
Will it snow in St. Louis, MO by November 30?	Science	Yes	$10	52.0¢
Will it snow in Pittsburgh, PA by November 30?	Science	Yes	$10	52.0¢
Will it snow in Buffalo, NY by November 15?	Science	Yes	$10	52.0¢
Will it snow in Boston, MA by November 30?	Science	Yes	$10	51.0¢
Will it snow in Detroit, MI by November 15?	Science	Yes	$10	51.0¢
Will it snow in Cincinnati, OH by November 30?	Science	Yes	$10	51.0¢
Will it snow in Denver, CO by October 31?	Science	Yes	$10	51.0¢
Will it snow in Kansas City, MO by November 30?	Science	Yes	$10	51.0¢
Will it snow in Pittsburgh, PA by November 15?	Science	Yes	$10	51.0¢

Will anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards?—
Yes$101 @ 44.0¢
Will Jalen Hurts finish as a top-5 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?Sports
Yes$65 @ 50.0¢
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$49 @ 80.0¢
Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to an enderman again?Culture
Yes$42 @ 84.0¢
Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a witch?Culture
No$36 @ 60.1¢
Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 60 and 89 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?Culture
Yes$33 @ 16.0¢
Tokenized stocks available on Coinbase by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$33 @ 14.2¢
Will Sexyy Red be featured on GTA VI: The Album?Culture
No$31 @ 67.0¢
Will it snow in Boston, MA by November 15?Science
Yes$31 @ 51.0¢
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?Sports
Yes$24 @ 9.0¢
Will it snow in Denver, CO by November 15?Science
Yes$21 @ 52.5¢
Will it snow in Minneapolis, MN by November 15?Science
Yes$20 @ 51.6¢
Will a hurricane make landfall in Mississippi by November 30, 2026?Science
No$18 @ 92.0¢
Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government?Politics
No$16 @ 75.0¢
Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a polar bear?Culture
Yes$15 @ 9.0¢
Reckless Ben in jail by December 31?Culture
Yes$15 @ 9.0¢
Will it snow in Minneapolis, MN by November 30?Science
Yes$13 @ 53.0¢
Will it snow in Chicago, IL by November 30?Science
Yes$11 @ 53.0¢
Will it snow in Salt Lake City, UT by November 15?Science
Yes$11 @ 52.0¢
Will it snow in Indianapolis, IN by November 15?Science
Yes$10 @ 52.0¢
Will it snow in New York City, NY by November 30?Science
Yes$10 @ 52.0¢
Will it snow in St. Louis, MO by November 30?Science
Yes$10 @ 52.0¢
Will it snow in Pittsburgh, PA by November 30?Science
Yes$10 @ 52.0¢
Will it snow in Buffalo, NY by November 15?Science
Yes$10 @ 52.0¢
Will it snow in Boston, MA by November 30?Science
Yes$10 @ 51.0¢
Will it snow in Detroit, MI by November 15?Science
Yes$10 @ 51.0¢
Will it snow in Cincinnati, OH by November 30?Science
Yes$10 @ 51.0¢
Will it snow in Denver, CO by October 31?Science
Yes$10 @ 51.0¢
Will it snow in Kansas City, MO by November 30?Science
Yes$10 @ 51.0¢
Will it snow in Pittsburgh, PA by November 15?Science
Yes$10 @ 51.0¢