0xac01…2d77

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xac01b4fc708812055b071987cade3e3d8ea62d77
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+2.3pp

ROI

+30%

Win rate

23% @ 20.5¢

Brier

0.145

Resolved

1651

Avg size

$10

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	24% (134/552)	+31%	552
Sports	24% (38/161)	+10%	161
Politics	20% (2/10)	-8%	10
Geopolitics	0% (0/3)	-100%	3
Tech	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Crypto	0% (0/2)	-100%	2

Other552 bets
Hit rate
24% (134/552)
ROI
+31%
Sports161 bets
Hit rate
24% (38/161)
ROI
+10%
Politics10 bets
Hit rate
20% (2/10)
ROI
-8%
Geopolitics3 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/3)
ROI
-100%
Tech2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Crypto2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%

Track record

24% hit · 174/730

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Dartmouth Big Green vs. Florida Gators	Dartmouth Big Green	$1	0.4¢	Lost
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?	Yes	$1	20.0¢	Lost
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?	No	$2	5.6¢	Lost
BYU vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders	BYU	$170	17.0¢	Lost
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5	Under	$1	22.0¢	Lost
Colts vs. Seahawks	Colts	$169	13.9¢	Lost
Toledo vs. Louisville	Toledo	$40	20.0¢	Lost
Kings vs. Thunder	Kings	$18	6.0¢	Lost
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5	Over	$1	22.0¢	Lost
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	No	$2	35.0¢	Lost
Hornets vs. Jazz	Jazz	$6	0.9¢	Lost
Heat vs. Pacers	Heat	$2	3.5¢	Lost
Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	Yes	$1	24.0¢	Lost
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?	No	$4	24.6¢	Lost
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 England?	Yes	$2	6.2¢	Lost
Central Michigan vs. Kent State Golden Flashes	Kent State Golden Flashes	$11	23.0¢	Lost
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5	Under	$1	3.5¢	Won
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Kansas State Wildcats	Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Clippers vs. Nets	Nets	$6	12.0¢	Lost
Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Illinois Fighting Illini	Rutgers Scarlet Knights	$6	4.0¢	Lost
North Florida Ospreys vs. Wofford Terriers	North Florida Ospreys	$8	15.0¢	Lost
Seahawks vs. Falcons	Falcons	$120	24.0¢	Lost
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5	Over	$1	16.0¢	Lost
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?	Yes	$10	4.3¢	Lost
Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens vs. BYU Cougars	Delaware Fightin Blue Hens	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5	Over	$2	23.5¢	Lost
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	No	$1	32.0¢	Won
Vikings vs. Lions	Lions	$8	80.0¢	Lost
Will Netherlands vs. Lithuania end in a draw?	Yes	$20	5.0¢	Lost
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 5.5	Over	$1	5.9¢	Lost
St. Francis (PA) Red Flash vs. Florida Gators	St. Francis (PA) Red Flash	$10	0.2¢	Lost
Trail Blazers vs. Celtics	Trail Blazers	$5	23.5¢	Lost
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?	No	$1	21.0¢	Lost
Thunder vs. Suns	Suns	$27	8.7¢	Won
Thunder vs. Suns	Thunder	$1	11.0¢	Lost
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$16	11.9¢	Lost
Rockets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 232.5	Over	$11	52.5¢	Lost
Florida State vs. NC State	NC State	$125	30.5¢	Won
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	$1	26.8¢	Lost
76ers vs. Wizards	76ers	$7	65.0¢	Won
Timberwolves vs. Bulls	Bulls	$48	32.0¢	Lost
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	$1	26.5¢	Lost
Grizzlies vs. Rockets	Grizzlies	$4	18.5¢	Lost
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-28?	Yes	$97	69.3¢	Won
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?	Yes	$1	27.0¢	Won
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	$1	0.7¢	Lost
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 Ecuador?	Yes	$1	18.4¢	Lost
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?	Yes	$45	64.4¢	Won
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Spain?	Yes	$2	1.8¢	Lost
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?	Yes	$1	32.0¢	Lost

