0xa560…9ccf

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xa560d87d7ed7d8ad07c6988ae6c3fbfd10d39ccf
Creator: WhaleGraph

Sharp

Edge

+7.8pp

ROI

+12%

Win rate

59% @ 51.4¢

Brier

0.145

Resolved

221

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	46% (36/78)	+13%	78
Politics	86% (19/22)	+14%	22
Sports	25% (1/4)	-67%	4
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+14%	1
Crypto	100% (1/1)	+20%	1

Other78 bets
Hit rate
46% (36/78)
ROI
+13%
Politics22 bets
Hit rate
86% (19/22)
ROI
+14%
Sports4 bets
Hit rate
25% (1/4)
ROI
-67%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+14%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+20%

Track record

55% hit · 58/106

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Oilers vs. Ducks	Oilers	$6	58.5¢	Lost
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	No	$4	39.0¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026?	Yes	$4	87.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on April 21?	Yes	$3	29.0¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 7, 2026?	Yes	$9	88.0¢	Won
Kings vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	$4	71.0¢	Won
Hurricanes vs. Senators	Hurricanes	$5	52.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on April 22?	Yes	$3	34.0¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 2, 2026?	Yes	$9	86.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on April 21?	Yes	$4	38.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$7	69.0¢	Won
Avalanche vs. Kings	Avalanche	$6	61.0¢	Won
Golden Knights vs. Utah	Utah	$5	49.0¢	Lost
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	$7	45.0¢	Lost
Avalanche vs. Wild	Avalanche	$6	56.0¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	No	$13	65.0¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$8	3.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$1	8.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 13?	Yes	$7	70.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on April 16?	Yes	$2	29.6¢	Lost
Penguins vs. Flyers	Flyers	$5	53.0¢	Won
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?	No	$1	85.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on April 23?	Yes	$6	61.0¢	Won
Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	$5	54.0¢	Won
Stars vs. Wild	Stars	$1	11.0¢	Lost
Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	$10	49.0¢	Won
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?	Yes	$3	26.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on April 23?	Yes	$3	30.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on April 16?	Yes	$4	36.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on April 16?	Yes	$2	22.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on April 15?	Yes	$5	34.7¢	Lost
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	$7	51.2¢	Won
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	$6	11.7¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 10, 2026?	Yes	$9	87.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 12, 2026?	Yes	$9	89.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on April 20?	Yes	$3	33.0¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 1, 2026?	No	$1	10.0¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 1, 2026?	Yes	$9	89.0¢	Won
Ducks vs. Oilers	Oilers	$6	63.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on April 20?	Yes	$2	23.0¢	Lost
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	No	$1	0.5¢	Lost
Lightning vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	$5	50.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on April 21?	Yes	$17	40.5¢	Won
Ducks vs. Oilers	Ducks	$1	5.0¢	Lost
Sabres vs. Bruins	Sabres	$5	52.0¢	Won
Canadiens vs. Lightning	Lightning	$3	63.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on April 17?	Yes	$3	32.2¢	Lost
Penguins vs. Flyers	Flyers	$5	51.5¢	Won
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Canadiens	$7	38.1¢	Lost
Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	$6	62.0¢	Won

