← Smart money
0xa61b…9d74
SharpEdge
+5.5pp
ROI
+24%
Win rate
41% @ 35.8¢
Brier
0.149
Resolved
2677
Avg size
$32
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 39% (49/126) | +5% | 126 |
| Crypto | 46% (18/39) | +19% | 39 |
| Politics | 44% (14/32) | +29% | 32 |
| Sports | 46% (6/13) | +168% | 13 |
| Tech | 25% (1/4) | -13% | 4 |
| Economy | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
- Other126 bets
- Hit rate
- 39% (49/126)
- ROI
- +5%
- Crypto39 bets
- Hit rate
- 46% (18/39)
- ROI
- +19%
- Politics32 bets
- Hit rate
- 44% (14/32)
- ROI
- +29%
- Sports13 bets
- Hit rate
- 46% (6/13)
- ROI
- +168%
- Tech4 bets
- Hit rate
- 25% (1/4)
- ROI
- -13%
- Economy2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
41% hit · 88/216- Yes$20 @ 2.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 52.0¢
- No$25 @ 82.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 20.0¢
- No$64 @ 61.1¢
- Yes$55 @ 24.9¢
- No$34 @ 8.6¢
- No$26 @ 11.0¢
- No$2 @ 2.4¢
- Yes$33 @ 68.9¢
- Yes$30 @ 76.0¢
- No$2.4k @ 62.7¢
- Yes$2.2k @ 39.2¢
- No$10 @ 25.0¢
- Yes$162 @ 73.4¢
- No$17 @ 34.2¢
- Yes$28 @ 62.4¢
- No$59 @ 73.0¢
- No$13 @ 4.8¢
- No$627 @ 77.9¢
- Yes$2 @ 1.0¢
- Lakers$3 @ 33.0¢
- Alex Pereira$12 @ 59.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
- No$13.5k @ 82.9¢
- Yes$260 @ 24.0¢
- Yes$44 @ 11.0¢
- No$26 @ 0.1¢
- No$277 @ 34.1¢
- Yes$47 @ 19.9¢
- Yes$10 @ 48.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$7 @ 3.6¢
- No$145 @ 37.9¢
- Yes$33 @ 55.1¢
- Yes$25 @ 81.0¢
- No$82 @ 33.0¢
- Yes$122 @ 49.0¢
- Yes$61 @ 3.1¢
- Yes$41 @ 81.0¢
- No$42 @ 84.0¢
- Yes$52 @ 16.1¢
- Yes$8 @ 77.0¢
- No$161 @ 36.0¢
- No$99 @ 23.4¢
- Yes$2 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.6¢
- No$3 @ 84.0¢
- Yes$321 @ 34.2¢
- Yes$14 @ 66.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Crypto | No | $249 | 62.5¢ |
| Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Politics | Yes | $82 | 1.1¢ |
| Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $100M one day after launch? | Crypto | No | $62 | 21.1¢ |
| Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Crypto | No | $58 | 7.9¢ |
| Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $150M one day after launch? | Crypto | No | $52 | 37.0¢ |
| Will Yolanda Díaz be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Politics | Yes | $29 | 0.1¢ |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Politics | No | $22 | 45.0¢ |
| Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $75M one day after launch? | Crypto | No | $8 | 5.7¢ |
| Will Carlos Cuerpo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Politics | Yes | $6 | 0.1¢ |
| Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Crypto | No | $2 | 2.4¢ |
| Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $60M one day after launch? | Crypto | No | $1 | 4.2¢ |
| Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Politics | No | $1 | 18.0¢ |
| Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.1¢ |
- No$249 @ 62.5¢
- Yes$82 @ 1.1¢
- No$62 @ 21.1¢
- No$58 @ 7.9¢
- No$52 @ 37.0¢
- Yes$29 @ 0.1¢
- No$22 @ 45.0¢
- No$8 @ 5.7¢
- Yes$6 @ 0.1¢
- No$2 @ 2.4¢
- No$1 @ 4.2¢
- No$1 @ 18.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.1¢