0xaabd…f562

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xaabd4c17bf4b38656f562597eb95660e0966f562
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+18.3pp

ROI

+42%

Win rate

46% @ 27.8¢

Brier

0.158

Resolved

428

Avg size

$23

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	19% (19/101)	-45%	101
Crypto	50% (5/10)	+128%	10
Sports	0% (0/7)	-100%	7
Politics	0% (0/5)	-100%	5
Geopolitics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other101 bets
Hit rate
19% (19/101)
ROI
-45%
Crypto10 bets
Hit rate
50% (5/10)
ROI
+128%
Sports7 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/7)
ROI
-100%
Politics5 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/5)
ROI
-100%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

19% hit · 24/124

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Ethereum dip to $3300 in August?	Yes	$10	5.8¢	Lost
Will Mohammad Khatami be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	$1	0.2¢	Lost
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?	Yes	$146	11.5¢	Lost
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?	Yes	$2	3.8¢	Lost
Will Team Liquid Win The International 2026?	Yes	$43	11.8¢	Lost
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?	Yes	$1	0.3¢	Lost
Solana above $200 on May 30?	Yes	$58	17.3¢	Lost
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	$38	37.0¢	Won
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	$1	2.9¢	Lost
Ethereum all time high before 2026?	Yes	$195	25.2¢	Won
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?	Yes	$20	26.0¢	Won
Solana above $180 on May 23?	Yes	$51	65.2¢	Won
Kurds declare independence from Iran?	Yes	$3	13.0¢	Lost
Will Andorra win on 2025-09-06?	Yes	$5	1.0¢	Lost
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	$42	53.2¢	Lost
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	$0	1.6¢	Lost
US-EU trade deal before June?	Yes	$5	2.4¢	Lost
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?	Yes	$20	36.0¢	Won
Ethereum above $2,800 on May 30?	Yes	$38	8.2¢	Lost
Solana above $160 on June 6?	Yes	$10	34.0¢	Lost
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?	Yes	$20	54.9¢	Won
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?	Yes	$4	9.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2600 on May 27?	Yes	$64	33.5¢	Won
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	No	$2	0.3¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	$12	0.2¢	Lost
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	$43	51.7¢	Lost
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	No	$5	30.0¢	Lost
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?	Yes	$2	6.0¢	Lost
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	$50	63.0¢	Won
US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?	Yes	$5	2.4¢	Lost
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?	Yes	$2	0.1¢	Lost
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	$5	2.9¢	Lost
ETH flipped in 2025?	Yes	$580	16.7¢	Lost
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	$10	14.0¢	Lost
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	$25	5.8¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?	Yes	$31	22.0¢	Lost
US government shutdown Saturday?	No	$34	25.1¢	Lost
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?	No	$25	14.0¢	Lost
Will Saeed Jalili be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	$1	0.2¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$73	61.0¢	Won
Will Ali Motahari be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	$1	0.2¢	Lost
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	$10	78.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	$23	22.9¢	Lost
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$143	53.4¢	Won
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2800 on May 23?	Yes	$60	8.0¢	Lost
Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	$29	18.3¢	Lost
Kraken IPO in 2025?	Yes	$10	24.0¢	Lost
Will Trump Media invest in Ethereum before July?	Yes	$30	14.7¢	Lost
Bitcoin above $113,000 on May 30?	Yes	$2	6.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2600 and $2700 on May 30?	Yes	$29	22.5¢	Lost

Will Ethereum dip to $3300 in August?Lost
Yes$10 @ 5.8¢
Will Mohammad Khatami be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Lost
Yes$146 @ 11.5¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?Lost
Yes$2 @ 3.8¢
Will Team Liquid Win The International 2026?Lost
Yes$43 @ 11.8¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.3¢
Solana above $200 on May 30?Lost
Yes$58 @ 17.3¢
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Won
No$38 @ 37.0¢
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.9¢
Ethereum all time high before 2026?Won
Yes$195 @ 25.2¢
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?Won
Yes$20 @ 26.0¢
Solana above $180 on May 23?Won
Yes$51 @ 65.2¢
Kurds declare independence from Iran?Lost
Yes$3 @ 13.0¢
Will Andorra win on 2025-09-06?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.0¢
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?Lost
Yes$42 @ 53.2¢
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.6¢
US-EU trade deal before June?Lost
Yes$5 @ 2.4¢
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?Won
Yes$20 @ 36.0¢
Ethereum above $2,800 on May 30?Lost
Yes$38 @ 8.2¢
Solana above $160 on June 6?Lost
Yes$10 @ 34.0¢
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?Won
Yes$20 @ 54.9¢
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?Lost
Yes$4 @ 9.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2600 on May 27?Won
Yes$64 @ 33.5¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Lost
No$2 @ 0.3¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$12 @ 0.2¢
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?Lost
No$43 @ 51.7¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Lost
No$5 @ 30.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?Lost
Yes$2 @ 6.0¢
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?Won
No$50 @ 63.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?Lost
Yes$5 @ 2.4¢
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Lost
No$5 @ 2.9¢
ETH flipped in 2025?Lost
Yes$580 @ 16.7¢
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?Lost
Yes$10 @ 14.0¢
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?Lost
Yes$25 @ 5.8¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?Lost
Yes$31 @ 22.0¢
US government shutdown Saturday?Lost
No$34 @ 25.1¢
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Lost
No$25 @ 14.0¢
Will Saeed Jalili be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Won
Yes$73 @ 61.0¢
Will Ali Motahari be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?Won
No$10 @ 78.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?Lost
No$23 @ 22.9¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?Won
Yes$143 @ 53.4¢
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2800 on May 23?Lost
Yes$60 @ 8.0¢
Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?Lost
No$29 @ 18.3¢
Kraken IPO in 2025?Lost
Yes$10 @ 24.0¢
Will Trump Media invest in Ethereum before July?Lost
Yes$30 @ 14.7¢
Bitcoin above $113,000 on May 30?Lost
Yes$2 @ 6.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2600 and $2700 on May 30?Lost
Yes$29 @ 22.5¢

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