0xac64…866e

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xac644516c9791125f448871d1fbe32ce8c76866e
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+15.2pp

ROI

+31%

Win rate

66% @ 50.5¢

Brier

0.247

Resolved

295

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	66% (115/174)	+31%	174
Science	100% (1/1)	+9%	1
Economy	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other174 bets
Hit rate
66% (115/174)
ROI
+31%
Science1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+9%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

66% hit · 116/176

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 26?	Yes	$1.1k	92.0¢	Won
Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$2	20.0¢	Lost
Will CD Tolima win on 2026-08-14?	No	$1	27.0¢	Lost
Will UCV FC win on 2026-09-12?	No	$0	22.0¢	Lost
Will UCV FC win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	$1	78.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 17?	No	$0	1.5¢	Lost
Will FCV Farul Constanţa win on 2026-09-11?	No	$0	6.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 17?	No	$1	88.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on September 18?	No	$15	77.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 18?	No	$6	41.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on September 7?	No	$0	2.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C or below on September 14?	No	$1	9.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 14?	No	$30	20.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 27°C on September 10?	No	$1	9.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on September 10?	No	$2	88.4¢	Won
Will FC Voluntari win on 2026-09-12?	No	$7	70.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on September 11?	No	$4	89.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 18?	No	$4	75.0¢	Won
Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes?	No	$0	8.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 15?	No	$4	88.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 12?	No	$1	83.0¢	Won
Will FC Rapid 1923 win on 2026-09-12?	No	$4	38.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on September 18?	No	$4	51.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on September 17?	No	$25	54.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 10?	No	$7	68.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on September 16?	No	$9	50.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on September 15?	No	$4	89.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 18?	No	$4	79.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on September 13?	No	$17	44.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 18?	No	$55	65.1¢	Lost
Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-09-11?	No	$4	42.0¢	Won
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be between 1.5% and 1.7%?	No	$0	3.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 16?	No	$5	26.2¢	Lost
Will Club Tijuana vs. Querétaro FC end in a draw?	No	$7	74.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 19?	No	$9	75.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 16?	No	$17	85.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 18?	No	$29	54.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 17?	No	$15	34.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 17?	No	$3	60.0¢	Won
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	No	$0	2.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 18?	No	$32	75.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on September 11?	No	$3	67.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 31°C on September 13?	No	$7	88.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 92-93°F on September 9?	No	$4	74.0¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 18?	No	$3	61.0¢	Lost
Will Llaneros FC win on 2026-08-14?	No	$4	42.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 12?	No	$16	44.2¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 15?	No	$2	43.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 27°C on September 17?	No	$1	88.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 11?	No	$13	84.3¢	Won

