← Smart money
0xa52b…9480
SharpEdge
+12.9pp
ROI
+11%
Win rate
91% @ 78.2¢
Brier
0.053
Resolved
1028
Avg size
$958
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 86% (111/129) | +14% | 129 |
| Sports | 78% (56/72) | +1% | 72 |
| Politics | 68% (13/19) | -11% | 19 |
| Tech | 100% (5/5) | +4% | 5 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (3/3) | +4% | 3 |
| Economy | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other129 bets
- Hit rate
- 86% (111/129)
- ROI
- +14%
- Sports72 bets
- Hit rate
- 78% (56/72)
- ROI
- +1%
- Politics19 bets
- Hit rate
- 68% (13/19)
- ROI
- -11%
- Tech5 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (5/5)
- ROI
- +4%
- Geopolitics3 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (3/3)
- ROI
- +4%
- Economy1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
82% hit · 188/229- Yes$16.6k @ 83.1¢
- Chiefs$3.9k @ 78.0¢
- Toledo$41 @ 98.0¢
- Virginia Tech$4.8k @ 97.2¢
- No$3.5k @ 87.0¢
- Texas State$24.7k @ 99.0¢
- Yes$2.2k @ 82.0¢
- Sri Lanka$14.1k @ 97.3¢
- Lions$35.5k @ 91.0¢
- No$781 @ 87.0¢
- No$85 @ 85.0¢
- No$135 @ 82.6¢
- No$880 @ 88.0¢
- No$34 @ 67.0¢
- No$7 @ 72.0¢
- No$158 @ 78.9¢
- Falcons$7.8k @ 78.0¢
- Yes$198 @ 66.0¢
- Yes$54 @ 54.0¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 81.4¢
- No$4.9k @ 70.7¢
- No$37 @ 69.3¢
- No$1.4k @ 84.2¢
- Texas$8.7k @ 87.0¢
- Yes$105.8k @ 87.1¢
- Yes$830 @ 83.0¢
- No$87 @ 87.0¢
- No$81 @ 81.0¢
- Yes$27 @ 77.0¢
- No$98 @ 77.8¢
- No$291 @ 89.0¢
- No$43 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$41.5k @ 85.3¢
- No$9 @ 87.0¢
- No$29 @ 73.0¢
- No$63 @ 63.0¢
- No$13 @ 76.0¢
- No$88 @ 88.0¢
- No$345 @ 69.0¢
- No$160 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$1.7k @ 71.5¢
- Yes$40 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$20.0k @ 84.3¢
- No$395 @ 88.8¢
- Yes$424 @ 69.0¢
- No$458 @ 68.0¢
- Yes$1.5k @ 78.0¢
- Yes$47.0k @ 84.2¢
- Arizona$8.8k @ 87.0¢
- No$29 @ 72.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Tech | Yes | $2.6k | 65.5¢ |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $566 | 80.8¢ |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Politics | Yes | $554 | 65.6¢ |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Politics | Yes | $487 | 86.7¢ |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Politics | Yes | $244 | 94.0¢ |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $158 | 75.0¢ |
| Will New Zealand A win? | Sports | Yes | $90 | 48.0¢ |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Politics | Yes | $65 | 65.0¢ |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $36 | 71.0¢ |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $7 | 74.0¢ |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $1 | 75.6¢ |
- Yes$2.6k @ 65.5¢
- Yes$566 @ 80.8¢
- Yes$554 @ 65.6¢
- Yes$487 @ 86.7¢
- Yes$244 @ 94.0¢
- Yes$158 @ 75.0¢
- Will New Zealand A win?SportsYes$90 @ 48.0¢
- Yes$65 @ 65.0¢
- Yes$36 @ 71.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 74.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 75.6¢