0xa52b…9480

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xa52b785a5510117ac3ae03d75d029f89a36c9480
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+16.2pp

ROI

+14%

Win rate

96% @ 79.5¢

Brier

0.068

Resolved

Avg size

$431

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	73% (8/11)	+15%	11
Sports	67% (2/3)	-6%	3
Politics	100% (3/3)	+39%	3
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+3%	1

Other11 bets
Hit rate
73% (8/11)
ROI
+15%
Sports3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
-6%
Politics3 bets
Hit rate
100% (3/3)
ROI
+39%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+3%

Track record

78% hit · 14/18

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?	No	$135	82.6¢	Won
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	$1.7k	71.5¢	Won
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	$1.3k	84.9¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	$11.6k	87.0¢	Won
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	$133	73.9¢	Lost
Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?	Yes	$1.2k	88.0¢	Won
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?	Yes	$1.7k	86.2¢	Lost
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	$217	73.6¢	Lost
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	$12.6k	88.0¢	Won
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	$3.0k	87.0¢	Won
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	$7.6k	69.7¢	Won
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	Yes	$198	66.0¢	Won
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	$17	84.0¢	Won
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	$105.8k	87.1¢	Won
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	No	$29	72.0¢	Lost
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?	No	$12.3k	96.5¢	Won
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?	No	$5.0k	97.8¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	$26.4k	97.0¢	Won

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?Won
No$135 @ 82.6¢
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?Won
Yes$1.7k @ 71.5¢
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Won
Yes$1.3k @ 84.9¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Won
No$11.6k @ 87.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Lost
No$133 @ 73.9¢
Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?Won
Yes$1.2k @ 88.0¢
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?Lost
Yes$1.7k @ 86.2¢
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?Lost
Yes$217 @ 73.6¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Won
No$12.6k @ 88.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$3.0k @ 87.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$7.6k @ 69.7¢
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?Won
Yes$198 @ 66.0¢
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?Won
Yes$17 @ 84.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$105.8k @ 87.1¢
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?Lost
No$29 @ 72.0¢
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?Won
No$12.3k @ 96.5¢
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?Won
No$5.0k @ 97.8¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Won
No$26.4k @ 97.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$214.8k	87.9¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$554	65.6¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	Yes	$487	86.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	—	No	$234	90.0¢
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$1	75.6¢

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$214.8k @ 87.9¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics
Yes$554 @ 65.6¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
Yes$487 @ 86.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?—
No$234 @ 90.0¢
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics
Yes$1 @ 75.6¢