← Smart money
0xa67f…e165
ProfitableEdge
+13.7pp
ROI
+25%
Win rate
56% @ 42.6¢
Brier
0.213
Resolved
71
Avg size
$8
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 45% (9/20) | +12% | 20 |
| Sports | 53% (9/17) | +2% | 17 |
| Politics | 53% (8/15) | +51% | 15 |
- Other20 bets
- Hit rate
- 45% (9/20)
- ROI
- +12%
- Sports17 bets
- Hit rate
- 53% (9/17)
- ROI
- +2%
- Politics15 bets
- Hit rate
- 53% (8/15)
- ROI
- +51%
Track record
50% hit · 26/52- Yes$3 @ 3.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 21.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 30.7¢
- Yes$1 @ 6.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 2.2¢
- Yes$48 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 64.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 22.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 9.4¢
- Yes$3 @ 3.7¢
- France$5 @ 52.4¢
- Yes$17 @ 6.4¢
- Yes$10 @ 74.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 67.0¢
- No$25 @ 79.5¢
- Portugal$9 @ 39.0¢
- Yes$74 @ 85.2¢
- Yes$8 @ 11.8¢
- Yes$15 @ 17.9¢
- Yes$1 @ 15.0¢
- Yes$11 @ 68.0¢
- Yes$21 @ 69.0¢
- Argentina$14 @ 33.9¢
- Belgium$2 @ 26.5¢
- Argentina$12 @ 23.4¢
- No$15 @ 76.0¢
- United States$8 @ 54.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 36.0¢
- Japan$11 @ 27.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 89.1¢
- Yes$2 @ 57.5¢
- Yes$3 @ 77.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 77.0¢
- Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?WonYes$27 @ 29.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 90.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 87.0¢
- Norway$9 @ 33.0¢
- Yes$22 @ 21.6¢
- Yes$10 @ 20.0¢
- Austria$3 @ 12.2¢
- Yes$6 @ 81.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 14.8¢
- Yes$10 @ 59.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$15 @ 46.0¢
- Yes$28 @ 15.4¢
- Over$10 @ 52.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 68.0¢
- No$41 @ 40.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Politics | No | $36 | 74.7¢ |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Politics | Yes | $32 | 37.9¢ |
| Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Politics | Yes | $15 | 21.0¢ |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Politics | Yes | $10 | 15.5¢ |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Politics | Yes | $5 | 11.0¢ |
| Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $3 | 63.0¢ |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Politics | Yes | $3 | 13.0¢ |
- No$36 @ 74.7¢
- Yes$32 @ 37.9¢
- Yes$15 @ 21.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 15.5¢
- Yes$5 @ 11.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 63.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 13.0¢