← Smart money
0xa76b…8a50
SharpEdge
+4.8pp
ROI
+28%
Win rate
36% @ 30.8¢
Brier
0.124
Resolved
2540
Avg size
$2
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 28% (165/581) | +11% | 581 |
| Politics | 40% (48/121) | +15% | 121 |
| Sports | 30% (18/61) | +157% | 61 |
| Tech | 14% (4/28) | -56% | 28 |
| Culture | 35% (6/17) | -17% | 17 |
| Crypto | 20% (1/5) | -51% | 5 |
| Geopolitics | 75% (3/4) | +78% | 4 |
| Business | 33% (1/3) | -8% | 3 |
- Other581 bets
- Hit rate
- 28% (165/581)
- ROI
- +11%
- Politics121 bets
- Hit rate
- 40% (48/121)
- ROI
- +15%
- Sports61 bets
- Hit rate
- 30% (18/61)
- ROI
- +157%
- Tech28 bets
- Hit rate
- 14% (4/28)
- ROI
- -56%
- Culture17 bets
- Hit rate
- 35% (6/17)
- ROI
- -17%
- Crypto5 bets
- Hit rate
- 20% (1/5)
- ROI
- -51%
- Geopolitics4 bets
- Hit rate
- 75% (3/4)
- ROI
- +78%
- Business3 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (1/3)
- ROI
- -8%
Track record
30% hit · 246/820- No$10 @ 98.4¢
- No$6 @ 99.0¢
- No$6 @ 99.0¢
- No$6 @ 99.0¢
- Will Hertz Dias win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District?WonNo$6 @ 99.0¢
- No$5 @ 99.0¢
- No$6 @ 99.0¢
- No$6 @ 99.0¢
- No$0 @ 6.0¢
- Will Edmilson Costa win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Santa Catarina?LostYes$0 @ 0.2¢
- No$6 @ 99.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$6 @ 69.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 13.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 89.0¢
- Yes$13 @ 2.7¢
- Yes$20 @ 1.5¢
- No$6 @ 86.5¢
- Will Edmilson Costa win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?WonNo$183 @ 99.9¢
- No$43 @ 87.2¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
- No$6 @ 54.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$17 @ 86.4¢
- Yes$2 @ 5.0¢
- No$7 @ 74.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
- No$4 @ 35.4¢
- No$32 @ 34.8¢
- Yes$8 @ 22.9¢
- Yes$18 @ 56.3¢
- No$27 @ 15.3¢
- Yes$27 @ 16.0¢
- No$1 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 67.9¢
- Yes$6 @ 76.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 6.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
- No$26 @ 20.9¢
- Yes$7 @ 64.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 7.4¢
- No$6 @ 55.0¢
- Yes$12 @ 12.3¢
- Yes$4 @ 63.9¢
- No$12 @ 87.5¢
- Yes$3 @ 52.0¢
- Tyra Caterina Grant$6 @ 26.0¢
- Yes$12 @ 65.3¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$417 @ 89.5¢
- Yes$89 @ 36.3¢
- Anthropic IPO before 2027?BusinessNo$59 @ 33.4¢
- No$53 @ 77.2¢
- No$35 @ 67.0¢
- No$26 @ 51.0¢
- No$23 @ 82.3¢
- Yes$22 @ 28.8¢
- Yes$22 @ 24.5¢
- No$20 @ 66.7¢
- Yes$18 @ 35.6¢
- Trump on $250 bill this year?PoliticsNo$17 @ 92.0¢
- Yes$17 @ 16.8¢
- Yes$16 @ 73.1¢
- Yes$15 @ 13.9¢
- No$15 @ 58.0¢
- No$15 @ 56.7¢
- Will Trump and Putin not meet?PoliticsNo$12 @ 34.0¢
- No$12 @ 34.0¢
- Yes$12 @ 44.8¢
- Yes$12 @ 20.9¢
- No$12 @ 91.5¢
- No$12 @ 90.5¢
- Yes$12 @ 92.0¢
- No$12 @ 96.0¢
- No$11 @ 85.2¢
- Yes$11 @ 17.1¢
- Yes$11 @ 2.6¢
- No$10 @ 70.9¢
- Yes$8 @ 25.1¢