← Smart money
0xa8fe…3ee3
SharpEdge
+5.4pp
ROI
+9%
Win rate
27% @ 21.1¢
Brier
0.130
Resolved
890
Avg size
$73
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 34% (47/138) | +7% | 138 |
| Sports | 29% (8/28) | +33% | 28 |
| Politics | 33% (2/6) | -3% | 6 |
| Crypto | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other138 bets
- Hit rate
- 34% (47/138)
- ROI
- +7%
- Sports28 bets
- Hit rate
- 29% (8/28)
- ROI
- +33%
- Politics6 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (2/6)
- ROI
- -3%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
33% hit · 57/173- Under$100 @ 18.0¢
- Rams$277 @ 29.0¢
- South Africa$34 @ 45.0¢
- South Africa$99 @ 18.0¢
- Yes$31 @ 2.2¢
- No$2.7k @ 60.4¢
- Yes$37 @ 13.4¢
- No$1.7k @ 84.0¢
- Yes$215 @ 10.4¢
- Yes$148 @ 6.8¢
- Yes$204 @ 40.0¢
- Pakistan$280 @ 28.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 4.0¢
- No$1.1k @ 50.6¢
- No$2 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$271 @ 46.7¢
- Yes$124 @ 62.0¢
- Yes$156 @ 4.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 2.1¢
- No$223 @ 20.1¢
- Yes$3.8k @ 58.4¢
- No$1 @ 55.0¢
- Yes$136 @ 0.6¢
- Yes$150 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$101 @ 11.0¢
- Packers$129 @ 21.0¢
- Celtics$246 @ 41.0¢
- Bears$305 @ 61.0¢
- Bears vs. EaglesLostEagles$60 @ 2.0¢
- No$150 @ 15.0¢
- Yes$62 @ 0.1¢
- No$1.3k @ 48.7¢
- Yes$19 @ 6.2¢
- Yes$1.6k @ 57.0¢
- Yes$50 @ 10.8¢
- Yes$1.9k @ 12.2¢
- No$0 @ 0.4¢
- No$549 @ 11.0¢
- Texans$300 @ 30.0¢
- Yes$31 @ 18.0¢
- No$64 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
- No$40 @ 40.0¢
- Yes$21 @ 13.8¢
- Commanders$167 @ 15.2¢
- No$1 @ 31.0¢
- Yes$880 @ 4.1¢
- No$201 @ 77.0¢
- No$289 @ 13.0¢
- Yes$52 @ 22.9¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? | Sports | Yes | $1.2k | 21.7¢ |
| Will Manchester City be relegated from the Premier League in 2026-27? | Sports | Yes | $1.1k | 30.8¢ |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $268 | 25.0¢ |
| Manchester City punishment announced by November 20? | Sports | Yes | $197 | 10.4¢ |
| Andy Burnham out as UK PM by December 31? | Politics | Yes | $195 | 6.7¢ |
| Hibernian FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 1.5 | Sports | Under | $100 | 18.0¢ |
| Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by November 30? | Geopolitics | Yes | $77 | 4.6¢ |
| Manchester City punishment announced by December 4? | Sports | Yes | $50 | 12.5¢ |
| Will Manchester City finish in last place in the 2026-27 English Premier League season? | Sports | Yes | $11 | 24.7¢ |
- Yes$1.2k @ 21.7¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 30.8¢
- Yes$268 @ 25.0¢
- Yes$197 @ 10.4¢
- Yes$195 @ 6.7¢
- Under$100 @ 18.0¢
- Yes$77 @ 4.6¢
- Yes$50 @ 12.5¢
- Yes$11 @ 24.7¢