← Smart money
0xa588…cf6b
SharpEdge
-12.8pp
ROI
+25%
Win rate
13% @ 25.9¢
Brier
0.118
Resolved
175
Avg size
$88
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 42% (5/12) | +25% | 12 |
| Politics | 40% (2/5) | -39% | 5 |
| Science | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
- Other12 bets
- Hit rate
- 42% (5/12)
- ROI
- +25%
- Politics5 bets
- Hit rate
- 40% (2/5)
- ROI
- -39%
- Science2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
37% hit · 7/19- Yes$6 @ 23.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 42.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 66.3¢
- Yes$3 @ 19.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 62.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 31.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 18.4¢
- No$3.0k @ 36.6¢
- Demoor$497 @ 14.4¢
- Yes$3.2k @ 15.9¢
- No$26 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$510 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$721 @ 5.9¢
- No$1.9k @ 35.0¢
- Yes$1.7k @ 19.6¢
- Yes$100 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$402 @ 27.7¢
- No$215 @ 53.8¢
- Yes$3.1k @ 51.6¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? | — | Yes | $254 | 15.9¢ |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? | Tech | Yes | $100 | 22.2¢ |
| Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner? | — | Yes | $100 | 10.0¢ |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on November 2? | Science | Yes | $6 | 18.4¢ |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on November 2? | Science | Yes | $2 | 31.0¢ |
| Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $0 | 23.0¢ |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $0 | 19.0¢ |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $0 | 28.0¢ |
- Yes$254 @ 15.9¢
- Yes$100 @ 22.2¢
- Yes$100 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 18.4¢
- Yes$2 @ 31.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 23.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 19.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 28.0¢