← Smart money
0xa5bc…cd69
SharpEdge
+22.9pp
ROI
+29%
Win rate
89% @ 65.6¢
Brier
0.143
Resolved
87
Avg size
$28
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 83% (24/29) | +28% | 29 |
| Politics | 75% (12/16) | +10% | 16 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (2/2) | +10% | 2 |
| Crypto | 100% (1/1) | +1% | 1 |
- Other29 bets
- Hit rate
- 83% (24/29)
- ROI
- +28%
- Politics16 bets
- Hit rate
- 75% (12/16)
- ROI
- +10%
- Geopolitics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +10%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +1%
Track record
81% hit · 39/48- No$51 @ 84.9¢
- No$55 @ 74.0¢
- No$54 @ 62.0¢
- No$55 @ 75.0¢
- Yes$55 @ 14.1¢
- No$55 @ 78.0¢
- No$6 @ 73.0¢
- No$55 @ 71.0¢
- No$55 @ 71.6¢
- No$55 @ 83.0¢
- No$55 @ 87.0¢
- Yes$55 @ 56.7¢
- Yes$8 @ 83.0¢
- Yes$75 @ 39.7¢
- Yes$55 @ 49.0¢
- No$55 @ 80.0¢
- No$47 @ 60.8¢
- No$55 @ 51.0¢
- No$24 @ 79.3¢
- No$55 @ 69.9¢
- Yes$55 @ 64.0¢
- No$55 @ 69.0¢
- No$55 @ 78.0¢
- No$6 @ 83.0¢
- No$53 @ 63.2¢
- No$55 @ 44.0¢
- Yes$55 @ 38.0¢
- No$46 @ 46.2¢
- No$8 @ 88.0¢
- No$55 @ 75.2¢
- Yes$48 @ 16.4¢
- Yes$153 @ 75.3¢
- No$47 @ 80.0¢
- No$55 @ 69.0¢
- No$55 @ 67.0¢
- No$55 @ 70.0¢
- Yes$16 @ 38.1¢
- No$5 @ 79.0¢
- No$34 @ 64.0¢
- Yes$34 @ 40.0¢
- No$55 @ 82.0¢
- Yes$16 @ 21.9¢
- Yes$7 @ 99.9¢
- No$55 @ 92.9¢
- No$54 @ 99.9¢
- No$55 @ 98.9¢
- Yes$110 @ 96.0¢
- No$7 @ 95.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $59 | 64.0¢ |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Politics | No | $55 | 40.0¢ |
| Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07? | Politics | Yes | $55 | 38.8¢ |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Politics | No | $55 | 96.7¢ |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $55 | 41.0¢ |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Politics | No | $55 | 39.0¢ |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Politics | Yes | $55 | 38.8¢ |
| Will another outcome occur in the CO-01 Democratic primary? | — | No | $37 | 99.7¢ |
| Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | Politics | No | $7 | 99.8¢ |
| Will Bev Craig win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election? | — | Yes | $7 | 96.0¢ |
- Yes$59 @ 64.0¢
- No$55 @ 40.0¢
- Yes$55 @ 38.8¢
- No$55 @ 96.7¢
- Yes$55 @ 41.0¢
- No$55 @ 39.0¢
- Yes$55 @ 38.8¢
- No$37 @ 99.7¢
- No$7 @ 99.8¢
- Yes$7 @ 96.0¢