← Smart money
0xa39c…08bc
SharpEdge
+9.4pp
ROI
+14%
Win rate
31% @ 21.5¢
Brier
0.090
Resolved
3324
Avg size
$184
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 74% (34/46) | +35% | 46 |
| Sports | 30% (8/27) | -15% | 27 |
| Politics | 70% (7/10) | +10% | 10 |
| Tech | 100% (1/1) | +18% | 1 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (1/1) | +60% | 1 |
| Business | 100% (1/1) | +20% | 1 |
- Other46 bets
- Hit rate
- 74% (34/46)
- ROI
- +35%
- Sports27 bets
- Hit rate
- 30% (8/27)
- ROI
- -15%
- Politics10 bets
- Hit rate
- 70% (7/10)
- ROI
- +10%
- Tech1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +18%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +60%
- Business1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +20%
Track record
60% hit · 52/86- No$4.9k @ 81.5¢
- Yes$85 @ 50.0¢
- No$140 @ 70.2¢
- Yes$788 @ 58.4¢
- No$7.0k @ 70.0¢
- Argentina$17.0k @ 84.5¢
- Yes$927 @ 0.3¢
- No$2.2k @ 88.0¢
- Yes$8.9k @ 9.8¢
- Yes$262 @ 26.2¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 21.0¢
- No$3.8k @ 54.2¢
- Yes$721 @ 0.7¢
- Yes$880 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$8.9k @ 44.5¢
- Yes$27.4k @ 68.5¢
- Yes$32.3k @ 5.3¢
- No$37 @ 82.0¢
- Yes$3.6k @ 35.7¢
- No$2.5k @ 83.3¢
- Canada$1.7k @ 83.0¢
- Yes$26.8k @ 6.6¢
- Yes$6.2k @ 1.9¢
- USA$215 @ 21.0¢
- Yes$18.9k @ 62.7¢
- Yes$10.0k @ 9.7¢
- Yes$4.6k @ 2.3¢
- No$18.9k @ 78.1¢
- Yes$3.7k @ 53.4¢
- No$1.7k @ 83.0¢
- Yes$79 @ 41.0¢
- Curaçao$522 @ 69.0¢
- Yes$14.7k @ 73.5¢
- Yes$18.3k @ 8.3¢
- Yes$72 @ 72.0¢
- Usyk$770 @ 77.0¢
- Yes$585 @ 13.0¢
- Yes$712 @ 1.4¢
- Yes$8.3k @ 82.0¢
- No$7.0k @ 70.5¢
- 0x6b09d2bd…LostNo$155 @ 31.0¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 50.0¢
- Yes$1.9k @ 53.0¢
- Yes$390 @ 39.0¢
- No$3.0k @ 84.0¢
- Yes$1.8k @ 0.9¢
- Yes$22.1k @ 13.7¢
- Yes$66.5k @ 69.7¢
- Argentina$7.7k @ 77.0¢
- No$8.8k @ 88.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | Politics | No | $5.9k | 91.8¢ |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Politics | Yes | $4 | 86.0¢ |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Politics | Yes | $3 | 62.1¢ |
| Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31? | Politics | No | $1 | 94.2¢ |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | Politics | No | $1 | 84.3¢ |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $1 | 56.0¢ |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | Politics | No | $1 | 52.5¢ |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $0 | 24.2¢ |
- No$5.9k @ 91.8¢
- Yes$4 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 62.1¢
- No$1 @ 94.2¢
- No$1 @ 84.3¢
- Yes$1 @ 56.0¢
- No$1 @ 52.5¢
- Yes$0 @ 24.2¢