0xab33…cf5d

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xab3312fec88a359ca91ea9ce43cccb233bb2cf5d
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+4.6pp

ROI

+5%

Win rate

61% @ 56.4¢

Brier

0.191

Resolved

650

Avg size

$82

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	57% (224/390)	+14%	390
Politics	54% (7/13)	-57%	13
Sports	71% (5/7)	+119%	7
Tech	33% (1/3)	-99%	3
Geopolitics	50% (1/2)	+103%	2

Other390 bets
Hit rate
57% (224/390)
ROI
+14%
Politics13 bets
Hit rate
54% (7/13)
ROI
-57%
Sports7 bets
Hit rate
71% (5/7)
ROI
+119%
Tech3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
-99%
Geopolitics2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+103%

Track record

57% hit · 238/415

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $4400 on August 18?	Yes	$9	71.0¢	Lost
Rams vs. Seahawks	Seahawks	$57	56.0¢	Won
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-6.5)	Kansas Jayhawks	$20	47.0¢	Lost
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 144.5	Over	$275	56.0¢	Lost
Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	No	$99	60.0¢	Won
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025	Yes	$140	86.0¢	Won
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?	No	$80	3.3¢	Lost
Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins	Minnesota Twins	$21	46.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?	Yes	$20	18.9¢	Lost
Salikhov vs. Medic	Medic	$125	56.0¢	Won
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 9?	No	$220	87.5¢	Won
Will Tallison Teixeira win by KO or TKO?	Yes	$20	65.0¢	Lost
Will the government shutdown end November 12?	Yes	$414	46.9¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump say "Sanction" 2+ times during Syria President events on November 10?	Yes	$65	86.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?	Yes	$20	65.0¢	Won
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)	Makhachev	$344	75.0¢	Won
UFC Fight Night: Eric McConico vs. Rodolfo Vieira (null, Prelims)	Eric McConico	$10	26.0¢	Won
UFC 325: Dan Hooker vs. Benoit Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)	Saint Denis	$34	78.0¢	Won
UFC Fight Night: Brad Tavares vs. Eryk Anders (Middleweight, Prelims)	Eryk Anders	$10	55.0¢	Won
UFC 326: Sumudaerji vs. Jesus Aguilar (Flyweight, Early Prelims)	Jesus Aguilar	$20	34.9¢	Lost
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	$356	73.0¢	Won
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)	Knicks	$21	52.0¢	Won
UFC Fight Night: Mason Jones vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)	Mason Jones	$10	58.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?	No	$140	87.0¢	Won
Super Bowl LIX Winner	Chiefs	$1.0k	47.7¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Azerbaijan" during C5+1 Summit on November 6?	No	$20	53.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier Playoffs	EYEBALLERS	$11	59.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$1.5k	54.8¢	Lost
UFC Fight Night: Brandon Moreno vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)	Kavanagh	$31	35.0¢	Won
Spread: Clemson Tigers (-8.5)	Virginia Tech Hokies	$31	54.0¢	Won
UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruins	UCLA Bruins	$30	78.0¢	Won
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on April 16?	Yes	$23	45.0¢	Lost
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$224	72.8¢	Won
Golden Knights vs. Ducks	Golden Knights	$9	63.0¢	Won
UFC Fight Night: Kyler Phillips vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Kyler Phillips	$21	46.0¢	Lost
Will anyone be kicked out of Trump's State of the Union address?	Yes	$9	39.0¢	Won
Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 17?	Yes	$310	81.2¢	Won
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?	Yes	$50	5.0¢	Lost
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)	Kansas City Royals	$21	46.0¢	Lost
Campbell Fighting Camels vs. Monmouth Hawks	Monmouth Hawks	$10	54.0¢	Won
UFC Fight Night: Josiah Harrell vs. Jacobe Smith (Welterweight, Main Card)	Jacobe Smith	$35	74.0¢	Won
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5	Over	$21	48.0¢	Lost
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 14?	Yes	$105	81.0¢	Won
Pacers vs. Nets	Pacers	$20	45.0¢	Won
UFC Fight Night: Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Rafael Estevam	$15	46.0¢	Lost
UFC Fight Night: Phil Rowe vs. Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani (Welterweight, Prelims)	Phil Rowe	$10	35.0¢	Lost
UFC Fight Night: Manolo Zecchini vs. Tommy McMillen (Featherweight, Main Card)	Tommy McMillen	$25	87.0¢	Won
UFC Fight Night: Josh Emmett vs. Kevin Vallejos (Featherweight, Main Card)	Josh Emmett	$15	21.0¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?	No	$20	71.0¢	Won
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$20	63.2¢	Lost

Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $4400 on August 18?Lost
Yes$9 @ 71.0¢
Rams vs. SeahawksWon
Seahawks$57 @ 56.0¢
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-6.5)Lost
Kansas Jayhawks$20 @ 47.0¢
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 144.5Lost
Over$275 @ 56.0¢
Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?Won
No$99 @ 60.0¢
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025Won
Yes$140 @ 86.0¢
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?Lost
No$80 @ 3.3¢
Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota TwinsWon
Minnesota Twins$21 @ 46.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?Lost
Yes$20 @ 18.9¢
Salikhov vs. MedicWon
Medic$125 @ 56.0¢
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 9?Won
No$220 @ 87.5¢
Will Tallison Teixeira win by KO or TKO?Lost
Yes$20 @ 65.0¢
Will the government shutdown end November 12?Lost
Yes$414 @ 46.9¢
Will Donald Trump say "Sanction" 2+ times during Syria President events on November 10?Lost
Yes$65 @ 86.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?Won
Yes$20 @ 65.0¢
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)Won
Makhachev$344 @ 75.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Eric McConico vs. Rodolfo Vieira (null, Prelims)Won
Eric McConico$10 @ 26.0¢
UFC 325: Dan Hooker vs. Benoit Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)Won
Saint Denis$34 @ 78.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Brad Tavares vs. Eryk Anders (Middleweight, Prelims)Won
Eryk Anders$10 @ 55.0¢
UFC 326: Sumudaerji vs. Jesus Aguilar (Flyweight, Early Prelims)Lost
Jesus Aguilar$20 @ 34.9¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Won
Yes$356 @ 73.0¢
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Won
Knicks$21 @ 52.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Mason Jones vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)Won
Mason Jones$10 @ 58.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?Won
No$140 @ 87.0¢
Super Bowl LIX WinnerLost
Chiefs$1.0k @ 47.7¢
Will Trump say "Azerbaijan" during C5+1 Summit on November 6?Lost
No$20 @ 53.0¢
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier PlayoffsLost
EYEBALLERS$11 @ 59.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$1.5k @ 54.8¢
UFC Fight Night: Brandon Moreno vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)Won
Kavanagh$31 @ 35.0¢
Spread: Clemson Tigers (-8.5)Won
Virginia Tech Hokies$31 @ 54.0¢
UCF Knights vs. UCLA BruinsWon
UCLA Bruins$30 @ 78.0¢
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on April 16?Lost
Yes$23 @ 45.0¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Won
Yes$224 @ 72.8¢
Golden Knights vs. DucksWon
Golden Knights$9 @ 63.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Kyler Phillips vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Main Card)Lost
Kyler Phillips$21 @ 46.0¢
Will anyone be kicked out of Trump's State of the Union address?Won
Yes$9 @ 39.0¢
Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 17?Won
Yes$310 @ 81.2¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?Lost
Yes$50 @ 5.0¢
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Lost
Kansas City Royals$21 @ 46.0¢
Campbell Fighting Camels vs. Monmouth HawksWon
Monmouth Hawks$10 @ 54.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Josiah Harrell vs. Jacobe Smith (Welterweight, Main Card)Won
Jacobe Smith$35 @ 74.0¢
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5Lost
Over$21 @ 48.0¢
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 14?Won
Yes$105 @ 81.0¢
Pacers vs. NetsWon
Pacers$20 @ 45.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam (Bantamweight, Main Card)Lost
Rafael Estevam$15 @ 46.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Phil Rowe vs. Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani (Welterweight, Prelims)Lost
Phil Rowe$10 @ 35.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Manolo Zecchini vs. Tommy McMillen (Featherweight, Main Card)Won
Tommy McMillen$25 @ 87.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Josh Emmett vs. Kevin Vallejos (Featherweight, Main Card)Lost
Josh Emmett$15 @ 21.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?Won
No$20 @ 71.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
Yes$20 @ 63.2¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$1.6k	69.2¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$791	67.6¢
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	No	$422	70.1¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	Yes	$392	66.3¢
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Politics	No	$30	21.0¢

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$1.6k @ 69.2¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$791 @ 67.6¢
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
No$422 @ 70.1¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
Yes$392 @ 66.3¢
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?Politics
No$30 @ 21.0¢