0xa597…c90d

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xa597ecc30d4bfdd4d45116fbd0fcb21d4c30c90d
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+9.0pp

ROI

+55%

Win rate

37% @ 28.1¢

Brier

0.181

Resolved

283

Avg size

$50

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	35% (29/84)	+56%	84
Sports	29% (2/7)	+95%	7
Politics	20% (1/5)	-26%	5
Geopolitics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Crypto	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other84 bets
Hit rate
35% (29/84)
ROI
+56%
Sports7 bets
Hit rate
29% (2/7)
ROI
+95%
Politics5 bets
Hit rate
20% (1/5)
ROI
-26%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

33% hit · 32/98

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?	Yes	$1	2.9¢	Lost
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Real Madrid (To Advance)	PSG	$500	59.0¢	Won
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?	Yes	$20	39.0¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?	Yes	$10	1.0¢	Lost
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$103	35.1¢	Lost
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	$10	8.5¢	Lost
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?	Yes	$100	49.0¢	Lost
Israel strikes Iran before July?	Yes	$1	8.0¢	Lost
Arsenal FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5	Over	$30	30.0¢	Won
Arsenal FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$24	24.0¢	Lost
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	Yes	$110	36.7¢	Lost
Israel strike on Iran on June 30?	Yes	$4	2.9¢	Lost
Israel strike on Iran on June 29?	Yes	$11	2.8¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July?	No	$120	44.2¢	Won
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	$2	23.3¢	Lost
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?	Yes	$10	58.0¢	Lost
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	$154	77.0¢	Won
Will the US strike Iran next?	Yes	$287	8.8¢	Lost
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	$66	53.5¢	Lost
Israel military action against Iran in July?	Yes	$21	30.8¢	Lost
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 27?	Yes	$10	5.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Croatia 1 - 3 Spain?	Yes	$1	10.0¢	Lost
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$489	54.3¢	Lost
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?	Yes	$200	6.8¢	Won
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?	Yes	$60	30.0¢	Lost
Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?	Yes	$452	34.9¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in July?	No	$10	14.0¢	Lost
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	$80	8.0¢	Won
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	$50	25.0¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?	Yes	$55	5.5¢	Lost
US military action against Iran by Sunday?	Yes	$1	10.0¢	Won
Will no qualifying US-Iran meeting occur by February 13, 2026?	No	$750	50.0¢	Won
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-29?	Yes	$5	52.0¢	Won
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	$741	52.9¢	Won
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on February 14?	Yes	$15	1.5¢	Lost
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor	Demoor	$2	13.9¢	Won
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$23	2.3¢	Lost
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?	Yes	$10	42.0¢	Lost
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 25, 2026?	No	$90	60.0¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?	No	$100	59.0¢	Won
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $175-$180 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 5 – Jan 9?	Yes	$1	0.9¢	Lost
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	No	$8	8.0¢	Won
FIFA Club World Cup: Will Messi score another goal?	Yes	$20	34.0¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?	Yes	$14	1.6¢	Lost
US military action against Iran before July?	Yes	$21	63.9¢	Won
US downs another Iranian drone by February 28?	Yes	$150	30.0¢	Won
Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	$158	34.8¢	Won
US strikes Iraq by March 31	No	$12	30.0¢	Lost
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?	Yes	$1	8.4¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?	Yes	$30	3.0¢	Lost

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.9¢
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Real Madrid (To Advance)Won
PSG$500 @ 59.0¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?Lost
Yes$20 @ 39.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Lost
Yes$10 @ 1.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$103 @ 35.1¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?Lost
Yes$10 @ 8.5¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Lost
Yes$100 @ 49.0¢
Israel strikes Iran before July?Lost
Yes$1 @ 8.0¢
Arsenal FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5Won
Over$30 @ 30.0¢
Arsenal FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to ScoreLost
Yes$24 @ 24.0¢
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Lost
Yes$110 @ 36.7¢
Israel strike on Iran on June 30?Lost
Yes$4 @ 2.9¢
Israel strike on Iran on June 29?Lost
Yes$11 @ 2.8¢
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July?Won
No$120 @ 44.2¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Lost
Yes$2 @ 23.3¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Lost
Yes$10 @ 58.0¢
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?Won
No$154 @ 77.0¢
Will the US strike Iran next?Lost
Yes$287 @ 8.8¢
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?Lost
Yes$66 @ 53.5¢
Israel military action against Iran in July?Lost
Yes$21 @ 30.8¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 27? Lost
Yes$10 @ 5.0¢
Exact Score: Croatia 1 - 3 Spain?Lost
Yes$1 @ 10.0¢
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$489 @ 54.3¢
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?Won
Yes$200 @ 6.8¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?Lost
Yes$60 @ 30.0¢
Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?Won
Yes$452 @ 34.9¢
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in July?Lost
No$10 @ 14.0¢
Will Trump visit China by April 30?Won
No$80 @ 8.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Lost
Yes$50 @ 25.0¢
US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?Lost
Yes$55 @ 5.5¢
US military action against Iran by Sunday?Won
Yes$1 @ 10.0¢
Will no qualifying US-Iran meeting occur by February 13, 2026?Won
No$750 @ 50.0¢
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-29?Won
Yes$5 @ 52.0¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Won
Yes$741 @ 52.9¢
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on February 14?Lost
Yes$15 @ 1.5¢
Andrew Tate vs. Chase DemoorWon
Demoor$2 @ 13.9¢
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$23 @ 2.3¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?Lost
Yes$10 @ 42.0¢
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 25, 2026?Lost
No$90 @ 60.0¢
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Won
No$100 @ 59.0¢
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $175-$180 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 5 – Jan 9?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.9¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?Won
No$8 @ 8.0¢
FIFA Club World Cup: Will Messi score another goal?Lost
Yes$20 @ 34.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?Lost
Yes$14 @ 1.6¢
US military action against Iran before July?Won
Yes$21 @ 63.9¢
US downs another Iranian drone by February 28?Won
Yes$150 @ 30.0¢
Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?Won
Yes$158 @ 34.8¢
US strikes Iraq by March 31Lost
No$12 @ 30.0¢
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?Lost
Yes$1 @ 8.4¢
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?Lost
Yes$30 @ 3.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Iran Nuke before 2027?	Politics	No	$6.3k	90.4¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	Yes	$2.2k	27.1¢
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	No	$1.7k	85.4¢
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	No	$1.1k	46.6¢
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Politics	Yes	$963	27.8¢
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?	Geopolitics	Yes	$80	40.0¢
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$61	6.0¢

Iran Nuke before 2027?Politics
No$6.3k @ 90.4¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
Yes$2.2k @ 27.1¢
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
No$1.7k @ 85.4¢
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
No$1.1k @ 46.6¢
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics
Yes$963 @ 27.8¢
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?Geopolitics
Yes$80 @ 40.0¢
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?Politics
Yes$61 @ 6.0¢