0xa53b…4021

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xa53ba9d683f68602ccd767512d5c862a43824021
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+4.3pp

ROI

+12%

Win rate

42% @ 37.9¢

Brier

0.186

Resolved

2756

Avg size

$29

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	45% (173/388)	+8%	388
Crypto	58% (7/12)	+147%	12
Politics	50% (1/2)	+14%	2
Economy	100% (2/2)	+284%	2
Business	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other388 bets
Hit rate
45% (173/388)
ROI
+8%
Crypto12 bets
Hit rate
58% (7/12)
ROI
+147%
Politics2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+14%
Economy2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+284%
Business1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

45% hit · 183/405

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,250 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	$1	15.0¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?	No	$12	16.0¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?	Yes	$84	84.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 15?	Yes	$40	13.5¢	Lost
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?	No	$224	83.2¢	Lost
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?	Yes	$259	20.6¢	Won
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 Week of April 13 2026?	Yes	$26	24.0¢	Lost
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on September 16?	Yes	$44	4.4¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 18?	Yes	$55	3.4¢	Lost
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,450 Week of April 27 2026?	Yes	$5	3.5¢	Lost
Will Solana reach $90 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$97	57.8¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 23?	No	$152	38.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?	Yes	$20	2.1¢	Lost
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?	Yes	$383	21.4¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 20?	No	$307	42.8¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 17?	No	$93	31.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 12?	No	$34	35.7¢	Won
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February?	No	$1	10.4¢	Lost
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February?	Yes	$264	66.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 1?	No	$517	47.0¢	Lost
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $74 Week of April 20 2026?	Yes	$96	47.9¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 6?	No	$26	46.0¢	Won
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	$195	76.4¢	Won
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $79 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	$163	59.4¢	Won
Bitcoin above 74,600 on April 14, 9PM ET?	No	$0	10.0¢	Won
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of January?	No	$155	49.6¢	Lost
Will Gold close between $4700 and $4800 at the end of 2025?	Yes	$13	0.9¢	Lost
Will Gold close between $4600 and $4700 at the end of 2025?	No	$471	67.3¢	Won
Will Gold close between $4600 and $4700 at the end of 2025?	Yes	$448	15.2¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of June 8 2026?	Yes	$32	15.0¢	Lost
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $81 on June 15?	Yes	$26	25.0¢	Won
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$5,100 in January?	No	$1.4k	38.4¢	Won
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$5,100 in January?	Yes	$567	50.3¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 26?	No	$248	31.0¢	Lost
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	Yes	$233	40.5¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 9?	No	$598	31.2¢	Won
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,850-$4,975 in January?	No	$506	74.0¢	Won
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,850-$4,975 in January?	Yes	$21	13.3¢	Lost
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?	Yes	$1.8k	30.8¢	Lost
Bitcoin above 74,400 on April 13, 7PM ET?	Yes	$58	24.0¢	Won
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?	No	$75	13.4¢	Lost
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?	Yes	$99	21.8¢	Won
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $85 on April 20?	No	$15	12.6¢	Lost
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of February 2 above $80?	No	$20	15.0¢	Lost
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?	No	$134	35.4¢	Won
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?	Yes	$1.9k	30.8¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?	No	$13	14.0¢	Lost
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$4,725 in January?	No	$1.1k	70.9¢	Won
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$4,725 in January?	Yes	$30	5.2¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 9?	No	$442	55.2¢	Won