Oilers vs. DucksLost
Oilers$6 @ 58.5¢
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?Lost
No$4 @ 39.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026?Won
Yes$4 @ 87.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on April 21?Lost
Yes$3 @ 29.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 7, 2026?Won
Yes$9 @ 88.0¢
Kings vs. AvalancheWon
Avalanche$4 @ 71.0¢
Hurricanes vs. SenatorsWon
Hurricanes$5 @ 52.0¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on April 22?Lost
Yes$3 @ 34.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 2, 2026?Won
Yes$9 @ 86.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on April 21?Won
Yes$4 @ 38.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$7 @ 69.0¢
Avalanche vs. KingsWon
Avalanche$6 @ 61.0¢
Golden Knights vs. UtahLost
Utah$5 @ 49.0¢
Hurricanes vs. CanadiensLost
Canadiens$7 @ 45.0¢
Avalanche vs. WildWon
Avalanche$6 @ 56.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Won
No$13 @ 65.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Lost
Yes$8 @ 3.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 8.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 13?Won
Yes$7 @ 70.0¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on April 16?Lost
Yes$2 @ 29.6¢
Penguins vs. FlyersWon
Flyers$5 @ 53.0¢
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?Won
No$1 @ 85.9¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on April 23?Won
Yes$6 @ 61.0¢
Sabres vs. CanadiensWon
Canadiens$5 @ 54.0¢
Stars vs. WildLost
Stars$1 @ 11.0¢
Canadiens vs. SabresWon
Canadiens$10 @ 49.0¢
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?Lost
Yes$3 @ 26.0¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on April 23?Lost
Yes$3 @ 30.0¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on April 16?Won
Yes$4 @ 36.9¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on April 16?Lost
Yes$2 @ 22.0¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on April 15?Lost
Yes$5 @ 34.7¢
Avalanche vs. Golden KnightsWon
Golden Knights$7 @ 51.2¢
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Lost
Yes$6 @ 11.7¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 10, 2026?Won
Yes$9 @ 87.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 12, 2026?Won
Yes$9 @ 89.0¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on April 20?Lost
Yes$3 @ 33.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 1, 2026?Lost
No$1 @ 10.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 1, 2026?Won
Yes$9 @ 89.0¢
Ducks vs. OilersLost
Oilers$6 @ 63.5¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on April 20?Lost
Yes$2 @ 23.0¢
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?Lost
No$1 @ 0.5¢
Lightning vs. CanadiensLost
Canadiens$5 @ 50.0¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on April 21?Won
Yes$17 @ 40.5¢
Ducks vs. OilersLost
Ducks$1 @ 5.0¢
Sabres vs. BruinsWon
Sabres$5 @ 52.0¢
Canadiens vs. LightningWon
Lightning$3 @ 63.0¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on April 17?Lost
Yes$3 @ 32.2¢
Penguins vs. FlyersWon
Flyers$5 @ 51.5¢
Canadiens vs. HurricanesLost
Canadiens$7 @ 38.1¢
Ducks vs. Golden KnightsWon
Golden Knights$6 @ 62.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 19, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$28	92.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 18, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$23	90.6¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$18	91.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 20, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$18	91.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Geopolitics	No	$16	81.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 29, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$14	91.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?	Politics	No	$11	56.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 25, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$10	90.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 24, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$9	92.0¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$7	17.2¢
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$6	16.1¢
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$6	23.1¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Politics	Yes	$5	53.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 22, 2026?	Politics	No	$5	50.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 22, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$5	50.0¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$4	11.2¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Politics	Yes	$4	36.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$4	8.9¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$3	8.6¢
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$3	6.8¢
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$2	5.2¢
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$1	3.3¢
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$1	2.0¢
Will Rebecca Bligh win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Politics	Yes	$1	2.6¢
Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Politics	Yes	$1	2.6¢
Will Amanda Burrows win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Politics	Yes	$1	2.6¢
Will Tim Louis win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Politics	Yes	$1	2.6¢
Will Fred Harding win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Politics	Yes	$1	2.6¢
Will Sean Orr win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Politics	Yes	$1	2.6¢
Will William Azaroff win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Politics	Yes	$1	2.6¢

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 19, 2026?Politics
Yes$28 @ 92.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 18, 2026?Politics
Yes$23 @ 90.6¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?Politics
Yes$18 @ 91.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 20, 2026?Politics
Yes$18 @ 91.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Geopolitics
No$16 @ 81.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 29, 2026?Politics
Yes$14 @ 91.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Politics
No$11 @ 56.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 25, 2026?Politics
Yes$10 @ 90.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 24, 2026?Politics
Yes$9 @ 92.0¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$7 @ 17.2¢
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$6 @ 16.1¢
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$6 @ 23.1¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics
Yes$5 @ 53.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 22, 2026?Politics
No$5 @ 50.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 22, 2026?Politics
Yes$5 @ 50.0¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$4 @ 11.2¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePolitics
Yes$4 @ 36.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$4 @ 8.9¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$3 @ 8.6¢
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$3 @ 6.8¢
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$2 @ 5.2¢
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$1 @ 3.3¢
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$1 @ 2.0¢
Will Rebecca Bligh win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?Politics
Yes$1 @ 2.6¢
Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?Politics
Yes$1 @ 2.6¢
Will Amanda Burrows win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?Politics
Yes$1 @ 2.6¢
Will Tim Louis win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?Politics
Yes$1 @ 2.6¢
Will Fred Harding win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?Politics
Yes$1 @ 2.6¢
Will Sean Orr win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?Politics
Yes$1 @ 2.6¢
Will William Azaroff win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?Politics
Yes$1 @ 2.6¢