0xac9b…d4c5

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xac9b386454ed02ef205e0ebd189d8864fd02d4c5
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

-2.0pp

ROI

+8%

Win rate

31% @ 33.3¢

Brier

0.177

Resolved

3311

Avg size

$236

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	36% (114/316)	+12%	316
Sports	26% (5/19)	-3%	19
Politics	50% (8/16)	-4%	16
Geopolitics	0% (0/8)	-100%	8
Crypto	63% (5/8)	+72%	8
Economy	0% (0/3)	-100%	3
Tech	100% (1/1)	+101%	1
Culture	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other316 bets
Hit rate
36% (114/316)
ROI
+12%
Sports19 bets
Hit rate
26% (5/19)
ROI
-3%
Politics16 bets
Hit rate
50% (8/16)
ROI
-4%
Geopolitics8 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/8)
ROI
-100%
Crypto8 bets
Hit rate
63% (5/8)
ROI
+72%
Economy3 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/3)
ROI
-100%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+101%
Culture1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

36% hit · 133/372

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	No	$759	46.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	No	$3.1k	55.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?	Yes	$4.8k	46.8¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	$6.3k	67.8¢	Won
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$1.7k	3.2¢	Lost
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$118	11.8¢	Lost
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner	Gen.G	$56	10.0¢	Lost
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?	Yes	$70	35.0¢	Lost
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$21	2.0¢	Lost
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	$51	35.0¢	Won
Canton FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	$2.8k	56.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$12.6k	71.6¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	Yes	$302	79.0¢	Won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance	Switzerland	$240	24.0¢	Lost
Infinex FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	$2.6k	62.4¢	Won
Will Dharmendra be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?	No	$600	60.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?	Yes	$538	7.5¢	Lost
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-02?	Yes	$79	67.0¢	Won
Will Sydney Sweeney rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Actors of 2025?	Yes	$9.7k	78.2¢	Lost
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	$8.8k	47.9¢	Won
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	$176	35.0¢	Lost
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01?	Yes	$122	46.0¢	Lost
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	$25	64.0¢	Lost
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	$266	32.0¢	Won
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$456	9.0¢	Lost
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	$7.9k	49.5¢	Lost
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?	No	$1.3k	18.8¢	Lost
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25?	Yes	$187	17.0¢	Won
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner	T1	$630	21.0¢	Lost
Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?	No	$4.1k	43.5¢	Won
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	$2.3k	46.7¢	Won
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Dplus KIA	$133	26.0¢	Lost
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	$3.5k	36.4¢	Won
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?	No	$1.1k	28.0¢	Lost
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$109	0.6¢	Lost
Spread: Liverpool FC (-0.5)	Real Madrid CF	$180	60.0¢	Lost
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	No	$4.0k	80.4¢	Won
Over $2M committed to the Trove public sale?	No	$105	8.0¢	Lost
ETHGAS FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	$312	27.9¢	Lost
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?	Yes	$216	5.4¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?	Yes	$9.8k	62.7¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$310	6.8¢	Lost
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	$1.1k	73.0¢	Won
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	$6.9k	43.1¢	Lost
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	$900	45.0¢	Won
Over $30M committed to the Ranger public sale?	No	$1.3k	13.0¢	Lost
EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	$3.6k	39.9¢	Lost
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?	No	$675	28.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?	No	$1.6k	55.0¢	Won
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	$75	14.7¢	Lost

