0xa4e8…c630

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xa4e87ea652a4b216d3f1bc0c71b8e6a1ee15c630
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+24.0pp

ROI

+76%

Win rate

74% @ 50.5¢

Brier

0.259

Resolved

Avg size

$15

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	75% (9/12)	+76%	12
Politics	100% (1/1)	+45%	1

Other12 bets
Hit rate
75% (9/12)
ROI
+76%
Politics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+45%

Track record

77% hit · 10/13

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	$330	69.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 25?	Yes	$30	25.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 25?	Yes	$121	26.5¢	Won
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,200 on the final trading day of February 2026?	No	$92	39.1¢	Lost
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,200 on the final trading day of February 2026?	Yes	$49	48.0¢	Won
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,000 on the final trading day of February 2026?	No	$13	18.0¢	Lost
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,000 on the final trading day of February 2026?	Yes	$76	57.9¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 25?	Yes	$49	64.9¢	Won
Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,800 on the final trading day of February 2026?	Yes	$10	88.0¢	Won
Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,600 on the final trading day of February 2026?	Yes	$32	86.0¢	Won
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,500 on the final trading day of February 2026?	No	$4	77.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 25?	Yes	$144	48.1¢	Won
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?	No	$82	71.8¢	Won

Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Won
Yes$330 @ 69.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 25?Lost
Yes$30 @ 25.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 25?Won
Yes$121 @ 26.5¢
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,200 on the final trading day of February 2026?Lost
No$92 @ 39.1¢
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,200 on the final trading day of February 2026?Won
Yes$49 @ 48.0¢
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,000 on the final trading day of February 2026?Lost
No$13 @ 18.0¢
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,000 on the final trading day of February 2026?Won
Yes$76 @ 57.9¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 25?Won
Yes$49 @ 64.9¢
Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,800 on the final trading day of February 2026?Won
Yes$10 @ 88.0¢
Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,600 on the final trading day of February 2026?Won
Yes$32 @ 86.0¢
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,500 on the final trading day of February 2026?Won
No$4 @ 77.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 25?Won
Yes$144 @ 48.1¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?Won
No$82 @ 71.8¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$70	19.0¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?	Other	No	$32	96.6¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?	Other	No	$28	98.1¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Other	No	$28	97.8¢
Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,000 by end of December?	Other	No	$28	96.5¢
Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $2,500 by end of December?	Other	No	$26	98.2¢
Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?	Other	No	$21	79.4¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?	Other	No	$21	98.5¢

Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?Politics
Yes$70 @ 19.0¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?Other
No$32 @ 96.6¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?Other
No$28 @ 98.1¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?Other
No$28 @ 97.8¢
Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,000 by end of December?Other
No$28 @ 96.5¢
Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $2,500 by end of December?Other
No$26 @ 98.2¢
Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?Other
No$21 @ 79.4¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?Other
No$21 @ 98.5¢