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 26?Won
Yes$1.1k @ 92.0¢
Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$2 @ 20.0¢
Will CD Tolima win on 2026-08-14?Lost
No$1 @ 27.0¢
Will UCV FC win on 2026-09-12?Lost
No$0 @ 22.0¢
Will UCV FC win on 2026-09-12?Won
Yes$1 @ 78.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 17?Lost
No$0 @ 1.5¢
Will FCV Farul Constanţa win on 2026-09-11?Lost
No$0 @ 6.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 17?Won
No$1 @ 88.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on September 18?Won
No$15 @ 77.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 18?Lost
No$6 @ 41.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on September 7?Won
No$0 @ 2.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C or below on September 14?Won
No$1 @ 9.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 14?Won
No$30 @ 20.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 27°C on September 10?Won
No$1 @ 9.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on September 10?Won
No$2 @ 88.4¢
Will FC Voluntari win on 2026-09-12?Won
No$7 @ 70.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on September 11?Won
No$4 @ 89.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 18?Won
No$4 @ 75.0¢
Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes?Lost
No$0 @ 8.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 15?Won
No$4 @ 88.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 12?Won
No$1 @ 83.0¢
Will FC Rapid 1923 win on 2026-09-12?Lost
No$4 @ 38.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on September 18?Lost
No$4 @ 51.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on September 17?Won
No$25 @ 54.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 10?Lost
No$7 @ 68.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on September 16?Won
No$9 @ 50.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on September 15?Won
No$4 @ 89.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 18?Won
No$4 @ 79.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on September 13?Won
No$17 @ 44.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 18?Lost
No$55 @ 65.1¢
Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-09-11?Won
No$4 @ 42.0¢
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be between 1.5% and 1.7%?Lost
No$0 @ 3.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 16?Lost
No$5 @ 26.2¢
Will Club Tijuana vs. Querétaro FC end in a draw?Won
No$7 @ 74.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 19?Lost
No$9 @ 75.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 16?Won
No$17 @ 85.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 18?Won
No$29 @ 54.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 17?Lost
No$15 @ 34.7¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 17?Won
No$3 @ 60.0¢
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Lost
No$0 @ 2.3¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 18?Lost
No$32 @ 75.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on September 11?Won
No$3 @ 67.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 31°C on September 13?Won
No$7 @ 88.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 92-93°F on September 9?Won
No$4 @ 74.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 18?Lost
No$3 @ 61.0¢
Will Llaneros FC win on 2026-08-14?Won
No$4 @ 42.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 12?Won
No$16 @ 44.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 15?Won
No$2 @ 43.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 27°C on September 17?Won
No$1 @ 88.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 11?Won
No$13 @ 84.3¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 27?	Science	Yes	$694	81.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 27?	Science	Yes	$359	94.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Zhengzhou be 17°C on September 27?	Science	Yes	$159	96.9¢
Will any Portuguese city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	—	Yes	$10	20.0¢
Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Geopolitics	No	$5	99.9¢
Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 50+ bps at the September 2026 meeting?	Geopolitics	Yes	$3	20.0¢
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the September 2026 meeting?	Geopolitics	Yes	$3	20.0¢
Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting?	Geopolitics	Yes	$3	20.0¢
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Geopolitics	No	$2	75.0¢
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Geopolitics	No	$1	24.0¢
Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement?	Politics	Yes	$1	20.0¢
Will NRG Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?	Sports	Yes	$1	6.7¢
Will Karmine Corp Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?	Sports	Yes	$1	6.7¢
Will Team Spirit Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?	Sports	Yes	$1	6.7¢
Will GentleMates Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?	Sports	Yes	$1	6.7¢
Will Rocket Baguette Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?	Sports	Yes	$1	6.7¢
Will 100 Thieves Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?	Sports	Yes	$1	6.7¢
Will G2 Esports Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?	Sports	Yes	$1	6.7¢
Will Team Vitality Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?	Sports	Yes	$1	6.7¢
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$1	3.1¢
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$1	3.1¢
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$1	3.1¢
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$1	3.1¢
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$1	3.1¢
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$1	3.1¢
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$1	3.1¢
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$1	3.1¢
Will the median home value in the US be at least $454,000 on September 30?	Economy	Yes	$1	14.3¢
Will the median home value in the US be between $447,000 and $454,000 on September 30?	Economy	Yes	$1	14.3¢
Will the median home value in the US be between $440,000 and $447,000 on September 30?	Economy	Yes	$1	14.3¢

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 27?Science
Yes$694 @ 81.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 27?Science
Yes$359 @ 94.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Zhengzhou be 17°C on September 27?Science
Yes$159 @ 96.9¢
Will any Portuguese city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?—
Yes$10 @ 20.0¢
Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?Geopolitics
No$5 @ 99.9¢
Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 50+ bps at the September 2026 meeting?Geopolitics
Yes$3 @ 20.0¢
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the September 2026 meeting?Geopolitics
Yes$3 @ 20.0¢
Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting?Geopolitics
Yes$3 @ 20.0¢
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?Geopolitics
No$2 @ 75.0¢
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?Geopolitics
No$1 @ 24.0¢
Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement?Politics
Yes$1 @ 20.0¢
Will NRG Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?Sports
Yes$1 @ 6.7¢
Will Karmine Corp Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?Sports
Yes$1 @ 6.7¢
Will Team Spirit Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?Sports
Yes$1 @ 6.7¢
Will GentleMates Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?Sports
Yes$1 @ 6.7¢
Will Rocket Baguette Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?Sports
Yes$1 @ 6.7¢
Will 100 Thieves Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?Sports
Yes$1 @ 6.7¢
Will G2 Esports Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?Sports
Yes$1 @ 6.7¢
Will Team Vitality Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?Sports
Yes$1 @ 6.7¢
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$1 @ 3.1¢
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$1 @ 3.1¢
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$1 @ 3.1¢
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$1 @ 3.1¢
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$1 @ 3.1¢
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$1 @ 3.1¢
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$1 @ 3.1¢
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$1 @ 3.1¢
Will the median home value in the US be at least $454,000 on September 30?Economy
Yes$1 @ 14.3¢
Will the median home value in the US be between $447,000 and $454,000 on September 30?Economy
Yes$1 @ 14.3¢
Will the median home value in the US be between $440,000 and $447,000 on September 30?Economy
Yes$1 @ 14.3¢