← Smart money
0xa4b2…1c67
ProfitableEdge
-3.9pp
ROI
+8%
Win rate
52% @ 55.6¢
Brier
0.223
Resolved
1067
Avg size
$63
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 56% (137/245) | +1% | 245 |
| Sports | 67% (143/213) | +11% | 213 |
| Politics | 50% (1/2) | +276% | 2 |
- Other245 bets
- Hit rate
- 56% (137/245)
- ROI
- +1%
- Sports213 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (143/213)
- ROI
- +11%
- Politics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +276%
Track record
61% hit · 281/460- San Francisco Giants$25 @ 25.0¢
- FUT Esports$57 @ 57.0¢
- Warriors$225 @ 67.1¢
- Mattia Bellucci$439 @ 56.4¢
- Michigan Wolverines$75 @ 75.0¢
- Michigan Wolverines$43 @ 50.0¢
- Tampa Bay Rays$270 @ 54.0¢
- Fresno State$34 @ 17.0¢
- Arkansas Razorbacks$20 @ 21.5¢
- Argentina$38 @ 75.0¢
- Yes$289 @ 47.0¢
- Eric McConico$24 @ 24.0¢
- Yes$52 @ 28.3¢
- Boston Red Sox$45 @ 45.0¢
- Yes$61 @ 61.0¢
- Golden Knights$302 @ 88.9¢
- Alex Pereira$14 @ 51.0¢
- Ciryl Gane$83 @ 48.2¢
- Yes$330 @ 82.0¢
- Bianca Andreescu$375 @ 75.0¢
- Patriots$30 @ 75.0¢
- Alex Molcan$148 @ 77.0¢
- Nevada Wolf Pack$5 @ 5.0¢
- Wisconsin Badgers$168 @ 31.4¢
- Wild$51 @ 51.0¢
- Charles Jourdain$67 @ 48.8¢
- Bilibili Gaming$38 @ 76.0¢
- Will Rentz$145 @ 28.0¢
- Yes$125 @ 65.2¢
- Fresno State$272 @ 54.0¢
- Arthur Fery$205 @ 51.0¢
- France$63 @ 62.0¢
- Mia Pohankova$205 @ 52.0¢
- Kentucky Wildcats$10 @ 54.0¢
- Flavio Cobolli$41 @ 74.0¢
- G2$15 @ 86.0¢
- Hawaii$285 @ 57.0¢
- Yes$301 @ 79.9¢
- Netherlands$266 @ 53.2¢
- James Duckworth$405 @ 77.0¢
- Jerome Kym$204 @ 56.0¢
- Jakub Mensik$134 @ 63.8¢
- Weber State$142 @ 78.7¢
- Yes$111 @ 55.5¢
- Alina Korneeva$74 @ 74.0¢
- Brandon Nakashima$359 @ 43.7¢
- Bucks$30 @ 54.0¢
- Penguins$25 @ 49.0¢
- Yes$51 @ 67.0¢
- Wild$73 @ 72.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? | Politics | No | $362 | 11.5¢ |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Politics | No | $200 | 36.0¢ |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Politics | No | $100 | 16.0¢ |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $100 | 30.0¢ |
| Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $23 | 7.0¢ |
- No$362 @ 11.5¢
- No$200 @ 36.0¢
- No$100 @ 16.0¢
- Yes$100 @ 30.0¢
- Yes$23 @ 7.0¢