← Smart money
0xa6cf…39e6
SharpEdge
+6.7pp
ROI
+146%
Win rate
9% @ 2.1¢
Brier
0.078
Resolved
1260
Avg size
$3
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 12% (3/25) | +158% | 25 |
| Other | 25% (1/4) | -3% | 4 |
- Sports25 bets
- Hit rate
- 12% (3/25)
- ROI
- +158%
- Other4 bets
- Hit rate
- 25% (1/4)
- ROI
- -3%
Track record
14% hit · 4/29- Yes$4 @ 2.0¢
- Yes$31 @ 1.1¢
- Lakers$204 @ 73.0¢
- Yes$52 @ 8.1¢
- Yes$60 @ 0.9¢
- Yes$23 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$49 @ 0.6¢
- Yes$126 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$80 @ 8.0¢
- Yes$40 @ 0.6¢
- Yes$187 @ 1.5¢
- Yes$367 @ 2.6¢
- Yes$1 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$234 @ 13.0¢
- Yes$228 @ 3.1¢
- Yes$7 @ 40.0¢
- Yes$283 @ 0.6¢
- Yes$100 @ 2.2¢
- Yes$4 @ 3.0¢
- Yes$428 @ 1.4¢
- Yes$16 @ 8.0¢
- Yes$76 @ 15.1¢
- Yes$77 @ 3.5¢
- Yes$278 @ 2.7¢
- Yes$531 @ 3.7¢
- Yes$3 @ 3.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$342 @ 0.7¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jay Z release an album in 2026? | Culture | No | $169 | 49.3¢ |
| Will Matthew Stafford win the 2026 NFL MVP? | Sports | Yes | $43 | 6.1¢ |
| Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Milwaukee Bucks in 2026-27? | Sports | Yes | $15 | 10.0¢ |
| Will Lamar Jackson win the 2026 NFL MVP? | Sports | Yes | $10 | 5.0¢ |
| Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | Sports | Yes | $4 | 1.0¢ |
| Will Caleb Wilson be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft? | Sports | Yes | $4 | 16.0¢ |
| Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27? | Sports | Yes | $2 | 0.3¢ |
| Will Drake Maye win the 2026 NFL MVP? | Sports | Yes | $2 | 4.0¢ |
- No$169 @ 49.3¢
- Yes$43 @ 6.1¢
- Yes$15 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 5.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 16.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$2 @ 4.0¢