← Smart money
0xa3df…6f87
SharpEdge
+5.2pp
ROI
+34%
Win rate
12% @ 6.4¢
Brier
0.093
Resolved
1947
Avg size
$73
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 17% (4/23) | +262% | 23 |
| Politics | 10% (1/10) | -51% | 10 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/10) | -100% | 10 |
| Sports | 33% (1/3) | -49% | 3 |
- Other23 bets
- Hit rate
- 17% (4/23)
- ROI
- +262%
- Politics10 bets
- Hit rate
- 10% (1/10)
- ROI
- -51%
- Geopolitics10 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/10)
- ROI
- -100%
- Sports3 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (1/3)
- ROI
- -49%
Track record
13% hit · 6/46- Yes$1.5k @ 1.5¢
- No$2.4k @ 59.0¢
- Yes$414 @ 4.8¢
- Yes$2.3k @ 10.4¢
- Yes$5 @ 0.9¢
- Gilbert Burns$224 @ 30.0¢
- Yes$258 @ 12.3¢
- Yes$4.4k @ 25.8¢
- Yes$2.0k @ 1.5¢
- Yes$2.8k @ 7.4¢
- No$250 @ 1.3¢
- Yes$6.3k @ 3.9¢
- Yes$737 @ 61.2¢
- No$17.7k @ 38.9¢
- Yes$169 @ 8.8¢
- Yes$400 @ 5.0¢
- Yes$8.4k @ 10.3¢
- Yes$2.9k @ 3.4¢
- No$941 @ 24.2¢
- Yes$396 @ 7.2¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 1.1¢
- Yes$1 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$42.3k @ 5.8¢
- Yes$1.6k @ 22.0¢
- Yes$104 @ 13.0¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 22.0¢
- Yes$150 @ 5.0¢
- Yes$15 @ 0.9¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 27.0¢
- Yes$2.0k @ 1.0¢
- No$3.5k @ 52.8¢
- England$33 @ 53.5¢
- Yes$81 @ 36.5¢
- Yes$458 @ 3.4¢
- Yes$181 @ 42.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 2.3¢
- Yes$114 @ 5.3¢
- Yes$6 @ 2.9¢
- Yes$3 @ 2.3¢
- Yes$569 @ 6.0¢
- Yes$135 @ 15.9¢
- Yes$4.0k @ 4.2¢
- Yes$400 @ 1.8¢
- Yes$42 @ 0.7¢
- Yes$139 @ 51.0¢
- Belal Muhammad$215 @ 46.4¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? | Geopolitics | Yes | $128 | 2.2¢ |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? | Geopolitics | Yes | $1 | 3.5¢ |
- Yes$128 @ 2.2¢
- Yes$1 @ 3.5¢