← Smart money
0xaabd…0992
ProfitableEdge
+29.1pp
ROI
+124%
Win rate
62% @ 32.7¢
Brier
0.261
Resolved
68
Avg size
$74
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 63% (5/8) | +195% | 8 |
| Other | 38% (3/8) | +57% | 8 |
| Sports | 50% (1/2) | -10% | 2 |
| Tech | 100% (1/1) | +22% | 1 |
- Politics8 bets
- Hit rate
- 63% (5/8)
- ROI
- +195%
- Other8 bets
- Hit rate
- 38% (3/8)
- ROI
- +57%
- Sports2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- -10%
- Tech1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +22%
Track record
53% hit · 10/19- Yes$5 @ 66.0¢
- Yes$9 @ 8.0¢
- No$200 @ 20.0¢
- No$158 @ 79.0¢
- Yes$400 @ 18.4¢
- Yes$73 @ 73.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 5.7¢
- Yes$13 @ 66.0¢
- No$245 @ 81.7¢
- No$220 @ 22.0¢
- Yes$487 @ 69.6¢
- No$208 @ 16.0¢
- Yes$200 @ 42.1¢
- Yes$360 @ 30.0¢
- No$50 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 17.4¢
- No$198 @ 7.6¢
- No$300 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$875 @ 27.5¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | Geopolitics | No | $1.2k | 95.1¢ |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | Crypto | No | $415 | 83.0¢ |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? | Politics | No | $348 | 87.0¢ |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | Geopolitics | No | $312 | 93.8¢ |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Politics | No | $300 | 84.0¢ |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Politics | Yes | $300 | 84.0¢ |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | Crypto | No | $300 | 78.0¢ |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | Crypto | No | $250 | 89.0¢ |
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?GeopoliticsNo$1.2k @ 95.1¢
- No$415 @ 83.0¢
- No$348 @ 87.0¢
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?GeopoliticsNo$312 @ 93.8¢
- No$300 @ 84.0¢
- Yes$300 @ 84.0¢
- No$300 @ 78.0¢
- No$250 @ 89.0¢