0xab18…467d

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xab18d12977eb41276083e6f05f68a23f921a467d
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+2.5pp

ROI

+26%

Win rate

15% @ 12.6¢

Brier

0.072

Resolved

6010

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	37% (183/494)	+18%	494
Politics	17% (19/111)	-28%	111
Science	41% (19/46)	+29%	46
Culture	21% (8/39)	+55%	39
Economy	14% (1/7)	-99%	7
Business	14% (1/7)	-48%	7
Sports	0% (0/4)	-100%	4
Geopolitics	50% (2/4)	-52%	4
Tech	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other494 bets
Hit rate
37% (183/494)
ROI
+18%
Politics111 bets
Hit rate
17% (19/111)
ROI
-28%
Science46 bets
Hit rate
41% (19/46)
ROI
+29%
Culture39 bets
Hit rate
21% (8/39)
ROI
+55%
Economy7 bets
Hit rate
14% (1/7)
ROI
-99%
Business7 bets
Hit rate
14% (1/7)
ROI
-48%
Sports4 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/4)
ROI
-100%
Geopolitics4 bets
Hit rate
50% (2/4)
ROI
-52%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

33% hit · 233/713

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on May 17?	Yes	$3	13.0¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on May 18?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $216 Week of June 15 2026?	Yes	$74	16.7¢	Lost
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $220 Week of June 15 2026?	Yes	$76	7.8¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on May 18?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 28?	Yes	$25	29.8¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on May 14?	Yes	$3	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 7?	Yes	$10	5.1¢	Lost
Will there be at least 3600+ measles cases in the U.S. by September 30, 2026?	No	$3	20.0¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 17?	Yes	$4	20.0¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 14?	Yes	$14	2.3¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on May 14?	Yes	$50	3.5¢	Lost
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $228 Week of June 15 2026?	Yes	$6	1.4¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 18?	Yes	$16	3.3¢	Lost
Will there be at least 2800 measles cases in the U.S. by August 31, 2026?	No	$2	1.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 5?	Yes	$3	5.0¢	Lost
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–$2.50 in May?	Yes	$2.5k	20.9¢	Lost
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	Yes	$4	7.0¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on April 27?	Yes	$47	49.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 7?	Yes	$97	32.3¢	Lost
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	Yes	$22	55.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 5?	Yes	$12	0.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 15?	Yes	$7	1.3¢	Lost
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in May?	No	$408	36.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on May 16?	Yes	$22	15.9¢	Lost
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	Yes	$2	1.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 7?	Yes	$49	20.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	$17	5.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 16?	Yes	$54	33.6¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 3?	No	$10	90.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	$24	24.0¢	Lost
Will "GOAT" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?	Yes	$71	1.0¢	Lost
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 4 Winner	Sentinels	$114	57.0¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on June 5?	Yes	$1	0.5¢	Lost
LoL: The Bandits vs ZennIT (BO5) - Road Of Legends Playoffs	ZennIT	$24	4.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 4?	Yes	$2	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 26?	Yes	$6	4.3¢	Lost
Will "Hoppers" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?	Yes	$14	7.0¢	Lost
Will "GOAT" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 26m?	Yes	$2	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C or higher on May 30?	Yes	$29	36.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 5?	Yes	$5	10.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 26?	Yes	$43	20.2¢	Lost
Will "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $13m and $14m?	Yes	$99	3.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 30?	Yes	$38	37.0¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	Yes	$84	3.2¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	$6	5.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 22?	Yes	$10	40.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	$58	57.0¢	Won
LoL: Team Liquid vs Dignitas (BO1) - LCS Lock In Last Chance Qualifier	Dignitas	$150	13.5¢	Lost
LoL: Team Liquid vs Dignitas (BO1) - LCS Lock In Last Chance Qualifier	Team Liquid	$105	24.2¢	Won

