0xa7cc…644e

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xa7cc00c563726032007221e827bbf7fdb6d7644e
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+8.3pp

ROI

+7%

Win rate

54% @ 45.4¢

Brier

0.130

Resolved

1478

Avg size

$191

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	55% (52/94)	+22%	94
Politics	55% (16/29)	-19%	29
Sports	47% (7/15)	-45%	15
Geopolitics	33% (2/6)	-23%	6
Tech	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Economy	100% (1/1)	+89%	1
Culture	100% (1/1)	+22%	1

Other94 bets
Hit rate
55% (52/94)
ROI
+22%
Politics29 bets
Hit rate
55% (16/29)
ROI
-19%
Sports15 bets
Hit rate
47% (7/15)
ROI
-45%
Geopolitics6 bets
Hit rate
33% (2/6)
ROI
-23%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+89%
Culture1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+22%

Track record

54% hit · 79/147

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	$10.9k	73.0¢	Lost
Panthers vs. Packers: O/U 46.5	Over	$5.4k	54.0¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	$474	0.8¢	Lost
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	$14.4k	64.0¢	Won
Spread: Notre Dame (-10.5)	Notre Dame	$1.3k	50.0¢	Lost
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	$1.1k	57.0¢	Won
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner	Cloud9	$6.0k	61.0¢	Lost
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner	FURIA Esports	$221	33.0¢	Lost
Rams vs. Seahawks	Rams	$350	35.0¢	Lost
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	No	$16	77.6¢	Won
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	$7	43.3¢	Lost
49ers vs. Seahawks	49ers	$125	25.0¢	Lost
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs	G2 Esports	$3.9k	16.8¢	Lost
Colts vs. Chiefs	Chiefs	$398	90.0¢	Won
Colts vs. Chiefs	Colts	$229	49.0¢	Lost
Chiefs vs. Broncos	Broncos	$781	46.1¢	Won
Gov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)?	Yes	$1.0k	70.4¢	Won
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	$5.9k	78.0¢	Won
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?	Yes	$15	72.8¢	Won
Jaguars vs. Broncos	Broncos	$773	25.5¢	Lost
Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	$5	4.9¢	Lost
Miami vs. Indiana	Miami	$520	17.3¢	Lost
Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?	Yes	$51	26.5¢	Won
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?	No	$1.9k	36.9¢	Lost
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?	Yes	$7.7k	68.5¢	Won
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?	Yes	$3.0k	81.2¢	Won
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	Yes	$3	66.0¢	Won
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be blue?	Yes	$280	28.0¢	Lost
Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?	Yes	$16.4k	73.2¢	Won
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	$1.1k	44.2¢	Won
Eagles vs. Packers	Eagles	$208	52.0¢	Won
Eagles vs. Packers	Packers	$669	28.6¢	Lost
Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?	Yes	$1.1k	22.0¢	Lost
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	$9	45.4¢	Won
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?	Yes	$1.7k	77.6¢	Won
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	Yes	$8.7k	87.0¢	Won
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$475	0.8¢	Lost
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)	Anyones Legend	$530	53.0¢	Lost
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner	T1	$43	57.0¢	Lost
Patriots vs. Broncos	Patriots	$1.0k	67.8¢	Won
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	No	$8.6k	87.0¢	Won
GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?	Yes	$805	88.3¢	Won
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?	Yes	$3.4k	68.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	$110	2.2¢	Lost
Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	$4.2k	59.4¢	Won
US government shutdown Saturday?	No	$90	9.0¢	Lost
US government shutdown Saturday?	Yes	$7.6k	75.5¢	Won
Government shutdown on Saturday?	No	$13.6k	69.3¢	Won
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?	Yes	$708	86.0¢	Won
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?	Yes	$4.7k	78.1¢	Won

Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Lost
No$10.9k @ 73.0¢
Panthers vs. Packers: O/U 46.5Lost
Over$5.4k @ 54.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$474 @ 0.8¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$14.4k @ 64.0¢
Spread: Notre Dame (-10.5)Lost
Notre Dame$1.3k @ 50.0¢
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-10-17?Won
Yes$1.1k @ 57.0¢
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 - Game 3 WinnerLost
Cloud9$6.0k @ 61.0¢
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 - Game 1 WinnerLost
FURIA Esports$221 @ 33.0¢
Rams vs. SeahawksLost
Rams$350 @ 35.0¢
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Won
No$16 @ 77.6¢
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Lost
Yes$7 @ 43.3¢
49ers vs. SeahawksLost
49ers$125 @ 25.0¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsLost
G2 Esports$3.9k @ 16.8¢
Colts vs. ChiefsWon
Chiefs$398 @ 90.0¢
Colts vs. ChiefsLost
Colts$229 @ 49.0¢
Chiefs vs. BroncosWon
Broncos$781 @ 46.1¢
Gov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)?Won
Yes$1.0k @ 70.4¢
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Won
No$5.9k @ 78.0¢
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?Won
Yes$15 @ 72.8¢
Jaguars vs. BroncosLost
Broncos$773 @ 25.5¢
Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Lost
Yes$5 @ 4.9¢
Miami vs. IndianaLost
Miami$520 @ 17.3¢
Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?Won
Yes$51 @ 26.5¢
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?Lost
No$1.9k @ 36.9¢
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?Won
Yes$7.7k @ 68.5¢
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?Won
Yes$3.0k @ 81.2¢
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?Won
Yes$3 @ 66.0¢
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be blue?Lost
Yes$280 @ 28.0¢
Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?Won
Yes$16.4k @ 73.2¢
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Won
No$1.1k @ 44.2¢
Eagles vs. PackersWon
Eagles$208 @ 52.0¢
Eagles vs. PackersLost
Packers$669 @ 28.6¢
Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?Lost
Yes$1.1k @ 22.0¢
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Won
Yes$9 @ 45.4¢
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Won
Yes$1.7k @ 77.6¢
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?Won
Yes$8.7k @ 87.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$475 @ 0.8¢
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)Lost
Anyones Legend$530 @ 53.0¢
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 WinnerLost
T1$43 @ 57.0¢
Patriots vs. BroncosWon
Patriots$1.0k @ 67.8¢
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?Won
No$8.6k @ 87.0¢
GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?Won
Yes$805 @ 88.3¢
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?Won
Yes$3.4k @ 68.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Lost
Yes$110 @ 2.2¢
Spurs vs. ThunderWon
Spurs$4.2k @ 59.4¢
US government shutdown Saturday?Lost
No$90 @ 9.0¢
US government shutdown Saturday?Won
Yes$7.6k @ 75.5¢
Government shutdown on Saturday?Won
No$13.6k @ 69.3¢
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?Won
Yes$708 @ 86.0¢
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?Won
Yes$4.7k @ 78.1¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	No	$25.2k	62.1¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$10.5k	70.0¢
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?	Politics	No	$1.1k	74.0¢

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
No$25.2k @ 62.1¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$10.5k @ 70.0¢
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics
No$1.1k @ 74.0¢