Dartmouth Big Green vs. Florida GatorsLost
Dartmouth Big Green$1 @ 0.4¢
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?Lost
Yes$1 @ 20.0¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?Lost
No$2 @ 5.6¢
BYU vs. Texas Tech Red RaidersLost
BYU$170 @ 17.0¢
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5Lost
Under$1 @ 22.0¢
Colts vs. SeahawksLost
Colts$169 @ 13.9¢
Toledo vs. LouisvilleLost
Toledo$40 @ 20.0¢
Kings vs. ThunderLost
Kings$18 @ 6.0¢
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5Lost
Over$1 @ 22.0¢
Will France win on 2026-06-16?Lost
No$2 @ 35.0¢
Hornets vs. JazzLost
Jazz$6 @ 0.9¢
Heat vs. PacersLost
Heat$2 @ 3.5¢
Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?Lost
Yes$1 @ 24.0¢
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?Lost
No$4 @ 24.6¢
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 England?Lost
Yes$2 @ 6.2¢
Central Michigan vs. Kent State Golden FlashesLost
Kent State Golden Flashes$11 @ 23.0¢
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5Won
Under$1 @ 3.5¢
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Kansas State WildcatsLost
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils$0 @ 0.2¢
Clippers vs. NetsLost
Nets$6 @ 12.0¢
Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Illinois Fighting IlliniLost
Rutgers Scarlet Knights$6 @ 4.0¢
North Florida Ospreys vs. Wofford TerriersLost
North Florida Ospreys$8 @ 15.0¢
Seahawks vs. FalconsLost
Falcons$120 @ 24.0¢
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5Lost
Over$1 @ 16.0¢
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?Lost
Yes$10 @ 4.3¢
Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens vs. BYU CougarsLost
Delaware Fightin Blue Hens$1 @ 1.0¢
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5Lost
Over$2 @ 23.5¢
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?Won
No$1 @ 32.0¢
Vikings vs. LionsLost
Lions$8 @ 80.0¢
Will Netherlands vs. Lithuania end in a draw?Lost
Yes$20 @ 5.0¢
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 5.5Lost
Over$1 @ 5.9¢
St. Francis (PA) Red Flash vs. Florida GatorsLost
St. Francis (PA) Red Flash$10 @ 0.2¢
Trail Blazers vs. CelticsLost
Trail Blazers$5 @ 23.5¢
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?Lost
No$1 @ 21.0¢
Thunder vs. SunsWon
Suns$27 @ 8.7¢
Thunder vs. SunsLost
Thunder$1 @ 11.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$16 @ 11.9¢
Rockets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 232.5Lost
Over$11 @ 52.5¢
Florida State vs. NC StateWon
NC State$125 @ 30.5¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?Lost
Yes$1 @ 26.8¢
76ers vs. WizardsWon
76ers$7 @ 65.0¢
Timberwolves vs. BullsLost
Bulls$48 @ 32.0¢
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?Lost
Yes$1 @ 26.5¢
Grizzlies vs. RocketsLost
Grizzlies$4 @ 18.5¢
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-28?Won
Yes$97 @ 69.3¢
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?Won
Yes$1 @ 27.0¢
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.7¢
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 Ecuador?Lost
Yes$1 @ 18.4¢
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?Won
Yes$45 @ 64.4¢
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Spain?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.8¢
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?Lost
Yes$1 @ 32.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Geopolitics	No	$1.0k	92.3¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Politics	Yes	$10	98.1¢
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Sports	Yes	$3	16.4¢
Plague pandemic in 2026?	Science	Yes	$2	3.1¢
Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$1	3.9¢
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$1	5.1¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$1	18.0¢
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$0	6.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Politics	No	$0	18.0¢

Xi Jinping out before 2027?Geopolitics
No$1.0k @ 92.3¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Politics
Yes$10 @ 98.1¢
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?Sports
Yes$3 @ 16.4¢
Plague pandemic in 2026?Science
Yes$2 @ 3.1¢
Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?Politics
Yes$1 @ 3.9¢
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$1 @ 5.1¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics
Yes$1 @ 18.0¢
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$0 @ 6.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
No$0 @ 18.0¢