0xaa7a…4d23

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xaa7a74b8c754e8aacc1ac2dedb699af0a3224d23
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+3.0pp

ROI

+24%

Win rate

26% @ 23.3¢

Brier

0.133

Resolved

5335

Avg size

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	36% (386/1064)	+24%	1064
Science	44% (11/25)	+44%	25
Sports	75% (3/4)	-5%	4
Politics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Crypto	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other1064 bets
Hit rate
36% (386/1064)
ROI
+24%
Science25 bets
Hit rate
44% (11/25)
ROI
+44%
Sports4 bets
Hit rate
75% (3/4)
ROI
-5%
Politics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

37% hit · 400/1095

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on March 2?	Yes	$12	23.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 6?	Yes	$25	55.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on March 14?	No	$121	82.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on March 27?	Yes	$13	32.0¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on April 25?	Yes	$6	5.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on February 24?	Yes	$4	5.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 10?	No	$30	60.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 10?	Yes	$21	14.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on April 21?	No	$25	64.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on April 21?	Yes	$13	9.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on March 26?	Yes	$17	22.6¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on May 5?	No	$20	40.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on February 23?	No	$96	88.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 72°F or higher on March 15?	Yes	$130	41.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on April 2?	Yes	$37	17.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on April 24?	Yes	$3	6.0¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on June 12?	Yes	$3	13.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on May 1?	No	$173	74.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on May 1?	Yes	$45	30.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 68°F or higher on March 27?	Yes	$9	7.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 24?	Yes	$19	23.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 27?	Yes	$10	19.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 54-55°F on February 4?	Yes	$47	43.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on February 18?	Yes	$1	1.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on April 3?	No	$166	86.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 21?	Yes	$6	11.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on April 6?	No	$0	85.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on April 20?	Yes	$1	1.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 18?	No	$68	36.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 12?	Yes	$17	58.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 20?	Yes	$101	25.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on April 22?	Yes	$25	51.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 8?	No	$7	49.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 13?	Yes	$30	10.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on March 11?	No	$84	84.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 78°F or higher on February 19?	Yes	$30	31.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on March 9?	Yes	$49	57.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on February 16?	Yes	$19	48.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on February 18?	Yes	$61	35.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 40-41°F on January 22?	Yes	$2	27.0¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on April 26?	No	$35	50.8¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on April 26?	Yes	$17	17.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on March 29?	No	$81	81.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on April 14?	Yes	$9	10.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on February 26?	Yes	$2	12.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on April 21?	Yes	$12	39.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 58-59°F on February 6?	No	$44	76.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on March 9?	Yes	$19	23.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 52°F or higher on February 12?	Yes	$26	52.0¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on June 1?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on March 2?Lost
Yes$12 @ 23.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 6?Won
Yes$25 @ 55.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on March 14?Won
No$121 @ 82.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on March 27?Lost
Yes$13 @ 32.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on April 25?Lost
Yes$6 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on February 24?Lost
Yes$4 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 10?Won
No$30 @ 60.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 10?Lost
Yes$21 @ 14.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on April 21?Won
No$25 @ 64.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on April 21?Lost
Yes$13 @ 9.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on March 26?Lost
Yes$17 @ 22.6¢
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on May 5?Lost
No$20 @ 40.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on February 23?Won
No$96 @ 88.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 72°F or higher on March 15?Won
Yes$130 @ 41.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on April 2?Lost
Yes$37 @ 17.5¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on April 24?Lost
Yes$3 @ 6.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on June 12?Lost
Yes$3 @ 13.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on May 1?Won
No$173 @ 74.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on May 1?Lost
Yes$45 @ 30.7¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 68°F or higher on March 27?Lost
Yes$9 @ 7.5¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 24?Lost
Yes$19 @ 23.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 27?Lost
Yes$10 @ 19.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 54-55°F on February 4?Lost
Yes$47 @ 43.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on February 18?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on April 3?Won
No$166 @ 86.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 21?Lost
Yes$6 @ 11.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on April 6?Won
No$0 @ 85.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on April 20?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 18?Lost
No$68 @ 36.5¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 12?Won
Yes$17 @ 58.3¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 20?Won
Yes$101 @ 25.0¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on April 22?Lost
Yes$25 @ 51.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 8?Won
No$7 @ 49.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 13?Lost
Yes$30 @ 10.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on March 11?Won
No$84 @ 84.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 78°F or higher on February 19?Won
Yes$30 @ 31.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on March 9?Won
Yes$49 @ 57.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on February 16?Won
Yes$19 @ 48.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on February 18?Lost
Yes$61 @ 35.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 40-41°F on January 22?Won
Yes$2 @ 27.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on April 26?Won
No$35 @ 50.8¢
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on April 26?Lost
Yes$17 @ 17.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on March 29?Won
No$81 @ 81.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on April 14?Won
Yes$9 @ 10.9¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on February 26?Lost
Yes$2 @ 12.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on April 21?Won
Yes$12 @ 39.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 58-59°F on February 6?Won
No$44 @ 76.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on March 9?Lost
Yes$19 @ 23.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 52°F or higher on February 12?Won
Yes$26 @ 52.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on June 1?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$1.5k	50.0¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	No	$1.5k	50.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 29?	Science	No	$85	59.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on September 29?	Science	Yes	$39	12.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on September 29?	Science	No	$33	59.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 30?	Science	Yes	$27	27.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 29?	Science	Yes	$25	20.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on September 29?	Science	Yes	$16	30.5¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 29?	Science	Yes	$13	15.5¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 29?	Science	Yes	$12	6.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 30?	Science	Yes	$7	7.2¢
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 30?	Science	Yes	$6	10.7¢
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on September 29?	Science	Yes	$6	7.6¢
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on September 29?	Science	Yes	$5	4.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on September 29?	Science	Yes	$1	6.2¢
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 29?	Science	Yes	$1	6.2¢
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 68-69°F on September 29?	Science	Yes	$1	6.2¢
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 65°F or below on September 29?	Science	Yes	$1	6.2¢
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 84°F or higher on September 29?	Science	Yes	$1	6.2¢
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on September 29?	Science	Yes	$1	6.2¢
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 66-67°F on September 29?	Science	Yes	$1	6.2¢

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$1.5k @ 50.0¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
No$1.5k @ 50.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 29?Science
No$85 @ 59.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on September 29?Science
Yes$39 @ 12.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on September 29?Science
No$33 @ 59.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 30?Science
Yes$27 @ 27.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 29?Science
Yes$25 @ 20.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on September 29?Science
Yes$16 @ 30.5¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 29?Science
Yes$13 @ 15.5¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 29?Science
Yes$12 @ 6.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 30?Science
Yes$7 @ 7.2¢
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 30?Science
Yes$6 @ 10.7¢
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on September 29?Science
Yes$6 @ 7.6¢
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on September 29?Science
Yes$5 @ 4.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on September 29?Science
Yes$1 @ 6.2¢
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 29?Science
Yes$1 @ 6.2¢
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 68-69°F on September 29?Science
Yes$1 @ 6.2¢
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 65°F or below on September 29?Science
Yes$1 @ 6.2¢
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 84°F or higher on September 29?Science
Yes$1 @ 6.2¢
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on September 29?Science
Yes$1 @ 6.2¢
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 66-67°F on September 29?Science
Yes$1 @ 6.2¢