← Smart money
0xaa46…45ee
ProfitableEdge
+15.1pp
ROI
+40%
Win rate
44% @ 28.9¢
Brier
0.250
Resolved
175
Avg size
$4
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 35% (26/74) | +44% | 74 |
| Sports | 38% (12/32) | +2% | 32 |
| Politics | 44% (4/9) | +83% | 9 |
| Crypto | 67% (2/3) | -77% | 3 |
- Other74 bets
- Hit rate
- 35% (26/74)
- ROI
- +44%
- Sports32 bets
- Hit rate
- 38% (12/32)
- ROI
- +2%
- Politics9 bets
- Hit rate
- 44% (4/9)
- ROI
- +83%
- Crypto3 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (2/3)
- ROI
- -77%
Track record
37% hit · 44/118- No$2 @ 15.5¢
- Up$5 @ 66.0¢
- KT Rolster$8 @ 59.0¢
- Argentina$15 @ 75.0¢
- largadosypelados$1 @ 87.0¢
- No$6 @ 81.0¢
- Conventus Stellarum$5 @ 74.0¢
- Yes$19 @ 71.0¢
- ENJOY$4 @ 53.0¢
- Twisted Minds$3 @ 36.0¢
- No$3 @ 8.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 0.1¢
- Natus Vincere$2 @ 5.4¢
- Detroit Tigers$1 @ 32.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 4.2¢
- Hokori$3 @ 3.7¢
- Aoi Ito$3 @ 27.0¢
- Fuego$3 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 37.7¢
- Team Yandex$2 @ 0.1¢
- Sedriques Dumas$6 @ 32.0¢
- San Diego Padres$10 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 53.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 1.2¢
- Miami Marlins$3 @ 1.0¢
- Victoria Brand$2 @ 18.0¢
- Los Angeles Angels$11 @ 19.0¢
- Minnesota Twins$12 @ 23.2¢
- Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu$2 @ 27.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 22.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 1.1¢
- MOUZ$5 @ 6.0¢
- Gianluca Cadenasso$4 @ 77.0¢
- No$3 @ 89.0¢
- G2 Esports$5 @ 88.0¢
- Team Yandex$5 @ 65.0¢
- Pipsqueak+4$12 @ 45.0¢
- Robert Bryczek$2 @ 13.0¢
- No$33 @ 84.0¢
- Alevtina Ibragimova$4 @ 53.0¢
- FURIA$9 @ 68.0¢
- 3DMAX Academy$2 @ 17.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 11.6¢
- Yes$3 @ 10.2¢
- No$19 @ 59.9¢
- South Africa$6 @ 45.0¢
- Arizona Diamondbacks$4 @ 37.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 12.7¢
- Yes$1 @ 17.0¢
- Disguised$2 @ 18.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Politics | Yes | $12 | 10.7¢ |
| Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 | Crypto | No | $10 | 90.0¢ |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $4 | 38.0¢ |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Politics | Yes | $4 | 26.2¢ |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | Culture | Yes | $3 | 1.3¢ |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $3 | 32.0¢ |
| Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Politics | Yes | $2 | 0.2¢ |
| US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? | Politics | Yes | $2 | 5.0¢ |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Politics | Yes | $1 | 2.5¢ |
| OKX IPO in 2026? | Crypto | Yes | $1 | 16.0¢ |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Politics | Yes | $1 | 69.0¢ |
| Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? | Politics | Yes | $1 | 56.0¢ |
| Will the Republican Party win the NM-03 House seat? | Politics | Yes | $1 | 11.0¢ |
- Yes$12 @ 10.7¢
- No$10 @ 90.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 38.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 26.2¢
- Yes$3 @ 1.3¢
- Yes$3 @ 32.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$2 @ 5.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 2.5¢
- OKX IPO in 2026?CryptoYes$1 @ 16.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 69.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 56.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 11.0¢