0xace3…f9b0

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xace3e1cd20759dbae04aae226111bb71ac41f9b0
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+19.8pp

ROI

+13%

Win rate

83% @ 63.1¢

Brier

0.167

Resolved

Avg size

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Politics	86% (6/7)	+35%	7
Sports	50% (1/2)	-64%	2
Geopolitics	100% (2/2)	+21%	2
Economy	50% (1/2)	-40%	2
Tech	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Other	100% (1/1)	+18%	1
Crypto	100% (1/1)	+136%	1

Politics7 bets
Hit rate
86% (6/7)
ROI
+35%
Sports2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-64%
Geopolitics2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+21%
Economy2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-40%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Other1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+18%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+136%

Track record

75% hit · 12/16

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$21	42.4¢	Won
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?	No	$1	67.0¢	Won
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	No	$20	81.0¢	Won
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	$3	5.5¢	Lost
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	$8	83.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$11	53.0¢	Won
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	$37	73.4¢	Won
England vs. Croatia: O/U 5.5	Over	$39	78.0¢	Lost
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	$4	20.3¢	Lost
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$27	65.5¢	Won
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	$8	81.0¢	Lost
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	$25	82.0¢	Won
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?	Yes	$17	85.0¢	Won
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	$9	86.0¢	Won
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	$4	81.3¢	Won
Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 0.5	Over	$17	85.0¢	Won

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
No$21 @ 42.4¢
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?Won
No$1 @ 67.0¢
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?Won
No$20 @ 81.0¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Lost
Yes$3 @ 5.5¢
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Won
Yes$8 @ 83.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$11 @ 53.0¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Won
No$37 @ 73.4¢
England vs. Croatia: O/U 5.5Lost
Over$39 @ 78.0¢
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Lost
No$4 @ 20.3¢
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$27 @ 65.5¢
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?Lost
No$8 @ 81.0¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Won
Yes$25 @ 82.0¢
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?Won
Yes$17 @ 85.0¢
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Won
Yes$9 @ 86.0¢
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Won
No$4 @ 81.3¢
Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 0.5Won
Over$17 @ 85.0¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Geopolitics	No	$28	92.0¢
Will Alien arrests in New York hit 4800+ by June 30?	Politics	No	$27	89.0¢
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?	Geopolitics	Yes	$26	86.0¢
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?	Politics	No	$22	73.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?	Politics	No	$14	72.0¢
FDA approves Arcutis' Zoryve cream?	—	Yes	$12	81.0¢
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$9	45.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?	Geopolitics	Yes	$6	15.0¢
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	Politics	Yes	$6	30.0¢

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Geopolitics
No$28 @ 92.0¢
Will Alien arrests in New York hit 4800+ by June 30?Politics
No$27 @ 89.0¢
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?Geopolitics
Yes$26 @ 86.0¢
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Politics
No$22 @ 73.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Politics
No$14 @ 72.0¢
FDA approves Arcutis' Zoryve cream?—
Yes$12 @ 81.0¢
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Politics
Yes$9 @ 45.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?Geopolitics
Yes$6 @ 15.0¢
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Politics
Yes$6 @ 30.0¢