0xa53b…4021

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xa53ba9d683f68602ccd767512d5c862a43824021
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+5.5pp

ROI

+23%

Win rate

41% @ 35.5¢

Brier

0.188

Resolved

2941

Avg size

$29

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	43% (195/452)	+8%	452
Economy	51% (39/76)	+74%	76
Crypto	35% (25/71)	+91%	71
Business	0% (0/4)	-100%	4
Politics	50% (1/2)	+14%	2
Geopolitics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other452 bets
Hit rate
43% (195/452)
ROI
+8%
Economy76 bets
Hit rate
51% (39/76)
ROI
+74%
Crypto71 bets
Hit rate
35% (25/71)
ROI
+91%
Business4 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/4)
ROI
-100%
Politics2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+14%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

43% hit · 260/606

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027?	No	$67	47.0¢	Lost
Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027?	Yes	$42	53.0¢	Won
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% before 2027?	Yes	$39	72.0¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?	No	$12	16.0¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?	Yes	$84	84.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 15?	Yes	$40	13.5¢	Lost
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 Week of April 13 2026?	Yes	$26	24.0¢	Lost
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on September 16?	Yes	$44	4.4¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 18?	Yes	$55	3.4¢	Lost
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,450 Week of April 27 2026?	Yes	$5	3.5¢	Lost
Will Solana reach $90 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$97	57.8¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 23?	No	$152	38.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?	Yes	$20	2.1¢	Lost
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?	Yes	$383	21.4¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 20?	No	$307	42.8¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 20?	Yes	$11	2.4¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 17?	No	$93	31.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 12?	No	$34	35.7¢	Won
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February?	No	$1	10.4¢	Lost
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February?	Yes	$264	66.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 1?	No	$517	47.0¢	Lost
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $74 Week of April 20 2026?	Yes	$96	47.9¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 6?	No	$26	46.0¢	Won
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	$195	76.4¢	Won
0x0a704557…	Yes	$163	59.4¢	Won
Bitcoin above 74,600 on April 14, 9PM ET?	No	$0	10.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of June 8 2026?	Yes	$32	15.0¢	Lost
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $81 on June 15?	Yes	$26	25.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 26?	No	$248	31.0¢	Lost
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	Yes	$233	40.5¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 9?	No	$598	31.2¢	Won
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.20% in October?	Yes	$1	39.0¢	Lost
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?	Yes	$1.8k	30.8¢	Lost
Bitcoin above 74,400 on April 13, 7PM ET?	Yes	$58	24.0¢	Won
Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (LOW) 101.50 in October?	Yes	$154	83.0¢	Won
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?	No	$75	13.4¢	Lost
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?	Yes	$99	21.8¢	Won
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $85 on April 20?	No	$15	12.6¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?	No	$13	14.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 9?	No	$442	55.2¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 24?	No	$225	45.0¢	Won
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.55% in October?	Yes	$168	78.0¢	Won
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,125-$5,250 in March?	No	$42	60.0¢	Won
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,125-$5,250 in March?	Yes	$12	6.9¢	Lost
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $435-$440 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?	Yes	$20	10.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on February 1?	No	$16	10.9¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?	No	$33	15.8¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?	Yes	$704	49.4¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 3?	No	$168	42.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 16?	Yes	$71	20.1¢	Lost

Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027?Lost
No$67 @ 47.0¢
Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027?Won
Yes$42 @ 53.0¢
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% before 2027?Won
Yes$39 @ 72.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?Lost
No$12 @ 16.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?Won
Yes$84 @ 84.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 15?Lost
Yes$40 @ 13.5¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 Week of April 13 2026?Lost
Yes$26 @ 24.0¢
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on September 16?Lost
Yes$44 @ 4.4¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 18?Lost
Yes$55 @ 3.4¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,450 Week of April 27 2026?Lost
Yes$5 @ 3.5¢
Will Solana reach $90 by December 31, 2026?Won
Yes$97 @ 57.8¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 23?Lost
No$152 @ 38.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?Lost
Yes$20 @ 2.1¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?Won
Yes$383 @ 21.4¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 20?Won
No$307 @ 42.8¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 20?Lost
Yes$11 @ 2.4¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 17?Lost
No$93 @ 31.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 12?Won
No$34 @ 35.7¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February?Lost
No$1 @ 10.4¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February?Won
Yes$264 @ 66.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 1?Lost
No$517 @ 47.0¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $74 Week of April 20 2026?Won
Yes$96 @ 47.9¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 6?Won
No$26 @ 46.0¢
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
No$195 @ 76.4¢
0x0a704557…Won
Yes$163 @ 59.4¢
Bitcoin above 74,600 on April 14, 9PM ET?Won
No$0 @ 10.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of June 8 2026?Lost
Yes$32 @ 15.0¢
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $81 on June 15?Won
Yes$26 @ 25.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 26?Lost
No$248 @ 31.0¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?Won
Yes$233 @ 40.5¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 9?Won
No$598 @ 31.2¢
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.20% in October?Lost
Yes$1 @ 39.0¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?Lost
Yes$1.8k @ 30.8¢
Bitcoin above 74,400 on April 13, 7PM ET?Won
Yes$58 @ 24.0¢
Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (LOW) 101.50 in October?Won
Yes$154 @ 83.0¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?Lost
No$75 @ 13.4¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?Won
Yes$99 @ 21.8¢
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $85 on April 20?Lost
No$15 @ 12.6¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Lost
No$13 @ 14.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 9?Won
No$442 @ 55.2¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 24?Won
No$225 @ 45.0¢
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.55% in October?Won
Yes$168 @ 78.0¢
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,125-$5,250 in March?Won
No$42 @ 60.0¢
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,125-$5,250 in March?Lost
Yes$12 @ 6.9¢
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $435-$440 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?Lost
Yes$20 @ 10.0¢
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on February 1?Lost
No$16 @ 10.9¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Lost
No$33 @ 15.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?Lost
Yes$704 @ 49.4¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 3?Lost
No$168 @ 42.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 16?Lost
Yes$71 @ 20.1¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $48 in November?	Other	Yes	$364	58.3¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.8% before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$340	68.0¢
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027?	Economy	No	$285	57.2¢
Will Pump.fun dip to $0.0030 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$129	18.3¢
Will Hyperliquid dip to $70 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$125	26.0¢
Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$56	4.9¢
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%?	Economy	No	$40	55.0¢
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?	Economy	No	$32	66.9¢
Will BNB dip to $500 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$25	3.5¢
Will Hyperliquid dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$24	46.0¢
Will Zcash dip to $600 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$23	17.3¢
Will AVAX dip to $7 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$17	80.0¢
Will Ethereum hit $4k by September 30, 2027?	Crypto	Yes	$15	55.9¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.6% before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$11	43.0¢
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.90% before 2027?	Economy	No	$10	50.0¢
Will Cap reach $0.15 before 2027?	Crypto	Yes	$4	17.2¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in November?	Other	Yes	$4	32.0¢
Will Ethereum hit $4k by December 31, 2027?	Crypto	Yes	$3	58.0¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.8% before 2027?	Politics	No	$3	28.0¢
Will BNB dip to $600 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$3	24.0¢
Will Chainlink dip to $10 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$3	53.0¢
Will Solana hit $150 by March 31, 2027?	Crypto	Yes	$2	35.0¢
Will Sui dip to $0.60 before 2027?	Crypto	No	$1	64.7¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.7% before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$1	19.9¢
Will edgeX reach $1.60 before 2027?	Crypto	Yes	$1	7.2¢
Will AVAX dip to $5 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$1	46.0¢
Will Solana hit $300 by December 31, 2027?	Crypto	No	$1	68.4¢
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0070 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$1	60.0¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in November?	Other	Yes	$1	55.0¢
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027?	Economy	Yes	$1	57.8¢

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $48 in November?Other
Yes$364 @ 58.3¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.8% before 2027?Politics
Yes$340 @ 68.0¢
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027?Economy
No$285 @ 57.2¢
Will Pump.fun dip to $0.0030 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$129 @ 18.3¢
Will Hyperliquid dip to $70 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$125 @ 26.0¢
Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$56 @ 4.9¢
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%?Economy
No$40 @ 55.0¢
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?Economy
No$32 @ 66.9¢
Will BNB dip to $500 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$25 @ 3.5¢
Will Hyperliquid dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$24 @ 46.0¢
Will Zcash dip to $600 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$23 @ 17.3¢
Will AVAX dip to $7 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$17 @ 80.0¢
Will Ethereum hit $4k by September 30, 2027?Crypto
Yes$15 @ 55.9¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.6% before 2027?Politics
Yes$11 @ 43.0¢
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.90% before 2027?Economy
No$10 @ 50.0¢
Will Cap reach $0.15 before 2027?Crypto
Yes$4 @ 17.2¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in November?Other
Yes$4 @ 32.0¢
Will Ethereum hit $4k by December 31, 2027?Crypto
Yes$3 @ 58.0¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.8% before 2027?Politics
No$3 @ 28.0¢
Will BNB dip to $600 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$3 @ 24.0¢
Will Chainlink dip to $10 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$3 @ 53.0¢
Will Solana hit $150 by March 31, 2027?Crypto
Yes$2 @ 35.0¢
Will Sui dip to $0.60 before 2027?Crypto
No$1 @ 64.7¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.7% before 2027?Politics
Yes$1 @ 19.9¢
Will edgeX reach $1.60 before 2027?Crypto
Yes$1 @ 7.2¢
Will AVAX dip to $5 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$1 @ 46.0¢
Will Solana hit $300 by December 31, 2027?Crypto
No$1 @ 68.4¢
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0070 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$1 @ 60.0¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in November?Other
Yes$1 @ 55.0¢
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027?Economy
Yes$1 @ 57.8¢