0xaafb…e81e

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xaafb45422af5d97840497f85e1808302ddfee81e
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+10.7pp

ROI

+11%

Win rate

94% @ 83.0¢

Brier

0.064

Resolved

973

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	95% (459/483)	+12%	483
Science	93% (13/14)	+4%	14
Tech	100% (1/1)	+18%	1

Other483 bets
Hit rate
95% (459/483)
ROI
+12%
Science14 bets
Hit rate
93% (13/14)
ROI
+4%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+18%

Track record

95% hit · 473/498

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 27?	No	$33	87.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or higher on August 16?	No	$8	84.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 13?	No	$24	80.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on August 23?	No	$35	87.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on July 10?	No	$16	81.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 37°C or higher on July 20?	No	$9	85.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C or below on August 18?	No	$8	82.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on August 15?	No	$8	84.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 11?	No	$26	87.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C or higher on August 10?	No	$9	86.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on August 30?	No	$9	87.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 3?	No	$25	83.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 29?	No	$9	88.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on July 12?	No	$24	80.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 11?	No	$9	83.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 9?	No	$26	88.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on August 3?	No	$17	85.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 19?	No	$10	84.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on June 30?	No	$26	87.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on July 10?	No	$9	86.2¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 18?	No	$8	81.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on August 31?	No	$17	85.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 29?	No	$23	75.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 30?	No	$8	80.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on July 29?	No	$34	84.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 22?	No	$9	87.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 10?	No	$8	83.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on August 12?	No	$19	64.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 7?	No	$9	89.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 15?	No	$24	79.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 25?	No	$24	79.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 16?	No	$36	88.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on July 7?	No	$8	82.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 30°C on August 19?	No	$9	89.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on August 27?	No	$9	86.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C or higher on August 8?	No	$8	83.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on July 30?	No	$6	85.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on July 2?	No	$25	84.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on June 25?	Yes	$41	82.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 15?	No	$8	89.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 17?	No	$8	81.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on June 30?	No	$26	88.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C or higher on August 14?	No	$9	85.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on June 9?	No	$26	87.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on August 15?	No	$9	86.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 31?	No	$23	76.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 17?	No	$7	87.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 14?	No	$4	84.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 6?	No	$17	86.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 30?	No	$26	85.3¢	Won

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 27?Won
No$33 @ 87.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or higher on August 16?Won
No$8 @ 84.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 13?Won
No$24 @ 80.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on August 23?Won
No$35 @ 87.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on July 10?Lost
No$16 @ 81.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 37°C or higher on July 20?Won
No$9 @ 85.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C or below on August 18?Won
No$8 @ 82.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on August 15?Won
No$8 @ 84.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 11?Lost
No$26 @ 87.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C or higher on August 10?Won
No$9 @ 86.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on August 30?Won
No$9 @ 87.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 3?Won
No$25 @ 83.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 29?Won
No$9 @ 88.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on July 12?Won
No$24 @ 80.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 11?Lost
No$9 @ 83.0¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 9?Won
No$26 @ 88.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on August 3?Won
No$17 @ 85.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 19?Won
No$10 @ 84.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on June 30?Won
No$26 @ 87.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on July 10?Won
No$9 @ 86.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 18?Won
No$8 @ 81.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on August 31?Won
No$17 @ 85.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 29?Won
No$23 @ 75.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 30?Won
No$8 @ 80.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on July 29?Won
No$34 @ 84.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 22?Won
No$9 @ 87.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 10?Won
No$8 @ 83.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on August 12?Lost
No$19 @ 64.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 7?Won
No$9 @ 89.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 15?Won
No$24 @ 79.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 25?Won
No$24 @ 79.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 16?Won
No$36 @ 88.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on July 7?Won
No$8 @ 82.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 30°C on August 19?Won
No$9 @ 89.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on August 27?Won
No$9 @ 86.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C or higher on August 8?Won
No$8 @ 83.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on July 30?Won
No$6 @ 85.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on July 2?Won
No$25 @ 84.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on June 25?Won
Yes$41 @ 82.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 15?Won
No$8 @ 89.1¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 17?Won
No$8 @ 81.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on June 30?Won
No$26 @ 88.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C or higher on August 14?Won
No$9 @ 85.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on June 9?Won
No$26 @ 87.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on August 15?Won
No$9 @ 86.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 31?Won
No$23 @ 76.7¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 17?Won
No$7 @ 87.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 14?Won
No$4 @ 84.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 6?Won
No$17 @ 86.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 30?Won
No$26 @ 85.3¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$30	98.7¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Politics	No	$29	97.8¢
Will Xi Jinping purge Li Qiang in 2026?	Politics	No	$20	97.5¢
Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Yi in 2026?	Politics	No	$19	95.3¢
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$19	94.0¢
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$13	80.0¢
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$12	40.0¢

Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Geopolitics
No$30 @ 98.7¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics
No$29 @ 97.8¢
Will Xi Jinping purge Li Qiang in 2026?Politics
No$20 @ 97.5¢
Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Yi in 2026?Politics
No$19 @ 95.3¢
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?Geopolitics
No$19 @ 94.0¢
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?Geopolitics
No$13 @ 80.0¢
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$12 @ 40.0¢