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on May 17?Lost
Yes$3 @ 13.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on May 18?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $216 Week of June 15 2026?Lost
Yes$74 @ 16.7¢
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $220 Week of June 15 2026?Lost
Yes$76 @ 7.8¢
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on May 18?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 28?Lost
Yes$25 @ 29.8¢
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on May 14?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 7?Lost
Yes$10 @ 5.1¢
Will there be at least 3600+ measles cases in the U.S. by September 30, 2026?Lost
No$3 @ 20.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 17?Lost
Yes$4 @ 20.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 14?Lost
Yes$14 @ 2.3¢
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on May 14?Lost
Yes$50 @ 3.5¢
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $228 Week of June 15 2026?Lost
Yes$6 @ 1.4¢
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 18?Lost
Yes$16 @ 3.3¢
Will there be at least 2800 measles cases in the U.S. by August 31, 2026?Lost
No$2 @ 1.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 5?Lost
Yes$3 @ 5.0¢
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–$2.50 in May?Lost
Yes$2.5k @ 20.9¢
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?Lost
Yes$4 @ 7.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on April 27?Lost
Yes$47 @ 49.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 7?Lost
Yes$97 @ 32.3¢
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?Lost
Yes$22 @ 55.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 5?Lost
Yes$12 @ 0.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 15?Lost
Yes$7 @ 1.3¢
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in May?Lost
No$408 @ 36.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on May 16?Lost
Yes$22 @ 15.9¢
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 7?Lost
Yes$49 @ 20.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?Lost
Yes$17 @ 5.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 16?Lost
Yes$54 @ 33.6¢
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 3?Lost
No$10 @ 90.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?Lost
Yes$24 @ 24.0¢
Will "GOAT" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?Lost
Yes$71 @ 1.0¢
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 4 WinnerWon
Sentinels$114 @ 57.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on June 5?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.5¢
LoL: The Bandits vs ZennIT (BO5) - Road Of Legends PlayoffsLost
ZennIT$24 @ 4.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 4?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 26?Lost
Yes$6 @ 4.3¢
Will "Hoppers" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?Lost
Yes$14 @ 7.0¢
Will "GOAT" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 26m?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C or higher on May 30?Lost
Yes$29 @ 36.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 5?Lost
Yes$5 @ 10.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 26?Lost
Yes$43 @ 20.2¢
Will "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $13m and $14m?Lost
Yes$99 @ 3.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 30?Lost
Yes$38 @ 37.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?Lost
Yes$84 @ 3.2¢
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?Lost
Yes$6 @ 5.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 22?Won
Yes$10 @ 40.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?Won
Yes$58 @ 57.0¢
LoL: Team Liquid vs Dignitas (BO1) - LCS Lock In Last Chance QualifierLost
Dignitas$150 @ 13.5¢
LoL: Team Liquid vs Dignitas (BO1) - LCS Lock In Last Chance QualifierWon
Team Liquid$105 @ 24.2¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–$2.50 in May?	Economy	Yes	$2.5k	20.9¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Politics	Yes	$629	41.9¢
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Science	No	$497	82.8¢
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in May?	Economy	No	$408	36.3¢
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 125m and 130m?	—	Yes	$207	3.3¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in November?	Other	Yes	$189	37.6¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	Other	Yes	$189	4.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on May 1?	—	Yes	$185	12.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in November?	Other	Yes	$184	52.6¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Other	Yes	$166	33.2¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?	—	Yes	$165	8.2¢
Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in November 2026?	Politics	Yes	$159	79.5¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 4 Winner	—	LYON	$148	15.4¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?	Other	Yes	$138	69.0¢
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	Culture	Yes	$132	22.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 4?	—	Yes	$121	7.3¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$120	60.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	—	Yes	$109	19.4¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	Other	Yes	$105	6.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 12?	—	Yes	$103	15.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	Other	Yes	$99	1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 7?	—	Yes	$97	32.3¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in November?	Other	Yes	$97	32.3¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?	Politics	Yes	$94	9.4¢
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on May 4?	—	Yes	$94	47.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on May 1?	—	Yes	$91	26.9¢
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	Tech	No	$87	72.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 14?	—	Yes	$85	60.1¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	Other	Yes	$83	3.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C or higher on May 1?	—	No	$82	62.1¢

Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–$2.50 in May?Economy
Yes$2.5k @ 20.9¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics
Yes$629 @ 41.9¢
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Science
No$497 @ 82.8¢
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in May?Economy
No$408 @ 36.3¢
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 125m and 130m?—
Yes$207 @ 3.3¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in November?Other
Yes$189 @ 37.6¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?Other
Yes$189 @ 4.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on May 1?—
Yes$185 @ 12.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in November?Other
Yes$184 @ 52.6¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?Other
Yes$166 @ 33.2¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?—
Yes$165 @ 8.2¢
Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in November 2026?Politics
Yes$159 @ 79.5¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 4 Winner—
LYON$148 @ 15.4¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?Other
Yes$138 @ 69.0¢
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?Culture
Yes$132 @ 22.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 4?—
Yes$121 @ 7.3¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$120 @ 60.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?—
Yes$109 @ 19.4¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?Other
Yes$105 @ 6.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 12?—
Yes$103 @ 15.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?Other
Yes$99 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 7?—
Yes$97 @ 32.3¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in November?Other
Yes$97 @ 32.3¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Politics
Yes$94 @ 9.4¢
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on May 4?—
Yes$94 @ 47.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on May 1?—
Yes$91 @ 26.9¢
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?Tech
No$87 @ 72.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 14?—
Yes$85 @ 60.1¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?Other
Yes$83 @ 3.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C or higher on May 1?—
No$82 @ 62.1¢