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,250 Week of September 21 2026?Won
Yes$1 @ 15.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?Lost
No$12 @ 16.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?Won
Yes$84 @ 84.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 15?Lost
Yes$40 @ 13.5¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?Lost
No$224 @ 83.2¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?Won
Yes$259 @ 20.6¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 Week of April 13 2026?Lost
Yes$26 @ 24.0¢
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on September 16?Lost
Yes$44 @ 4.4¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 18?Lost
Yes$55 @ 3.4¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,450 Week of April 27 2026?Lost
Yes$5 @ 3.5¢
Will Solana reach $90 by December 31, 2026?Won
Yes$97 @ 57.8¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 23?Lost
No$152 @ 38.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?Lost
Yes$20 @ 2.1¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?Won
Yes$383 @ 21.4¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 20?Won
No$307 @ 42.8¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 17?Lost
No$93 @ 31.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 12?Won
No$34 @ 35.7¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February?Lost
No$1 @ 10.4¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February?Won
Yes$264 @ 66.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 1?Lost
No$517 @ 47.0¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $74 Week of April 20 2026?Won
Yes$96 @ 47.9¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 6?Won
No$26 @ 46.0¢
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
No$195 @ 76.4¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $79 Week of May 4 2026?Won
Yes$163 @ 59.4¢
Bitcoin above 74,600 on April 14, 9PM ET?Won
No$0 @ 10.0¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of January?Lost
No$155 @ 49.6¢
Will Gold close between $4700 and $4800 at the end of 2025?Lost
Yes$13 @ 0.9¢
Will Gold close between $4600 and $4700 at the end of 2025?Won
No$471 @ 67.3¢
Will Gold close between $4600 and $4700 at the end of 2025?Lost
Yes$448 @ 15.2¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of June 8 2026?Lost
Yes$32 @ 15.0¢
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $81 on June 15?Won
Yes$26 @ 25.0¢
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$5,100 in January?Won
No$1.4k @ 38.4¢
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$5,100 in January?Lost
Yes$567 @ 50.3¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 26?Lost
No$248 @ 31.0¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?Won
Yes$233 @ 40.5¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 9?Won
No$598 @ 31.2¢
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,850-$4,975 in January?Won
No$506 @ 74.0¢
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,850-$4,975 in January?Lost
Yes$21 @ 13.3¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?Lost
Yes$1.8k @ 30.8¢
Bitcoin above 74,400 on April 13, 7PM ET?Won
Yes$58 @ 24.0¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?Lost
No$75 @ 13.4¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?Won
Yes$99 @ 21.8¢
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $85 on April 20?Lost
No$15 @ 12.6¢
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of February 2 above $80?Lost
No$20 @ 15.0¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?Won
No$134 @ 35.4¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?Lost
Yes$1.9k @ 30.8¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Lost
No$13 @ 14.0¢
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$4,725 in January?Won
No$1.1k @ 70.9¢
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$4,725 in January?Lost
Yes$30 @ 5.2¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 9?Won
No$442 @ 55.2¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will BNB dip to $500 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$760	37.7¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 in September?	Other	Yes	$426	37.1¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in September?	Other	Yes	$403	35.3¢
Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$402	24.7¢
Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026?	Other	Yes	$392	51.9¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 in September?	Other	Yes	$313	36.9¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $69 Week of September 21 2026?	Other	Yes	$261	51.8¢
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%?	Economy	No	$230	30.2¢
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.20% before 2027?	Economy	Yes	$229	59.3¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 21 2026?	Other	Yes	$217	34.0¢
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$161	54.2¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in September?	Business	Yes	$132	37.5¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in September?	Other	Yes	$131	38.4¢
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.90% before 2027?	Economy	Yes	$129	18.5¢
Will EUR/USD hit 1.12 (Low) in 2026?	Other	Yes	$128	60.8¢
Will Cap reach $0.10 before 2027?	Crypto	Yes	$124	16.1¢
Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (LOW) 98.50 in September?	Other	Yes	$109	24.3¢
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Geopolitics	Yes	$104	13.0¢
Will the close USD/JPY price at the end of 2026 be between 160 and 170?	Other	Yes	$103	15.1¢
Will XRP hit $2 by March 31, 2027?	Crypto	No	$88	55.1¢
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$88	29.0¢
Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (LOW) 98.00 in September?	Other	Yes	$84	27.6¢
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.40% in September?	Economy	Yes	$83	10.7¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in September?	Business	Yes	$83	27.5¢
Will Zcash dip to $400 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$79	36.8¢
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Geopolitics	Yes	$71	8.8¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 in September?	Other	Yes	$68	20.0¢
Will Pump.fun dip to $0.0010 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$66	8.0¢
Will Ethereum hit $6k by December 31, 2027?	Crypto	Yes	$54	31.1¢
Will the close USD/JPY price at the end of 2026 be between 150 and 160?	Other	No	$45	62.0¢

Will BNB dip to $500 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$760 @ 37.7¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 in September?Other
Yes$426 @ 37.1¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in September?Other
Yes$403 @ 35.3¢
Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$402 @ 24.7¢
Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026?Other
Yes$392 @ 51.9¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 in September?Other
Yes$313 @ 36.9¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $69 Week of September 21 2026?Other
Yes$261 @ 51.8¢
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%?Economy
No$230 @ 30.2¢
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.20% before 2027?Economy
Yes$229 @ 59.3¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 21 2026?Other
Yes$217 @ 34.0¢
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$161 @ 54.2¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in September?Business
Yes$132 @ 37.5¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in September?Other
Yes$131 @ 38.4¢
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.90% before 2027?Economy
Yes$129 @ 18.5¢
Will EUR/USD hit 1.12 (Low) in 2026?Other
Yes$128 @ 60.8¢
Will Cap reach $0.10 before 2027?Crypto
Yes$124 @ 16.1¢
Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (LOW) 98.50 in September?Other
Yes$109 @ 24.3¢
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Geopolitics
Yes$104 @ 13.0¢
Will the close USD/JPY price at the end of 2026 be between 160 and 170?Other
Yes$103 @ 15.1¢
Will XRP hit $2 by March 31, 2027?Crypto
No$88 @ 55.1¢
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$88 @ 29.0¢
Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (LOW) 98.00 in September?Other
Yes$84 @ 27.6¢
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.40% in September?Economy
Yes$83 @ 10.7¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in September?Business
Yes$83 @ 27.5¢
Will Zcash dip to $400 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$79 @ 36.8¢
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Geopolitics
Yes$71 @ 8.8¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 in September?Other
Yes$68 @ 20.0¢
Will Pump.fun dip to $0.0010 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$66 @ 8.0¢
Will Ethereum hit $6k by December 31, 2027?Crypto
Yes$54 @ 31.1¢
Will the close USD/JPY price at the end of 2026 be between 150 and 160?Other
No$45 @ 62.0¢