0xa936…3b90

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xa9368b2266eaea56d9ae213754222f86e2023b90
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+5.3pp

ROI

+4%

Win rate

62% @ 56.7¢

Brier

0.201

Resolved

1708

Avg size

$35

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	58% (267/461)	+3%	461
Sports	55% (34/62)	+15%	62

Other461 bets
Hit rate
58% (267/461)
ROI
+3%
Sports62 bets
Hit rate
55% (34/62)
ROI
+15%

Track record

58% hit · 301/523

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?	Yes	$3	13.0¢	Lost
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?	No	$58	67.6¢	Won
Netherlands vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$24	79.7¢	Won
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$31	77.0¢	Lost
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	$127	46.0¢	Won
South Africa vs. Cameroon: O/U 2.5	Over	$23	65.0¢	Won
Morocco vs. Tanzania: O/U 1.5	Over	$11	35.0¢	Lost
Burnley FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$33	81.5¢	Won
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$50	68.0¢	Won
UEFA Women’s Euro: Spain vs. Switzerland (To Advance)	Switzerland	$0	4.0¢	Lost
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?	No	$125	54.0¢	Won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 1.5	Over	$20	78.0¢	Lost
Will Kamala Harris say "Price control" during Friday speech?	Yes	$95	38.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "tax" 30 or more times during Arizona rally on October 13?	No	$146	77.8¢	Won
Will Watford FC win on 2026-04-06?	No	$40	79.0¢	Won
Will Levante UD vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?	Yes	$21	30.0¢	Lost
Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)	Bologna FC 1909	$4	73.0¢	Won
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-14?	Yes	$13	25.0¢	Lost
Will Suriname win on 2025-11-18?	Yes	$18	44.0¢	Lost
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-11?	Yes	$11	22.0¢	Lost
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?	No	$5	19.0¢	Lost
Will Biden say "Israel" at DNC speech?	Yes	$24	47.0¢	Lost
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?	Yes	$126	63.0¢	Lost
Newcastle United FC vs. PSV: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$61	40.7¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump say "Hezbollah" during his Pennsylvania rally?	No	$189	84.5¢	Won
Everton FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5	Under	$98	65.7¢	Won
Will Spain win the UEFA Women's Euro?	No	$206	41.2¢	Won
Will Trump say "Illegal Immigration" 3 or more times at his rally?	No	$315	63.0¢	Won
AFC Bournemouth vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$126	55.0¢	Lost
Spread: Norway (-1.5)	Senegal	$125	78.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump say "Trans" during his Pennsylvania rally?	Yes	$582	75.5¢	Won
VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$37	61.5¢	Lost
Will Spain win in 90 min?	Yes	$60	40.0¢	Won
Chelsea FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 4.5	Over	$11	58.0¢	Won
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-21?	Yes	$9	23.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "too big to rig" 2 or more times during New York rally on October 27?	Yes	$33	67.0¢	Lost
F1 British Grand Prix: Safety Car?	Yes	$29	73.0¢	Won
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-12?	No	$102	68.0¢	Won
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-22?	No	$185	67.1¢	Won
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?	Yes	$43	54.0¢	Won
Will Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	$73	26.0¢	Lost
Spread: France (-1.5)	France	$25	59.0¢	Lost
UEFA Women’s Euro: France vs. Germany (To Advance)	France	$17	56.0¢	Lost
Will a new Cabinet of the Netherlands be sworn in by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$76	69.0¢	Won
Miami Marlins vs. Detroit Tigers	Miami Marlins	$356	35.0¢	Lost
England vs. Spain: Spain O/U 1.5	Over	$21	71.3¢	Won
SSC Napoli vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5	Over	$53	66.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "China" 3 or more times at debate?	Yes	$116	89.0¢	Won
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?	Yes	$1.1k	54.7¢	Won
Liverpool FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$75	55.3¢	Won

Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Lost
Yes$3 @ 13.0¢
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?Won
No$58 @ 67.6¢
Netherlands vs. Norway: Both Teams to ScoreWon
Yes$24 @ 79.7¢
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to ScoreLost
Yes$31 @ 77.0¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?Won
Yes$127 @ 46.0¢
South Africa vs. Cameroon: O/U 2.5Won
Over$23 @ 65.0¢
Morocco vs. Tanzania: O/U 1.5Lost
Over$11 @ 35.0¢
Burnley FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to ScoreWon
Yes$33 @ 81.5¢
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?Won
Yes$50 @ 68.0¢
UEFA Women’s Euro: Spain vs. Switzerland (To Advance) Lost
Switzerland $0 @ 4.0¢
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?Won
No$125 @ 54.0¢
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 1.5Lost
Over$20 @ 78.0¢
Will Kamala Harris say "Price control" during Friday speech?Lost
Yes$95 @ 38.0¢
Will Trump say "tax" 30 or more times during Arizona rally on October 13?Won
No$146 @ 77.8¢
Will Watford FC win on 2026-04-06?Won
No$40 @ 79.0¢
Will Levante UD vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?Lost
Yes$21 @ 30.0¢
Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)Won
Bologna FC 1909$4 @ 73.0¢
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-14?Lost
Yes$13 @ 25.0¢
Will Suriname win on 2025-11-18?Lost
Yes$18 @ 44.0¢
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-11?Lost
Yes$11 @ 22.0¢
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?Lost
No$5 @ 19.0¢
Will Biden say "Israel" at DNC speech?Lost
Yes$24 @ 47.0¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?Lost
Yes$126 @ 63.0¢
Newcastle United FC vs. PSV: Both Teams to ScoreLost
Yes$61 @ 40.7¢
Will Donald Trump say "Hezbollah" during his Pennsylvania rally?Won
No$189 @ 84.5¢
Everton FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5Won
Under$98 @ 65.7¢
Will Spain win the UEFA Women's Euro?Won
No$206 @ 41.2¢
Will Trump say "Illegal Immigration" 3 or more times at his rally?Won
No$315 @ 63.0¢
AFC Bournemouth vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to ScoreLost
Yes$126 @ 55.0¢
Spread: Norway (-1.5)Won
Senegal$125 @ 78.0¢
Will Donald Trump say "Trans" during his Pennsylvania rally?Won
Yes$582 @ 75.5¢
VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig: Both Teams to ScoreLost
Yes$37 @ 61.5¢
Will Spain win in 90 min?Won
Yes$60 @ 40.0¢
Chelsea FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 4.5Won
Over$11 @ 58.0¢
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-21?Lost
Yes$9 @ 23.0¢
Will Trump say "too big to rig" 2 or more times during New York rally on October 27?Lost
Yes$33 @ 67.0¢
F1 British Grand Prix: Safety Car? Won
Yes$29 @ 73.0¢
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-12?Won
No$102 @ 68.0¢
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-22?Won
No$185 @ 67.1¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?Won
Yes$43 @ 54.0¢
Will Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?Lost
Yes$73 @ 26.0¢
Spread: France (-1.5)Lost
France$25 @ 59.0¢
UEFA Women’s Euro: France vs. Germany (To Advance) Lost
France $17 @ 56.0¢
Will a new Cabinet of the Netherlands be sworn in by March 31, 2026?Won
Yes$76 @ 69.0¢
Miami Marlins vs. Detroit TigersLost
Miami Marlins$356 @ 35.0¢
England vs. Spain: Spain O/U 1.5Won
Over$21 @ 71.3¢
SSC Napoli vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5Won
Over$53 @ 66.0¢
Will Trump say "China" 3 or more times at debate?Won
Yes$116 @ 89.0¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?Won
Yes$1.1k @ 54.7¢
Liverpool FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to ScoreWon
Yes$75 @ 55.3¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Sports	Under	$33	49.0¢

Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5Sports
Under$33 @ 49.0¢