0xaabb…0ac6

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xaabbd33103b0664da203a438efff634a04330ac6
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+14.9pp

ROI

+14%

Win rate

72% @ 57.1¢

Brier

0.163

Resolved

720

Avg size

$318

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	55% (31/56)	+0%	56
Crypto	56% (23/41)	+35%	41
Politics	80% (8/10)	+4%	10
Sports	75% (3/4)	+44%	4
Tech	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Economy	100% (1/1)	+29%	1

Other56 bets
Hit rate
55% (31/56)
ROI
+0%
Crypto41 bets
Hit rate
56% (23/41)
ROI
+35%
Politics10 bets
Hit rate
80% (8/10)
ROI
+4%
Sports4 bets
Hit rate
75% (3/4)
ROI
+44%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+29%

Track record

58% hit · 66/113

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?	No	$4.6k	71.5¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	$3.0k	55.3¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?	Yes	$1.3k	65.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 18-24?	No	$70	64.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?	No	$2.7k	77.4¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 July 6-12?	Yes	$1.1k	33.9¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in June?	No	$2.2k	72.8¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$2.3k	73.8¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November?	No	$5.2k	70.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	$2.4k	81.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?	No	$1.8k	60.8¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in October?	Yes	$4.0k	84.8¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in April?	Yes	$3.6k	79.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 June 1-7?	No	$2.5k	59.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?	No	$558	62.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?	Yes	$1.6k	51.1¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	$979	89.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 13-19?	No	$2.1k	82.5¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	$150	15.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	No	$50	5.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	$1.8k	73.0¢	Lost
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$740	74.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?	No	$2.6k	78.6¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?	No	$108	30.8¢	Lost
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$497	0.8¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 April 6-12?	No	$831	83.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 1-7?	Yes	$571	57.1¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	$140	80.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	$12.3k	63.7¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 June 1-7?	Yes	$1.6k	81.6¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	No	$12	0.6¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?	Yes	$12	0.9¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 April 6-12?	No	$5.6k	87.1¢	Won
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 May 4-10?	Yes	$69	23.0¢	Lost
James Comey arrested by April 29?	No	$1.2k	64.7¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	$108	9.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	$2.6k	46.6¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	No	$5.6k	78.6¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 6-12?	Yes	$435	29.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 8-14?	Yes	$370	37.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 6?	Yes	$40	8.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?	No	$1.4k	71.6¢	Won
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	$38	63.0¢	Lost
Wizards vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	$1.3k	84.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	$9.4k	78.6¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7?	No	$412	45.8¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 June 29-July 5?	Yes	$210	29.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?	No	$1.9k	27.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	No	$4.9k	61.1¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 April 27-May 3?	No	$700	70.0¢	Won

Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?Won
No$4.6k @ 71.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?Won
No$3.0k @ 55.3¢
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?Won
Yes$1.3k @ 65.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 18-24?Won
No$70 @ 64.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?Lost
No$2.7k @ 77.4¢
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 July 6-12?Lost
Yes$1.1k @ 33.9¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in June?Won
No$2.2k @ 72.8¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$2.3k @ 73.8¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November?Lost
No$5.2k @ 70.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?Won
No$2.4k @ 81.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?Lost
No$1.8k @ 60.8¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in October?Won
Yes$4.0k @ 84.8¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in April?Won
Yes$3.6k @ 79.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 June 1-7?Lost
No$2.5k @ 59.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?Won
No$558 @ 62.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?Won
Yes$1.6k @ 51.1¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Won
No$979 @ 89.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 13-19?Won
No$2.1k @ 82.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?Lost
Yes$150 @ 15.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?Lost
No$50 @ 5.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?Lost
No$1.8k @ 73.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Won
No$740 @ 74.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?Won
No$2.6k @ 78.6¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?Lost
No$108 @ 30.8¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$497 @ 0.8¢
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 April 6-12?Won
No$831 @ 83.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 1-7?Won
Yes$571 @ 57.1¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Won
No$140 @ 80.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?Won
No$12.3k @ 63.7¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 June 1-7?Won
Yes$1.6k @ 81.6¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?Lost
No$12 @ 0.6¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?Lost
Yes$12 @ 0.9¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 April 6-12?Won
No$5.6k @ 87.1¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 May 4-10?Lost
Yes$69 @ 23.0¢
James Comey arrested by April 29?Lost
No$1.2k @ 64.7¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?Lost
No$108 @ 9.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?Won
Yes$2.6k @ 46.6¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?Won
No$5.6k @ 78.6¢
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 6-12?Lost
Yes$435 @ 29.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 8-14?Lost
Yes$370 @ 37.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 6?Lost
Yes$40 @ 8.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?Won
No$1.4k @ 71.6¢
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?Lost
No$38 @ 63.0¢
Wizards vs. CavaliersWon
Cavaliers$1.3k @ 84.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?Won
No$9.4k @ 78.6¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7?Won
No$412 @ 45.8¢
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 June 29-July 5?Won
Yes$210 @ 29.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?Lost
No$1.9k @ 27.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?Won
No$4.9k @ 61.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 April 27-May 3?Won
No$700 @ 70.0¢

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