0xac11…9d3a

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xac116fa0dd9ee9b9a48313ee28034ed904169d3a
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+6.0pp

ROI

+23%

Win rate

47% @ 40.8¢

Brier

0.206

Resolved

644

Avg size

$123

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	47% (34/72)	+30%	72
Sports	40% (20/50)	-55%	50
Politics	43% (3/7)	-42%	7

Other72 bets
Hit rate
47% (34/72)
ROI
+30%
Sports50 bets
Hit rate
40% (20/50)
ROI
-55%
Politics7 bets
Hit rate
43% (3/7)
ROI
-42%

Track record

44% hit · 57/129

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5	Over	$570	57.0¢	Lost
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	$238	20.0¢	Lost
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)	Sweden	$162	53.9¢	Lost
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	$1.6k	27.0¢	Lost
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	$1.4k	29.0¢	Lost
Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)	Manchester United FC	$3.1k	38.5¢	Lost
Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5	Over	$2.2k	45.0¢	Lost
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	$1.1k	55.0¢	Lost
Will AS Roma win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	$4.8k	34.0¢	Lost
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?	Yes	$2.0k	23.0¢	Lost
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	$6.8k	34.2¢	Lost
Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5	Over	$10.2k	58.3¢	Lost
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?	No	$4.1k	56.3¢	Won
Trump x Xi talk before July?	Yes	$245	81.7¢	Won
Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?	Yes	$896	89.6¢	Won
US government shutdown by October 1?	No	$15	1.5¢	Lost
Japan prime minister Ishiba out in 2025?	Yes	$88	88.0¢	Won
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?	Yes	$327	47.0¢	Lost
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 4.5	Over	$200	20.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	$42	43.0¢	Lost
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 3.5	Over	$180	30.0¢	Lost
Spread: France (-1.5)	France	$330	33.0¢	Won
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5	Over	$500	50.0¢	Lost
Spread: Germany (-1.5)	Côte dIvoire	$180	60.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Kharg" or "Island" during Address to the Nation?	Yes	$320	32.0¢	Lost
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	$73	44.1¢	Lost
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-08-29?	Yes	$420	42.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Ballroom" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	$483	72.0¢	Won
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	$20	17.0¢	Lost
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Crystal Palace FC	$54	54.0¢	Lost
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Manchester City FC	$470	47.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	$4.8k	72.2¢	Won
Spread: United States (-1.5)	Australia	$667	66.0¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	No	$2.6k	55.5¢	Won
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	$1.3k	66.0¢	Won
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	$225	22.0¢	Won
Manchester City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 4.5	Over	$850	42.5¢	Won
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-27?	Yes	$422	51.3¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	$1.8k	4.4¢	Lost
Will Iran declare war on Israel by Friday?	Yes	$38	29.3¢	Lost
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	$3.7k	44.7¢	Won
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	$858	47.0¢	Lost
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	$1.8k	44.8¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?	Yes	$11	73.0¢	Won
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score	No	$183	51.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	$380	38.0¢	Lost
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	$1.0k	65.0¢	Won
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5	Over	$245	47.8¢	Won
Manchester City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 3.5	Over	$480	48.0¢	Won
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	$3.0k	49.7¢	Lost

Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$570 @ 57.0¢
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?Lost
Yes$238 @ 20.0¢
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)Lost
Sweden$162 @ 53.9¢
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-10-25?Lost
Yes$1.6k @ 27.0¢
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-25?Lost
Yes$1.4k @ 29.0¢
Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)Lost
Manchester United FC$3.1k @ 38.5¢
Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5Lost
Over$2.2k @ 45.0¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-12?Lost
Yes$1.1k @ 55.0¢
Will AS Roma win on 2026-11-03?Lost
Yes$4.8k @ 34.0¢
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?Lost
Yes$2.0k @ 23.0¢
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-25?Lost
Yes$6.8k @ 34.2¢
Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$10.2k @ 58.3¢
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Won
No$4.1k @ 56.3¢
Trump x Xi talk before July?Won
Yes$245 @ 81.7¢
Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?Won
Yes$896 @ 89.6¢
US government shutdown by October 1?Lost
No$15 @ 1.5¢
Japan prime minister Ishiba out in 2025?Won
Yes$88 @ 88.0¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Lost
Yes$327 @ 47.0¢
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 4.5Lost
Over$200 @ 20.0¢
Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?Lost
Yes$42 @ 43.0¢
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 3.5Lost
Over$180 @ 30.0¢
Spread: France (-1.5)Won
France$330 @ 33.0¢
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$500 @ 50.0¢
Spread: Germany (-1.5)Won
Côte dIvoire$180 @ 60.0¢
Will Trump say "Kharg" or "Island" during Address to the Nation?Lost
Yes$320 @ 32.0¢
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?Lost
Yes$73 @ 44.1¢
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-08-29?Lost
Yes$420 @ 42.0¢
Will Trump say "Ballroom" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?Won
No$483 @ 72.0¢
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?Lost
Yes$20 @ 17.0¢
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Lost
Crystal Palace FC$54 @ 54.0¢
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Won
Manchester City FC$470 @ 47.0¢
Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?Won
Yes$4.8k @ 72.2¢
Spread: United States (-1.5)Lost
Australia$667 @ 66.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Won
No$2.6k @ 55.5¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?Won
Yes$1.3k @ 66.0¢
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?Won
Yes$225 @ 22.0¢
Manchester City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 4.5Won
Over$850 @ 42.5¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-27?Lost
Yes$422 @ 51.3¢
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?Lost
Yes$1.8k @ 4.4¢
Will Iran declare war on Israel by Friday?Lost
Yes$38 @ 29.3¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Won
Yes$3.7k @ 44.7¢
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Lost
Yes$858 @ 47.0¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?Lost
Yes$1.8k @ 44.8¢
Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?Won
Yes$11 @ 73.0¢
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to ScoreLost
No$183 @ 51.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?Lost
No$380 @ 38.0¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?Won
Yes$1.0k @ 65.0¢
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5Won
Over$245 @ 47.8¢
Manchester City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 3.5Won
Over$480 @ 48.0¢
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Lost
No$3.0k @ 49.7¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5	Sports	Over	$10.2k	58.3¢
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	—	Yes	$9.4k	13.5¢
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-25?	Sports	Yes	$6.8k	34.2¢
Will AS Roma win on 2026-11-03?	Sports	Yes	$4.8k	34.0¢
Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)	Sports	Manchester United FC	$3.1k	38.5¢
Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5	Sports	Over	$2.2k	45.0¢
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?	Sports	Yes	$2.0k	23.0¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	Sports	Yes	$1.8k	44.7¢
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	—	Yes	$1.8k	4.4¢
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5	Sports	Over	$1.6k	53.4¢
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-10-25?	Sports	Yes	$1.6k	27.0¢
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-25?	Sports	Yes	$1.4k	29.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$1.4k	29.0¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?	Sports	Yes	$1.3k	43.7¢
Manchester City FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 1.5	—	Over	$1.2k	58.0¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-12?	—	Yes	$1.1k	55.0¢
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5	—	Over	$950	47.5¢
Will Everton FC win on 2026-09-12?	—	Yes	$780	26.0¢
Chelsea FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 4.5	—	Over	$770	38.5¢
Will Trump say "Board of Trade" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Politics	No	$725	76.4¢
Spread: United States (-1.5)	Sports	Australia	$660	66.0¢
Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)	Sports	Coventry City FC	$610	61.0¢
AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5	—	Over	$600	60.0¢
Liverpool FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5	—	Under	$583	56.5¢
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5	—	Over	$570	57.0¢
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August?	—	No	$569	47.4¢
Aston Villa FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	—	Over	$550	55.0¢
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5	—	Over	$540	54.0¢
Manchester City FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5	Sports	Under	$500	50.0¢
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Sports	Over	$485	48.0¢

Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5Sports
Over$10.2k @ 58.3¢
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?—
Yes$9.4k @ 13.5¢
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-25?Sports
Yes$6.8k @ 34.2¢
Will AS Roma win on 2026-11-03?Sports
Yes$4.8k @ 34.0¢
Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)Sports
Manchester United FC$3.1k @ 38.5¢
Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5Sports
Over$2.2k @ 45.0¢
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?Sports
Yes$2.0k @ 23.0¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?Sports
Yes$1.8k @ 44.7¢
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?—
Yes$1.8k @ 4.4¢
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5Sports
Over$1.6k @ 53.4¢
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-10-25?Sports
Yes$1.6k @ 27.0¢
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-25?Sports
Yes$1.4k @ 29.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Politics
Yes$1.4k @ 29.0¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?Sports
Yes$1.3k @ 43.7¢
Manchester City FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 1.5—
Over$1.2k @ 58.0¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-12?—
Yes$1.1k @ 55.0¢
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5—
Over$950 @ 47.5¢
Will Everton FC win on 2026-09-12?—
Yes$780 @ 26.0¢
Chelsea FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 4.5—
Over$770 @ 38.5¢
Will Trump say "Board of Trade" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?Politics
No$725 @ 76.4¢
Spread: United States (-1.5)Sports
Australia$660 @ 66.0¢
Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)Sports
Coventry City FC$610 @ 61.0¢
AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5—
Over$600 @ 60.0¢
Liverpool FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5—
Under$583 @ 56.5¢
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5—
Over$570 @ 57.0¢
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August?—
No$569 @ 47.4¢
Aston Villa FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5—
Over$550 @ 55.0¢
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5—
Over$540 @ 54.0¢
Manchester City FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5Sports
Under$500 @ 50.0¢
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5Sports
Over$485 @ 48.0¢