← Smart money
0xa53e…218d
ProfitableEdge
+42.3pp
ROI
+83%
Win rate
65% @ 22.9¢
Brier
0.498
Resolved
410
Avg size
$1.1k
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 33% (5/15) | +91% | 15 |
| Politics | 0% (0/4) | -100% | 4 |
| Sports | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other15 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (5/15)
- ROI
- +91%
- Politics4 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/4)
- ROI
- -100%
- Sports1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
24% hit · 5/21- Yes$100 @ 33.0¢
- Yes$15.1k @ 6.6¢
- Yes$1000 @ 45.0¢
- Yes$466 @ 42.6¢
- Yes$9.3k @ 66.3¢
- Yes$320 @ 1.8¢
- No$282 @ 28.2¢
- No$20.1k @ 20.7¢
- Yes$15.8k @ 5.8¢
- Yes$29.0k @ 53.9¢
- Yes$5.8k @ 5.2¢
- Yes$160.9k @ 37.3¢
- Yes$1000 @ 38.7¢
- Yes$1000 @ 28.7¢
- Yes$7.3k @ 60.6¢
- Yes$100 @ 57.2¢
- Yes$15.4k @ 51.9¢
- Khamzat Chimaev$82.9k @ 82.0¢
- No$33.4k @ 37.5¢
- Yes$42.6k @ 17.9¢
- Yes$1.7k @ 60.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | Geopolitics | No | $65.1k | 95.0¢ |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $21.8k | 18.0¢ |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | Politics | No | $17.9k | 94.4¢ |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $2.1k | 24.4¢ |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $813 | 12.8¢ |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Politics | No | $227 | 84.0¢ |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | Politics | Yes | $41 | 7.0¢ |
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?GeopoliticsNo$65.1k @ 95.0¢
- Yes$21.8k @ 18.0¢
- No$17.9k @ 94.4¢
- Yes$2.1k @ 24.4¢
- Yes$813 @ 12.8¢
- No$227 @ 84.0¢
- Yes$41 @ 7.0¢