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?Won
No$759 @ 46.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?Won
No$3.1k @ 55.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?Lost
Yes$4.8k @ 46.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?Won
No$6.3k @ 67.8¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$1.7k @ 3.2¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$118 @ 11.8¢
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 WinnerLost
Gen.G$56 @ 10.0¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?Lost
Yes$70 @ 35.0¢
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$21 @ 2.0¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?Won
Yes$51 @ 35.0¢
Canton FDV above $5B one day after launch?Won
No$2.8k @ 56.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Won
Yes$12.6k @ 71.6¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Won
Yes$302 @ 79.0¢
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceLost
Switzerland$240 @ 24.0¢
Infinex FDV above $300M one day after launch?Won
No$2.6k @ 62.4¢
Will Dharmendra be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?Won
No$600 @ 60.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?Lost
Yes$538 @ 7.5¢
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-02?Won
Yes$79 @ 67.0¢
Will Sydney Sweeney rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Actors of 2025?Lost
Yes$9.7k @ 78.2¢
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Won
No$8.8k @ 47.9¢
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?Lost
No$176 @ 35.0¢
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01?Lost
Yes$122 @ 46.0¢
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?Lost
No$25 @ 64.0¢
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?Won
Yes$266 @ 32.0¢
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?Lost
No$456 @ 9.0¢
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Lost
No$7.9k @ 49.5¢
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?Lost
No$1.3k @ 18.8¢
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25?Won
Yes$187 @ 17.0¢
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 WinnerLost
T1$630 @ 21.0¢
Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?Won
No$4.1k @ 43.5¢
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?Won
No$2.3k @ 46.7¢
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Lost
Dplus KIA$133 @ 26.0¢
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?Won
No$3.5k @ 36.4¢
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?Lost
No$1.1k @ 28.0¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$109 @ 0.6¢
Spread: Liverpool FC (-0.5)Lost
Real Madrid CF$180 @ 60.0¢
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Won
No$4.0k @ 80.4¢
Over $2M committed to the Trove public sale?Lost
No$105 @ 8.0¢
ETHGAS FDV above $100M one day after launch?Lost
No$312 @ 27.9¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?Lost
Yes$216 @ 5.4¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Won
Yes$9.8k @ 62.7¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Lost
Yes$310 @ 6.8¢
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?Won
No$1.1k @ 73.0¢
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Lost
Yes$6.9k @ 43.1¢
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?Won
No$900 @ 45.0¢
Over $30M committed to the Ranger public sale?Lost
No$1.3k @ 13.0¢
EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?Lost
No$3.6k @ 39.9¢
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?Lost
No$675 @ 28.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?Won
No$1.6k @ 55.0¢
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Lost
Yes$75 @ 14.7¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$9.8k	70.5¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	Geopolitics	Yes	$7.3k	29.7¢
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$3.8k	77.0¢
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$3.3k	66.0¢
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Crypto	Yes	$2.9k	39.3¢
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$2.6k	3.2¢
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Crypto	Yes	$2.6k	25.0¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	Geopolitics	Yes	$2.4k	4.2¢
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$2.4k	51.9¢
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$2.3k	41.0¢
Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Crypto	Yes	$1.8k	28.3¢
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Crypto	Yes	$1.3k	51.1¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?	Geopolitics	Yes	$1.2k	10.5¢
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Crypto	Yes	$1.1k	60.0¢
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Crypto	Yes	$1.0k	62.3¢
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$802	21.4¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$800	16.0¢
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Crypto	Yes	$736	61.4¢
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$668	63.0¢
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$580	29.0¢
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$528	29.0¢
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Crypto	Yes	$480	61.7¢
Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$422	87.0¢
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$408	28.7¢
Ethereal FDV above $25M one day after launch?	Crypto	Yes	$403	62.0¢
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$300	15.0¢
Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$272	90.0¢
Abstract FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$239	92.0¢
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Culture	Yes	$225	12.9¢
Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$140	28.0¢

Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?Crypto
No$9.8k @ 70.5¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
Yes$7.3k @ 29.7¢
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto
No$3.8k @ 77.0¢
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?Crypto
No$3.3k @ 66.0¢
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?Crypto
Yes$2.9k @ 39.3¢
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$2.6k @ 3.2¢
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?Crypto
Yes$2.6k @ 25.0¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Geopolitics
Yes$2.4k @ 4.2¢
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?Crypto
No$2.4k @ 51.9¢
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?Crypto
No$2.3k @ 41.0¢
Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?Crypto
Yes$1.8k @ 28.3¢
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?Crypto
Yes$1.3k @ 51.1¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?Geopolitics
Yes$1.2k @ 10.5¢
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto
Yes$1.1k @ 60.0¢
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?Crypto
Yes$1.0k @ 62.3¢
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$802 @ 21.4¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
Yes$800 @ 16.0¢
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto
Yes$736 @ 61.4¢
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?Crypto
No$668 @ 63.0¢
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics
Yes$580 @ 29.0¢
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?Crypto
No$528 @ 29.0¢
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?Crypto
Yes$480 @ 61.7¢
Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?Crypto
No$422 @ 87.0¢
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?Crypto
No$408 @ 28.7¢
Ethereal FDV above $25M one day after launch?Crypto
Yes$403 @ 62.0¢
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?Crypto
No$300 @ 15.0¢
Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?Crypto
No$272 @ 90.0¢
Abstract FDV above $2B one day after launch?Crypto
No$239 @ 92.0¢
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture
Yes$225 @ 12.9¢
Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch?Crypto
No$140 @ 28.0¢