← Smart money
0xa9b4…64ed
ProfitableSniperEdge
+32.5pp
ROI
+1060%
Win rate
40% @ 7.9¢
Brier
0.342
Resolved
445
Avg size
$30
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 20% (1/5) | +1101% | 5 |
| Politics | 33% (1/3) | -32% | 3 |
- Other5 bets
- Hit rate
- 20% (1/5)
- ROI
- +1101%
- Politics3 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (1/3)
- ROI
- -32%
Track record
25% hit · 2/8| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI? | Yes | $285 | 57.0¢ | Won |
| Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | No | $10 | 0.1¢ | Lost |
| Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | No | $285 | 0.4¢ | Lost |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | Yes | $215 | 4.3¢ | Lost |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | No | $6.2k | 31.1¢ | Lost |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | Yes | $6.1k | 3.9¢ | Won |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | No | $380 | 76.0¢ | Lost |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | $230 | 11.5¢ | Lost |
- Yes$285 @ 57.0¢
- No$10 @ 0.1¢
- No$285 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$215 @ 4.3¢
- No$6.2k @ 31.1¢
- Yes$6.1k @ 3.9¢
- No$380 @ 76.0¢
- Yes$230 @ 11.5¢
Recent trades
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Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Politics | No | $2.4k | 81.2¢ |
| Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Politics | Yes | $649 | 15.0¢ |
- No$2.4k @ 81.2¢
- Yes$649 @ 15.0¢