0xa895…faac

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xa89518aca5a633a79ad1e9737209c9689f83faac
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+8.4pp

ROI

+100%

Win rate

21% @ 13.0¢

Brier

0.106

Resolved

2188

Avg size

$15

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	27% (131/486)	+95%	486
Science	21% (9/43)	+178%	43
Politics	25% (2/8)	+2%	8

Other486 bets
Hit rate
27% (131/486)
ROI
+95%
Science43 bets
Hit rate
21% (9/43)
ROI
+178%
Politics8 bets
Hit rate
25% (2/8)
ROI
+2%

Track record

26% hit · 142/537

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 3?	Yes	$7	1.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on March 20?	No	$899	89.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on March 29?	Yes	$4	11.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 28?	No	$2	1.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 3?	No	$30	7.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 34-35°F on January 24?	No	$54	75.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 34-35°F on January 24?	Yes	$0	0.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 13?	Yes	$33	14.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C or below on April 20?	No	$4	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C or below on April 20?	Yes	$1	0.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on April 8?	Yes	$10	3.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 15?	No	$3	20.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on March 30?	Yes	$35	10.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on June 12?	Yes	$5	1.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on April 5?	Yes	$6	2.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on March 13?	No	$41	50.0¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on June 18?	Yes	$3	3.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on April 11?	Yes	$3	4.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 12°C or below on June 26?	Yes	$8	0.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on April 15?	Yes	$2	1.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 23°C or higher on February 11?	Yes	$29	55.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 11?	No	$121	59.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 34°C on April 23?	Yes	$8	1.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C or higher on June 26?	Yes	$6	0.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on April 16?	Yes	$15	22.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 20°C on April 2?	Yes	$2	1.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on March 23?	Yes	$5	1.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 5?	Yes	$12	0.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on March 5?	No	$10	4.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C or higher on May 26?	Yes	$21	1.0¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on July 28?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on May 15?	Yes	$1	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 22°C on March 24?	Yes	$6	0.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on May 26?	Yes	$2	0.5¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on April 25?	No	$8	1.6¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 21?	No	$3	3.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on April 13?	Yes	$18	5.0¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 2?	No	$13	80.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 12?	Yes	$1	38.0¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on April 24?	No	$41	18.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 February 23-March 1?	Yes	$27	6.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on March 27?	Yes	$20	34.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 34°C on March 1?	Yes	$25	4.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C or higher on May 1?	Yes	$160	13.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C or higher on March 2?	Yes	$9	18.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on April 7?	No	$10	5.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 22°C on August 8?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $730 Week of April 27 2026?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?	Yes	$177	88.4¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on June 15?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 3?Lost
Yes$7 @ 1.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on March 20?Won
No$899 @ 89.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on March 29?Lost
Yes$4 @ 11.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 28?Lost
No$2 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 3?Won
No$30 @ 7.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 34-35°F on January 24?Won
No$54 @ 75.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 34-35°F on January 24?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 13?Won
Yes$33 @ 14.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C or below on April 20?Lost
No$4 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C or below on April 20?Won
Yes$1 @ 0.5¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on April 8?Lost
Yes$10 @ 3.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 15?Won
No$3 @ 20.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on March 30?Lost
Yes$35 @ 10.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on June 12?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on April 5?Lost
Yes$6 @ 2.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on March 13?Won
No$41 @ 50.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on June 18?Lost
Yes$3 @ 3.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on April 11?Lost
Yes$3 @ 4.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 12°C or below on June 26?Lost
Yes$8 @ 0.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on April 15?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 23°C or higher on February 11?Lost
Yes$29 @ 55.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 11?Won
No$121 @ 59.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 34°C on April 23?Lost
Yes$8 @ 1.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C or higher on June 26?Lost
Yes$6 @ 0.5¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on April 16?Lost
Yes$15 @ 22.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 20°C on April 2?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on March 23?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 5?Lost
Yes$12 @ 0.8¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on March 5?Lost
No$10 @ 4.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C or higher on May 26?Lost
Yes$21 @ 1.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on July 28?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on May 15?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 22°C on March 24?Lost
Yes$6 @ 0.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on May 26?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.5¢
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on April 25?Lost
No$8 @ 1.6¢
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 21?Lost
No$3 @ 3.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on April 13?Won
Yes$18 @ 5.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 2?Won
No$13 @ 80.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 12?Won
Yes$1 @ 38.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on April 24?Won
No$41 @ 18.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 February 23-March 1?Lost
Yes$27 @ 6.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on March 27?Lost
Yes$20 @ 34.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 34°C on March 1?Lost
Yes$25 @ 4.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C or higher on May 1?Won
Yes$160 @ 13.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C or higher on March 2?Lost
Yes$9 @ 18.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on April 7?Lost
No$10 @ 5.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 22°C on August 8?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $730 Week of April 27 2026?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?Won
Yes$177 @ 88.4¢
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on June 15?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$8.2k	50.0¢
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	No	$8.2k	50.0¢
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Science	No	$3.5k	47.9¢
Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Science	Yes	$267	13.0¢
Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Science	Yes	$88	5.4¢

Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$8.2k @ 50.0¢
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
No$8.2k @ 50.0¢
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?Science
No$3.5k @ 47.9¢
Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?Science
Yes$267 @ 13.0¢
Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?Science
Yes$88 @ 5.4¢